State Legislature Special Election Mega Thread

[Dr. Arch]

Can NH House and Senate both be one short of flipping D just to piss Indyrep off?

You know it's not gonna happen, and Sununu will likely lose too. TNVol has full premonition of NH politics, xD

[Dr. Arch]

That is a ginormous win. There is a light in IA yet.

[Dr. Arch]

IK it is a little off topic, but could we please get links for fairfax at large school board race?

Karen Keys-Gamarra (D) is winning big league.

If Democrats get this margin up and down the ticket in November, all three state Democrats will win and Democrats will pick up at least 10 seats in the House.

I don't think he outperformed Hillary though

Keys-Gamarra won 64-33
Clinton won 64-29

Clinton had a larger margin, but Keys-Gamarra matched her %.

Virginia has had enough of the modern day Republican Party.

[Dr. Arch]

Any links to the results pages?

[Dr. Arch]

Great news tonight!

[Dr. Arch]

Tracked down some results for South Carolina: https://twitter.com/SpartanburgDem/status/912829178021650432

Spartanburg Co. Dems‏ @SpartanburgDem  22m
Unofficial Results with 16 precincts reporting:
Rosalyn Henderson Myers: 826 - 89.78%
Michael Fowler: 92 - 10%

Is this an ultra safe seat for Ds?

[Dr. Arch]

Tracked down some results for South Carolina: https://twitter.com/SpartanburgDem/status/912829178021650432

Spartanburg Co. Dems‏ @SpartanburgDem  22m
Unofficial Results with 16 precincts reporting:
Rosalyn Henderson Myers: 826 - 89.78%
Michael Fowler: 92 - 10%

Is this an ultra safe seat for Ds?

Yes. Titanium D. Downtown Spartanburg, solid blue, huge black population, this is in the bag easy.

Ah, okay, that explains the results. How does a Democrat usually perform here?

[Dr. Arch]

Please note the post above your's.

Ohh... yeah, that's huge.

[Dr. Arch]

Results Page for Tonight: http://www.wdam.com/story/36311552/house-dist-102-run-off-election

Polls close at 8 EST, but expect to wait an hour or more before seeing substantial results.

Is it already over? Did fewer than 100 people vote?

[Dr. Arch]

Everything is in. Congratulations to McClure.:

State Representative, District 58
Republican Primary
Compare All Counties
Compare by County
Candidate   Party   Votes Received   
Yvonne Fry   REP   2,984   
45.11%
Lawrence McClure   REP   3,631   
54.89%
6,615   Total

Single digit win is not a good sign for Republicans in this district (based on what I read from others earlier), right?

[Dr. Arch]

Everything is in. Congratulations to McClure.:

State Representative, District 58
Republican Primary
Compare All Counties
Compare by County
Candidate   Party   Votes Received   
Yvonne Fry   REP   2,984   
45.11%
Lawrence McClure   REP   3,631   
54.89%
6,615   Total

Single digit win is not a good sign for Republicans in this district (based on what I read from others earlier), right?

This is a Republican primary.

Woops, I thought it was the other one.

[Dr. Arch]

Will there be a results page with a map?

[Dr. Arch]

YUGE SWINGS

[Dr. Arch]

Where are the PA results?

[Dr. Arch]

Senate District 10 in Wisconsin will have a special election on Tuesday, January 16, 2018.

Is this a competitive seat?

Looks like it is pretty much Burnett + Polk + Saint Croix + Pierce. When I think of this region of Wisconsin I think of Twin Cities Exurbs, but perhaps someone with a better knowledge of the state can educate us of the situation on the ground.

Very remote chance for it to be competitive.

[Dr. Arch]

Did someone mention this upthread... she's married to a woman and will be Oklahoma's first LGBT legislator.

woot!

Wow, amazing!!

[Dr. Arch]

Freedom map!
https://twitter.com/mcimaps/status/930649947460046848?s=17

That's actually amazing. It's good to finally start making significant gains everywhere.

[Dr. Arch]

https://www.cbsnews.com/news/democrats-grab-albuquerque-mayoral-seat-back-from-gop-in-blowout/

Our-Revolution backed Keller is the new mayor of Albuquerque, NM in a blowout race.

I'm surprised Albuquerque had a Republican mayor to begin with.

[Dr. Arch]

Tightening with the Orleans Early Vote:

Treasurer
Voter Stats  Early Voting  Parish Results
416 of 3904 precincts reporting - 11%
absentee reporting - 62 of 64 parishes
44690 Derrick Edwards (DEM)43%
60067 John Schroder (REP)57%
Total: 104757

Nothing has come in from Orleans either. Interesting.

[Dr. Arch]

Tightening with the Orleans Early Vote:

Treasurer
Voter Stats  Early Voting  Parish Results
416 of 3904 precincts reporting - 11%
absentee reporting - 62 of 64 parishes
44690 Derrick Edwards (DEM)43%
60067 John Schroder (REP)57%
Total: 104757

Nothing has come in from Orleans either. Interesting.

Early Vote from Orleans came in. Still waiting on election day Orleans.

Well, yes, referring to E.D. results.

[Dr. Arch]

All things considered, 56R-44D was not a bad performance for the Democrat at all, given how weak a candidate he appeared to be in the primary.

[Dr. Arch]

Dem crushing in PA-133 HD race.

133rd Legislative District County Breakdown
MCNEILL, JEANNE
(DEM)
67.14%
    Votes: 284
MOLONY, DAVID
(REP)
26.95%
    Votes: 114
DORNEY, SAMANTHA X
(LIB)
5.91%
    Votes: 25

Is this just the early vote? The site says 0 precincts reporting. Either way, so far it's a better showing than even 2012.

Can't tell from the Pennsylvania SOS website.

Some context from Ballotpedia:

"The seat became vacant after Daniel McNeill (D) passed away on September 8, 2017"

Previous Results: (Daniel) McNeill (D) +15%

His widow is running for the seat, and it looks like a real romping.

[Dr. Arch]

30% in for PA HD 133, Dem now up by 45%.

That PA seat looks like a lock.

[Dr. Arch]

There's some indication that the "wave" has slowed down recently. Special elections and the generic ballot are not looking as rosy for Democrats as they were 3 weeks ago.

A Q-poll came out literally today showing the Democrats with a 14% lead on the generic ballot.

I appreciate your dedication to what you're doing here, but don't try that with me, sweetheart.

LimoLiberal has nothing of value to contribute, it seems. He may have to be the next one to go on ignore for the first time since Harding.

[Dr. Arch]

These results are looking horrendous for The Democrats.

Literally 0% in. Please don't fall into your old habits.