State Legislature Special Election Mega Thread (user search)
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Author Topic: State Legislature Special Election Mega Thread  (Read 176313 times)
LimoLiberal
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*****
Posts: 3,535


Political Matrix
E: -3.71, S: -4.00

« on: November 14, 2017, 08:07:54 PM »

BRIAN O'HARA (REP)   116      41      0      157   55.09%
ALLISON IKLEY-FREEMAN (DEM)   95      33      0      128   44.91%


PAUL ROSINO (REP)   116      5      0      121   55.50%
STEVEN VINCENT (DEM)   85      12      0      97   44.50%


ROSS FORD (REP)   68      15      0      83   76.15%
CHRIS VanLANDINGHAM (DEM)   18      8      0      26   23.85%
Total   86      23      0      109      


Just absentees and early voting as of now.                     


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LimoLiberal
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,535


Political Matrix
E: -3.71, S: -4.00

« Reply #1 on: November 14, 2017, 08:45:52 PM »

Oklahoma Rs need to get their act together asap...
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LimoLiberal
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,535


Political Matrix
E: -3.71, S: -4.00

« Reply #2 on: November 14, 2017, 08:52:30 PM »

Paul Rosino (R) pulling away in SD-45

14 of 26 Precincts Completely Reporting      
ABSENTEE
MAIL      EARLY
VOTING      ELECTION
DAY      
TOTAL      
PAUL ROSINO (REP)   245      8      966      1,219   54.06%
STEVEN VINCENT (DEM)   160      13      863      1,036   45.94%
Total   405      21      1,829      2,255   
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LimoLiberal
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,535


Political Matrix
E: -3.71, S: -4.00

« Reply #3 on: November 14, 2017, 09:01:08 PM »

Ikley-Freeman losing ground

BRIAN O'HARA (REP)   116      41      691      848   47.83%
ALLISON IKLEY-FREEMAN (DEM)   95      33      797      925   52.17%
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LimoLiberal
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,535


Political Matrix
E: -3.71, S: -4.00

« Reply #4 on: November 14, 2017, 09:37:47 PM »

O'Hara takes the lead Sad

      ABSENTEE
MAIL      EARLY
VOTING      ELECTION
DAY      
TOTAL      
BRIAN O'HARA (REP)   116      41      1,096      1,253   50.26%
ALLISON IKLEY-FREEMAN (DEM)   95      33      1,112      1,240   49.74%
Total   211      74      2,208      2,493      

FOR STATE SENATOR DISTRICT 45 (UNEXPIRED TERM)   
26 of 26 Precincts Completely Reporting      
ABSENTEE
MAIL      EARLY
VOTING      ELECTION
DAY      
TOTAL      
PAUL ROSINO (REP)   245      8      2,564      2,817   56.78%
STEVEN VINCENT (DEM)   160      13      1,971      2,144   43.22%
Total   405      21      4,535      4,961      


Line                                 
STATE REPRESENTATIVE   
FOR STATE REPRESENTATIVE DISTRICT 76 (UNEXPIRED TERM)   
3 of 12 Precincts Completely Reporting      
ABSENTEE
MAIL      EARLY
VOTING      ELECTION
DAY      
TOTAL      
ROSS FORD (REP)   68      15      281      364   69.07%
CHRIS VanLANDINGHAM (DEM)   18      8      137      163   30.93%
Total   86      23      418      527      


Results as of: 11/14/2017 8:36:24 PM                           
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LimoLiberal
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,535


Political Matrix
E: -3.71, S: -4.00

« Reply #5 on: November 14, 2017, 10:21:28 PM »

EVERY VOTE COUNTS PEOPLE
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LimoLiberal
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,535


Political Matrix
E: -3.71, S: -4.00

« Reply #6 on: November 14, 2017, 10:30:47 PM »

Ikley-Freeman (D) wins by 31 votes!! For the second time Smiley

      ABSENTEE
MAIL      EARLY
VOTING      ELECTION
DAY      
TOTAL      
BRIAN O'HARA (REP)   116      41      2,046      2,203   49.65%
ALLISON IKLEY-FREEMAN (DEM)   95      33      2,106      2,234   50.35%
Total   211      74      4,152      4,437      
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LimoLiberal
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,535


Political Matrix
E: -3.71, S: -4.00

« Reply #7 on: November 28, 2017, 10:53:01 PM »

https://twitter.com/SouthReporter/status/935707817188700161

Very bad result in MS-10 SD.
Rs flip D held seat in Mississippi by 10 points in runoff. Don't have 2016 numbers but looks like the D (Gipson) underperformed Clinton in both of the counties the district is in.
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LimoLiberal
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,535


Political Matrix
E: -3.71, S: -4.00

« Reply #8 on: December 05, 2017, 08:43:52 PM »

Dem crushing in PA-133 HD race.

133rd Legislative District County Breakdown
MCNEILL, JEANNE
(DEM)
67.14%
    Votes: 284
MOLONY, DAVID
(REP)
26.95%
    Votes: 114
DORNEY, SAMANTHA X
(LIB)
5.91%
    Votes: 25
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LimoLiberal
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,535


Political Matrix
E: -3.71, S: -4.00

« Reply #9 on: December 05, 2017, 08:45:56 PM »

Dem crushing in PA-133 HD race.

