Trump approval ratings thread 1.1

[Brittain33]

Gallup

Approve 37% (-2)
Disapprove 57% (+2)


Paris backlash starting to kick in??

It could just be positive samples from when Trump was out of the country rolling out of the average and being replaced with samples tainted by Trump's actually being involved with domestic issues again.

[Brittain33]

March 28 : Gallup Trump JA pollling :: 1998 : data about climate change

[Brittain33]

Anyone remember what happened in February-April 2006 to bring W down into the 30s for approvals?

[Brittain33]

Looks like Trump rarely dips below 45% approval in Rasmussen polls, and had him in the upper 50s at his inauguration.

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/trump_administration/prez_track_jun16

He's had a very good 3 days in Rasmussen's samples.

[Brittain33]

And I guess there could be a "minihoneymoon" from the Republicans running away with the nationaled  special election.

This is plausible to me.

[Brittain33]

Healthcare bill in the news -> Trump slump

[Brittain33]

I guess these things happen when The Media supports everything you do.

The Media doesn't like Trump. Most members of the media are Democrats.

The member of the media Trump is feuding with now was once a Republican congressman.

[Brittain33]

Convergence of Ohio and Indiana is unexpected.

[Brittain33]

Gallup 7/24

58% Disapprove (+3)
37% Approve (-2)

Sad!

I feel stupider every time I click on a Gallup daily result.

[Brittain33]

Can we get back on-topic?

[Brittain33]

Can we get back on-topic?

[Brittain33]

For the first time, Trump conclusively failed to deliver on a promise that was important to a large chunk of his base. Trump can lie all he wants about economic growth, other countries fearing the U.S., etc. but there's no sugar-coating this one.

Unless Trump delivers on some other major Republican priority, he's going to permanently disappoint a part of his base that has backed him up until now.

[Brittain33]

For the first time, Trump conclusively failed to deliver on a promise that was important to a large chunk of his base. Trump can lie all he wants about economic growth, other countries fearing the U.S., etc. but there's no sugar-coating this one.

Unless Trump delivers on some other major Republican priority, he's going to permanently disappoint a part of his base that has backed him up until now.

The interesting question is which part of his base has he particularly upset by failing to repeal the Affordable Care Act? Arguably, it's the more fiscally conservative wing of the party, with which he likely had the shakiest support in the first place. If he falters on tax reform as well, while succeeding, even if symbolically, with immigration restrictions, abolishing affirmative action, and so on, then his more socially conservative base will likely hold steady while his support among fiscal conservatives further collapses.

Interesting. That would mean that GA-6 might vote differently later than it did in June.

[Brittain33]

Gallup (August 1st)

Approve 36% (-1)
Disapprove 60% (+1)

Lol. The crashing across the board is hilarious.

Is Trump going to have a heart attack when he keeps seeing these brutal numbers?

Have you heard about his historic win in the electoral college? Here, look at this map!

[Brittain33]

Gallup (August 10th)

Approve 37% (+1)
Disapprove 56% (-1)

[Brittain33]

Sweet sassy molassy!

[Brittain33]

Trump had a 4-point drop in approval in the West in week of Aug. 7-13 vs. the previous week, a bigger drop than anywhere else in the country. They may be more sensitive to warmongering vs. North Korea!

[Brittain33]

You must be logged in to read this quote.

Yup, feels like the week after the Access Hollywood tape.

[Brittain33]

We are getting close to Trump's floor. Without a recession or war, Trump is probably stuck in mid to high 30s.

Failure on tax cuts will knock him down further, I bet.

[Brittain33]

They were old in 2004 as well. The GOP is obviously replacing every voter they're losing with a new one.

In 2004, the main stat for gloating was Bush winning 97 of the 100 fastest-growing counties, and of the other 3, one of them was urban Clark County, Nevada. That kind of story relies on middle-aged parents.

[Brittain33]

They were old in 2004 as well. The GOP is obviously replacing every voter they're losing with a new one.

In 2004, the main stat for gloating was Bush winning 97 of the 100 fastest-growing counties, and of the other 3, one of them was urban Clark County, Nevada. That kind of story relies on middle-aged parents.

What's the comp on 2016? Have to imagine "fastest-growing" has trended D

That's a really good question. Fast-growing counties were growing faster in 2004 than in 2016, I believe, because more people moved back then.

[Brittain33]

Gallup (August 28th)

Approve 35% (-/-)
Disapprove 60% (-/-)

The new normal, folks.

It's like Harvey stalled over Houston.

[Brittain33]

Daniel represents the average Republican voter today. He's actually bringing a little taste of reality to this forum.

Hell, he's not even a Republican, because he's not an American. No Real American should pay any attention to what a right-wing foreigner (and probably East Euro paid troll) thinks.

I have nationality since my father is from the south, so I can vote as many times as I want.

This is boring.

[Brittain33]

Why do firms like ras and gallup even bother doing daily approval polls?

Presumably so they can market and sell private daily tracking polls to private clients.

[Brittain33]

Up from 36% in July,  which they point out is statistically insignificant but does mirror the small bump we're seeing everywhere since the debt deal and hurricanes.