State Legislature Special Election Mega Thread

[MAINEiac4434]

Yeah, really looking forward to some of those races as well.

Do the Republicans have a realistic chance of winning the Maine House District 56 seat? Gina Mason (R) won it by 16 (58-42) in 2016, but given how Democratic-friendly the electorate will be in 2017, I have my doubts.

Continuing the discussion from the other thread... I rated this Likely R, but it definitely has the chance of flipping in the current environment. One of the races that I have the most uncertainty about, honestly, so I would welcome any insights you might have,

The Republicans are running Gina Mason's widower (their son is Senate Majority Leader and a candidate for Governor).  The Democrats are running their 2016 nominee.  Widows almost never lose special elections to replace their late spouses (although the Republicans defeated a Democratic widow in a Sanford districts in November 2015; he had come far closer in 2014 than the Lisbon Democrat had come in 2016 though) and I don't see why it would be any different for widowers.  Lisbon, once a Democratic town, seems to have gone completely to the dark side.  I'd personally rate this race as Safe Republican, although I wouldn't mind being wrong.

I agree, though I’m more bullish on this race than you. I have it as likely R.

[Suburbia]

Can I discuss the New Jersey Legislature here?

I think Democrats will pick up a lot of LD seats, LD16 is the district to watch.

[Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Can I discuss the New Jersey Legislature here?

I think Democrats will pick up a lot of LD seats, LD16 is the district to watch.

That will be on the NJ thread: https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=235257.0

[MAINEiac4434]

There's a special election in Maine today for the seat of late GOP rep Gina Mason. Her widower is running, and it's a solidly Republican area. If the Democrats can cut down the margins, though, it should be a good sign for the State Senate (which currently has a one seat GOP majority).

[Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Results Pages:

GA: http://hosted.ap.org/dynamic/files/elections/2017/by_state/GA_Page_1107.html?SITE=AP&SECTION=POLITICS

ME: http://hosted.ap.org/dynamic/files/elections/2017/by_state/ME_Page_1107.html?SITE=AP&SECTION=POLITICS

MA: Results will show up here eventually: http://www.sec.state.ma.us/ele/elespeif/speifidx.htm , but usually stuff shows up on twitter first. Search around.

MI: http://miboecfr.nictusa.com/election/results/2017SG1_CENR.html & http://miboecfr.nictusa.com/election/results/2017SG2_CENR.html

MO: https://www.sos.mo.gov/elections/s_default

MS: Not seeing a page. Hopefully we get something from social media at some point in the night.

NY: http://hosted.ap.org/dynamic/files/elections/2017/by_state/NY_Page_1107.html?SITE=AP&SECTION=POLITICS

NH: As usual, follow @WMUR or other reputable state reporters

SC: https://www.scvotes.org/state-house-representatives-district-31-special-election & https://www.scvotes.org/state-house-representatives-district-113-special-election

WA: http://results.vote.wa.gov/results/current/

First polls close at 7

[Green Line]

Given how the rest of the night is going so far, I think Republicans are probably going to lose that ME special election.

Not is a single vote has been reported.  We can't base anything off twitter rumors and early exit polls.  With that said, Republicans are screwed.

[Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

The SC site had a link to an older election in the wrong place. Updated list to remove it:

Results Pages:

GA: http://hosted.ap.org/dynamic/files/elections/2017/by_state/GA_Page_1107.html?SITE=AP&SECTION=POLITICS

ME: http://hosted.ap.org/dynamic/files/elections/2017/by_state/ME_Page_1107.html?SITE=AP&SECTION=POLITICS

MA: Results will show up here eventually: http://www.sec.state.ma.us/ele/elespeif/speifidx.htm , but usually stuff shows up on twitter first. Search around.

MI: http://miboecfr.nictusa.com/election/results/2017SG1_CENR.html & http://miboecfr.nictusa.com/election/results/2017SG2_CENR.html

MO: https://www.sos.mo.gov/elections/s_default

MS: Not seeing a page. Hopefully we get something from social media at some point in the night.

NY: http://hosted.ap.org/dynamic/files/elections/2017/by_state/NY_Page_1107.html?SITE=AP&SECTION=POLITICS

NH: As usual, follow @WMUR or other reputable state reporters

SC: https://www.scvotes.org/state-house-representatives-district-113-special-election

WA: http://results.vote.wa.gov/results/current/

First polls close at 7

[Ebsy]

Democrats are currently looking like they are going to pick up GA HD 117 and 119.

[Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

AP has made 4 calls in Georgia:

State House - District 4 - Special General
12 of 12 Precincts Reporting - 100%
Max Runoff Cands=2
Name   Party   Votes   Vote %
Carpenter, Kasey   GOP   1,927   54%
Caldwell, Eddie   GOP   704   20%
Pociask, Peter   Dem   516   14%
Patton, Beau   GOP   426   12%

State House - District 26 - Special General
11 of 11 Precincts Reporting - 100%
Max Runoff Cands=2
Name   Party   Votes   Vote %
Morris, Marc   GOP   1,914   60%
Smith, Steve   Dem   680   21%
Trent, Tina   GOP   609   19%

State House - District 42 - Special General
Uncontested race, no results will be reported.
Name   Party   Votes   Vote %
Anulewicz, Teri   Dem   0   0

State House - District 119 - Special General
17 of 18 Precincts Reporting - 94%
Max Runoff Cands=2
Name   Party   Votes   Vote %
Wallace, Jonathan   Dem   4,370   56%
Lord, Tom   GOP   1,564   20%
Wiedower, Marcus   GOP   1,356   17%
Strickland, Steven   GOP   479   6%

[Ebsy]

Republicans hold the Maine seat.

