Trump approval ratings thread 1.1

[The Mikado]

Might as well ask how much Bush accomplished in his last two years after the Democrats retook Congress.

Pretty much nothing for most of it because Bush had mentally checked out of the Presidency at some point in 2006 and was just waiting out the end...until the financial crisis started and they had to shove through TARP.

Presidents don't do a lot with hostile Congresses in terms of domestic affairs. (Congress basically doesn't give a s**t about foreign policy so Obama, like Bush before him and Trump after him, gets pretty much an open hand to do whatever)

[The Mikado]

People "disapprove" of Trump yet will support him politically when it actually counts.

The main alternative in '16 also had very poor favorability numbers. Millions, if not tens of Millions of Trump's votes were not for him, but rather against Hillary.

Wulfric raises a good point. Trump cleaned up among voters who disapproved of both candidates.

[The Mikado]

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Not really a surprise. Trump performed roughly on par with his national average in those states. Now that his national average is about ten points lower, he's lower there as well.

[The Mikado]

So his disapproval for the week should average out to about 60%?

Again, I must say, it's pretty amazing how fast Trump is sinking. It's unprecedented. He is still supposed to be in the period of time where people are mostly giving him some benefit of the doubt, even if there is some modest erosion

Unprecedented, although Gerald Ford's unique circumstances produced a president ALMOST as unpopular early as Trump.

[The Mikado]

6% of Trump voters regretting their choice is huge. If his national vote share drops from 46% to 43% (what that would indicate), well, that's the whole ball game right there.

[The Mikado]

I wonder what will happen in the next few weeks when tax reform will be in the headlines. Trump is going to 13 states to push for it.

Theoretically, it could raise his approval among republicans.

tax reform needs 60 votes

Trump is terrible at making deals...he aint getting 60 votes

Don't be so sure. There have always been a few democrats willing to vote for tax reform under a GOP prez. We saw it happen under reagan and bush II.

Only vulnerable Dems will vote vote for tax reform...Heitekamp, O Donnely, Manchin, McCaskill....maybe Nelson? That's still only 57 votes at most

I don't think Nelson does it regardless.

They're going to try reconciliation again, most likely, although THAT raises the old can of worms of "has to reduce the deficit," which is...very tricky...for a bill that's going to explicitly cut revenue.

[The Mikado]

Otherwise, more critical voices would've called out against the failure of Gitmo closure, or the stimulus which was too small, etc.

Are we just going to ignore that Guantanamo only has 41 prisoners in it today, when it had well over 200 when Obama took office? Reducing Gitmo prisoners by over 80% is a massive accomplishment when you have to individually negotiate and find a place for every single prisoner.