State Legislature Special Election Mega Thread

[Ebsy]

D+1 baby

[The Other Castro]

"Unofficial result from Sandown: Lerner (D) 294; Headd (R) 236; Jarvis 17: Big upset Democrat Lerner wins special #nhpolitics via @jdistaso
0 replies 0 retweets 1 like
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Whoaaaaa

[Kamala]

Wave.jpg

[jamestroll]

yay! The New Hampshire GOP  should just disband! What a terrible GOP. Sununu is the only deep blue state Republican Governor I am opposed to.

[Gass3268]

It's been a good night on the state level.

[KingSweden]

Damn that's two big upsets for Dems today. And more amazingly FLDP didn't cock it up completely

[Brittain33]

Unofficial: Lerner (D) 901; Headd (R) 862; Jarvis (L) 41

Lerner wins 50%-48% vs. Trump beating Clinton 59%-36%.

+25% swing in win margin toward the Democrats over Trump-Clinton!

[Brittain33]

The insurer’s allure
For valor were pure Kari Lerner (D, Rock 4)

[Co-Chair Bagel23]

HOLY HECK!!! I did not see that coming Woohoo! Oh yeah, good night on local level! Unbelievable that Lerner won!

[Kamala]

The insurer’s allure
For valor were pure Kari Lerner (D, Rock 4)

Marry me.

I'm serious.

[TheSaint250]

DailyKos is gonna have another field day tomorrow

[ajc0918]

SD40 win in Florida is a massive boost for morale for Florida Democrats. Nobody really thought she would win and she was outspent handily. South Florida will be a battleground ripe for pick ups in 2018.

[KingSweden]

DailyKos is gonna have another field day tomorrow

DKE is actually really good. Better than RRH at least, which has been overrrun with Bannonites recently.

Just never ever venture outside of DKE. Ever.

[heatcharger]

Holy sh*t I thought the Dem was dead in the water with that 60-34 Trump precinct left to report. It went 54-43 in reality.

[Brittain33]

David Nir is updating the DKos chart as I type and the swings to R in the Florida seats are deceptively huge. -14% for Senate, -37% for House against Clinton-Trump.

[Ebsy]

Apparently Rockingham HD 4 is the 4th most GOP seat in the entire state of New Hampshire.

[Co-Chair Bagel23]

Apparently Rockingham HD 4 is the 4th most GOP seat in the entire state of New Hampshire.

That's why I was blown away.

[Brittain33]

Apparently Rockingham HD 4 is the 4th most GOP seat in the entire state of New Hampshire.

Really? At only 59% Trump?

[Nyvin]

Apparently Rockingham HD 4 is the 4th most GOP seat in the entire state of New Hampshire.

Really? At only 59% Trump?

Yes.  That portion of southern Rockingham is (was?) a natural GOP vote sink.  Or at least as close to a vote sink as you can get in NH.

[Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

The next democratic landslide is only a couple weeks away!

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October 10, 2017

Florida House of Representatives District 44   

[smoltchanov]

DailyKos is gonna have another field day tomorrow

DKE is actually really good. Better than RRH at least, which has been overrrun with Bannonites recently.

Just never ever venture outside of DKE. Ever.

+1. Though even on DKE you would be banned for criticising Obama (i was), while widely applauded for identical criticism of Trump or Romney))) Funny))) Probably that's such sort of Democracy))))

[Tintrlvr]

Apparently Rockingham HD 4 is the 4th most GOP seat in the entire state of New Hampshire.

Really? At only 59% Trump?

NH's just not that polarized. Part of why they've had comically huge swings in the state legislature at many of the elections of the past decade.

[KingSweden]

Apparently Rockingham HD 4 is the 4th most GOP seat in the entire state of New Hampshire.

Really? At only 59% Trump?

NH's just not that polarized. Part of why they've had comically huge swings in the state legislature at many of the elections of the past decade.

If there is one constant in politics, it's that NH will have wild swings.

[Ebsy]

So, as stated above, the next special election is Florida HD 44 on October 10. This race has been a headache to Florida Democrats as the only candidate that filed, Paul Chandler, voted in Missouri twice in 2016 and thus was not eligible to run, and refused to withdraw until after the deadline to replace his name on the ballot. There have been allegations of intentional sabotage. The new Democratic candidate, Eddy Dominguez, will face the winner of the GOP primary, Bobby Olszewski, though Paul Chandler's name will still appear on the ballot.

The district went Clinton 51, Trump 45 in 2016 and Obama 46, Romney 53 in 2012. On paper it should be competitive, but I think other factors will likely keep this seat in GOP hands.

[Tintrlvr]

So, as stated above, the next special election is Florida HD 44 on October 10. This race has been a headache to Florida Democrats as the only candidate that filed, Paul Chandler, voted in Missouri twice in 2016 and thus was not eligible to run, and refused to withdraw until after the deadline to replace his name on the ballot. There have been allegations of intentional sabotage. The new Democratic candidate, Eddy Dominguez, will face the winner of the GOP primary, Bobby Olszewski, though Paul Chandler's name will still appear on the ballot.

The district went Clinton 51, Trump 45 in 2016 and Obama 46, Romney 53 in 2012. On paper it should be competitive, but I think other factors will likely keep this seat in GOP hands.

Does this mean only Chandler's name will be on the ballot (but a vote for Chandler is a vote for Dominguez)? Or that both Chandler and Dominguez will be on the ballot?

Pretty pathetic that the Florida Dems couldn't get a real candidate in this seat until *after* the crisis happened.

(The district is SW Orange County, for those curious, a definitely D-trending area but historically R, and includes Disney World. Lake Buena Vista/Windermere/Winter Garden.)

http://www.myfloridahouse.gov/FileStores/Web/District/2013_Districts/small/HD_44.pdf