Trump approval ratings thread 1.1

[Gass3268]

White Millennials (18-34) Disapprove of Trump

34% Approve
47% Disapprove

Source

[Gass3268]

Monmouth national poll (change from March):

Approve 39% (-4)
Disapprove 53% (+7)

Conducted 5/13-5/17.

It was Monmouth, not Q. My bad!

[Gass3268]

Morning Consult/Politico

https://morningconsult.com/2017/05/19/trumps-approval-sinks-amid-avalanche-bad-headlines/

Approve 41 (-1)
Disapprove 53 (+3)

Yikes, he's in a free fall in this poll.

[Gass3268]

Trump choking big time in the Republican stronghold of Staten Island:

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Glad they're waking up.

That SI poll is highly dubious. It has DeBlasio doing extremely well there too, which is definitely not the case.

De Blasio and Trump's approval in Staten Island are about the same.

De Blasio

37% Approve
57% Disapprove

Trump

40% Approve
57% Disapprove

Cuomo on the other hand is popular in Staten Island:

68% Approve
28% Disapprove

Source

[Gass3268]

While I'm glad that Trump's approvals have collapsed so quickly, I find it legitimately distressing that 38% or so of the American public still approves of him. What does he need to do!?!?

Probably need a recession.

[Gass3268]

Nate Silver made estimates for Trump approval by state.

Here's both approval and disapproval:

And here's just approval:

It's funny how this doesn't take into account a real poll out of Utah.

[Gass3268]

Gallup:
Approve - 37% (-1)
Disapprove - 56% (-/-)

Trump regained that 1% in his approval lol. Disapprove has been at 56% since last Wednesday.

[Gass3268]

Nate Silver made estimates for Trump approval by state.

Here's both approval and disapproval:

And here's just approval:

It's funny how this doesn't take into account a real poll out of Utah.

I have the link.
https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/chance-donald-trump-impeached/

I loled at the reason Sarah Palin left office.

[Gass3268]

[Gass3268]

Fox News (May 21st - May 23rd)

Approve: 40% (-5)
Disapprove: 53% (+5)

Added numbers to compare to their last poll.

[Gass3268]

New York (Siena):

Favorable 30%
Unfavorable 65%

NYC: 27/67
Suburbs: 32/66
Upstate: 33/63

Job Approval:

Excellent/Good 27%
Fair/Poor 71% (Poor is at 57%)

NYC: 24/73
Suburbs: 30/70
Upstate: 30/70

[Gass3268]

New York (Siena):

Favorable 30%
Unfavorable 65%

NYC: 27/67
Suburbs: 32/66
Upstate: 33/63

Job Approval:

Excellent/Good 27%
Fair/Poor 71% (Poor is at 57%)

NYC: 24/73
Suburbs: 30/70
Upstate: 30/70

Wow, didn't he carry upstate in 2016?

This is a useless poll. It has fair lumped in, which is dumb

In this situation it's best to just look at favorably. The two aren't very different right now.

[Gass3268]

Michigan: Epic/MRA for Detroit Free Press.  http://www.freep.com/story/news/local/michigan/2017/05/31/poll-michigans-view-trump-countrys-direction-faltering/355614001/

I don't find a link to the actual results, but the story seems to indicate the following Trump approval ratings (change since Feb):

Approve: 12% (-6) ("positive job rating")
Disapprove: 61% (+5) ("negative job rating")

Interesting that polling is showing Trump doing much worse in MI and WI than OH.

[Gass3268]

California must switch to partisan gerrymandering. So should New York.

Probably impossible in both (CA - Commission created by initiative / NY - Republican run Senate)

[Gass3268]

39% Approve (-1)
55% Disapprove (+1)

[Gass3268]

Are any other pollsters corroborating this drop or is this just Gallup? I caution against just looking at Gallup to determine a trend. 538 is showing a slight increase in disapproval but it's not exactly out of the norm or a major swing. [55.1% disapprove, 38.9% approve]

I prefer 538 as it weights the polls.

Funny enough, Rassy showed a polling fall for Trump starting about a week before gallup.

[Gass3268]

37% Approve (+1)
57% Disapprove (+1)

[Gass3268]

68 - 29 percent that he is not level headed
59 - 36 percent that he is not honest;
58 - 39 percent that he does not have good leadership skills;
58 - 40 percent that he does not care about average Americans;
62 - 35 percent that he is a strong person;
57 - 40 percent that he is intelligent;
64 - 33 percent that he does not share their values.

White w/ no college degree: 46 - 43 approve

[Gass3268]

Trump is currently at his worst net approvals in all three major polling aggregators.

[Gass3268]

When do congressional Republicans begin backing away from Trump? Mid 30s approval is low but what does it need to be in order for mainstream republicans to distance themselves? I'm not referring to moderates like Ros-Lehtinen or Comstock who are already distancing themselves.

Look at the Republican approval numbers, if it gets below 75% or into the high 60's I think you'll see more jump ship.

[Gass3268]

When does Trump hit 60% Disapproval in a Gallup poll?

[Gass3268]

Survey Monkey

41% Approve (-1)
57% Disapprove (+/-)

Source

[Gass3268]

Will we hit 60% disapproval by the end of the week?

He's a point away from reaching his worst margin for Gallup.

[Gass3268]

PPP: Trump approval 41/52

[Gass3268]

Quinnipiac NJ: 28/66