[Dr. Arch]

Where are the PA results?

[Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

SC result:

Candidate   Charleston   Dorchester   Total   Percent
Marvin R Pendarvis, Democratic   0   297   297   80.0%
Theron Sandy II, Republican   0   74   74   20.0%
Write-ins   0   0   0   0.0%

ME result:

State House - District 56 - Special General
1 of 1 Precincts Reporting - 100%
Name   Party   Votes   Vote %
Mason, Rick   GOP   1,180   58%
Gaiason, Scott   Dem   868   42%

MO District 151 Result:

State Representative - District 151 - unexpired           25 of 25 Precincts Reported
Herman Morse   Republican   1,557   70.452%
Curtis Clark   Democratic   602   27.240%
Rick Vandeven   Libertarian   51   2.308%
Total Votes:   2,210   

[Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Where are the PA results?

No state legislative stuff there, but: http://hosted.ap.org/dynamic/files/elections/2017/by_state/PA_Page_1107.html?SITE=AP&SECTION=POLITICS

[MT Treasurer]

Republicans hold the Maine seat.

That's a lot better than I expected given how terrible the rest of the night has been for Rs. Not that this race matters a lot, lol.

[Vega]

Excited to see how Senate District 45 will go down in Washington.

[Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Ready to call another Missouri race:

State Senator - District 8 - unexpired           59 of 70 Precincts Reported
Mike Cierpiot   Republican   11,141   49.906%
Hillary Shields   Democratic   9,622   43.102%
Jacob Turk   Independent   1,561   6.992%
 

Total Votes:   22,324

[Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Another call in Georgia:

State House - District 117 - Special General
16 of 16 Precincts Reporting - 100%
Name   Party   Votes   Vote %
Gonzalez, Deborah   Dem   3,995   53%
Gaines, Houston   GOP   3,525   47%

[Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Projecting a runoff for state senate district 6 in GA

State Senate - District 6 - Special General
18 of 50 Precincts Reporting - 36%
Max Runoff Cands=2
Name   Party   Votes   Vote %
Howard, Jaha   Dem   3,848   31%
Jordan, Jen   Dem   2,911   24%
Aldridge, Leah   GOP   1,683   14%
Bentley, Matt   GOP   1,584   13%
Fiveash, Charlie   GOP   1,523   12%
Eichenblatt, Kathy   GOP   292   2%
Wynn, Taos   Dem   270   2%
Smith, Leo   GOP   176   1%

[Tintrlvr]

Projecting a runoff for state senate district 6 in GA

State Senate - District 6 - Special General
18 of 50 Precincts Reporting - 36%
Max Runoff Cands=2
Name   Party   Votes   Vote %
Howard, Jaha   Dem   3,848   31%
Jordan, Jen   Dem   2,911   24%
Aldridge, Leah   GOP   1,683   14%
Bentley, Matt   GOP   1,584   13%
Fiveash, Charlie   GOP   1,523   12%
Eichenblatt, Kathy   GOP   292   2%
Wynn, Taos   Dem   270   2%
Smith, Leo   GOP   176   1%

A gain for the Democrats regardless, though, as the runoff will be DvD. Quite a good night for the Democrats in Georgia, gaining all three competitive seats.

[Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

MO District 23 can be called:

State Representative - District 23 - unexpired           11 of 11 Precincts Reported
David Martin   Republican   184   9.141%
Barbara Anne Washington   Democratic   1,790   88.922%
Daniel Trott   Green   39   1.937%
Total Votes:   2,013   

[Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

All NY races have been called:

State Assembly - District 27 - Special General
Uncontested race, no results will be reported.
Name   Party   Votes   Vote %
Rosenthal, Daniel   Dem   0   0

State Assembly - District 71 - Special General
Uncontested race, no results will be reported.
Name   Party   Votes   Vote %
Taylor, Alfred   Dem   0   0


State Senate - District 26 - Special General
240 of 256 Precincts Reporting - 94%
Name   Party   Votes   Vote %
Kavanagh, Brian   Dem   28,506   85%
Alexander, Analicia   GOP   5,083   15%

[Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

NH races:

WMUR TV‏Verified account @WMUR9  2h2 hours ago
More
 In the Sullivan County @NHHouseofReps special, unofficial numbers: Dem Brian Sullivan 1327; GOPer Margaret Drye 671;

John DiStaso‏ @jdistaso  2h2 hours ago
More
 Looks like Democrat Erika Connors defeated GOPer Albert MacArthur by about 20 votes in Manch W8


This leaves the races in MA, MI, MS, District 60, 89, Senate 39 in GA, and the WA races, where polls close in 15 minutes.

[Ebsy]

So we are up to 4 Democratic special election tonight, 11 for the year. Unprecedented gains.

[Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Calling a runoff in GA Senate 39:

State Senate - District 39 - Special General
9 of 81 Precincts Reporting - 11%
Max Runoff Cands=2
Name   Party   Votes   Vote %
Williams, Nikema   Dem   4,679   37%
Pritchett, Linda   Dem   4,147   33%
DeJesus, Marckeith   Dem   1,416   11%
Carlson, Nick   GOP   1,163   9%
Tutt, Elijah

[Gustaf]

So we are up to 4 Democratic special election tonight, 11 for the year. Unprecedented gains.

Is that 2 NH + 2 GA races?