133rd Legislative District County Breakdown
MCNEILL, JEANNE
(DEM)
67.14%
    Votes: 284
MOLONY, DAVID
(REP)
26.95%
    Votes: 114
DORNEY, SAMANTHA X
(LIB)
5.91%
    Votes: 25

Is this just the early vote? The site says 0 precincts reporting. Either way, so far it's a better showing than even 2012.

Can't tell from the Pennsylvania SOS website.
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LimoLiberal
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,535


Political Matrix
E: -3.71, S: -4.00

« Reply #10 on: December 05, 2017, 08:49:48 PM »
« Edited: December 05, 2017, 08:51:57 PM by LimoLiberal »

Major upset incoming in MA-Worcester Senate District? Seems like the R is putting up great numbers so far: https://twitter.com/aburkeSE
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LimoLiberal
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,535


Political Matrix
E: -3.71, S: -4.00

« Reply #11 on: December 05, 2017, 08:53:54 PM »

Looks like the Dem candidate conceded: https://twitter.com/PeterJasinski53/status/938224575409737733

Wow.
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LimoLiberal
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,535


Political Matrix
E: -3.71, S: -4.00

« Reply #12 on: December 05, 2017, 09:00:10 PM »

2 R flips in a row in these special elections. Interesting.
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LimoLiberal
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,535


Political Matrix
E: -3.71, S: -4.00

« Reply #13 on: December 05, 2017, 09:09:39 PM »

There's some indication that the "wave" has slowed down recently. Special elections and the generic ballot are not looking as rosy for Democrats as they were 3 weeks ago.
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LimoLiberal
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,535


Political Matrix
E: -3.71, S: -4.00

« Reply #14 on: December 05, 2017, 09:14:17 PM »
« Edited: December 05, 2017, 09:16:27 PM by LimoLiberal »

There's some indication that the "wave" has slowed down recently. Special elections and the generic ballot are not looking as rosy for Democrats as they were 3 weeks ago.

A Q-poll came out literally today showing the Democrats with a 14% lead on the generic ballot.

I appreciate your dedication to what you're doing here, but don't try that with me, sweetheart.

LimoLiberal has nothing of value to contribute, it seems. He may have to be the next one to go on ignore for the first time since Harding.

I was the first to actually find the Massachusetts results tonight and post them, but whatever.

By the way, I'm not a Republican. Nor do I post at RRH.
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LimoLiberal
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,535


Political Matrix
E: -3.71, S: -4.00

« Reply #15 on: December 19, 2017, 08:03:04 PM »

Final Results:

State Representative, District 58
General
Compare All Counties
Compare by County
Candidate   Party   Votes Received   
Lawrence McClure   REP   7,592   
54.47%
Jose Vazquez   DEM   4,715   
33.83%
Ahmad Hussam Saadaldin   NPA   1,188   
8.52%
Bryan Zemina   LPF   443   
3.18%
13,938   Total

#FLDEMSSUCK

Very interesting. 20 point margin for R. I think Clinton lost this district by 10?
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LimoLiberal
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,535


Political Matrix
E: -3.71, S: -4.00

« Reply #16 on: December 19, 2017, 08:07:05 PM »

Wow very impressive performance by the Dem so far in the Tennessee race


Cannon
Mark Pody   Republican   145   54.92%
Mary Alice Carfi   Democratic   119   45.08%
Clay
Mark Pody   Republican   0   0%
Mary Alice Carfi   Democratic   0   0%
DeKalb
Mark Pody   Republican   0   0%
Mary Alice Carfi   Democratic   0   0%
Macon
Mark Pody   Republican   242   63.68%
Mary Alice Carfi   Democratic   138   36.32%
Smith
Mark Pody   Republican   0   0%
Mary Alice Carfi   Democratic   0   0%
Wilson
Mark Pody   Republican   1,811   54.73%
Mary Alice Carfi   Democratic   1,498   45.27%
Totals
Mark Pody   Republican   2,198   55.60%
Mary Alice Carfi   Democratic   1,755   44.40%
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LimoLiberal
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,535


Political Matrix
E: -3.71, S: -4.00

« Reply #17 on: December 19, 2017, 08:08:30 PM »

Anybody know if Tennessee early vote is especially pro Dem?
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LimoLiberal
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,535


Political Matrix
E: -3.71, S: -4.00

« Reply #18 on: December 19, 2017, 08:19:04 PM »

Holy sh*t


Mark Pody   Republican   2,764   53.66%
Mary Alice Carfi   Democratic   2,387   46.34%
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LimoLiberal
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,535


Political Matrix
E: -3.71, S: -4.00

« Reply #19 on: December 19, 2017, 08:20:56 PM »

IS SHE ABOUT TO DO IT?
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LimoLiberal
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,535


Political Matrix
E: -3.71, S: -4.00

« Reply #20 on: December 19, 2017, 08:29:50 PM »

Welp, nevermind. Looks like election-day vote isn't as dem friendly.
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LimoLiberal
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,535


Political Matrix
E: -3.71, S: -4.00

« Reply #21 on: December 19, 2017, 08:31:12 PM »


Y'all still think I'm a Republican?
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LimoLiberal
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,535


Political Matrix
E: -3.71, S: -4.00

« Reply #22 on: December 19, 2017, 08:41:34 PM »

Well, it was a nice try:

Tennessee Senate District 17
View County Breakdown
Candidate   Party   Votes   %
Mark Pody   Republican   3,334   53.89%
Mary Alice Carfi   Democratic   2,853   46.11%
Trump carried this district by which margin?

Trump won it 72.2-23.8

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1LQOFljZZmbL13tWJQ7rsBHrnlVHOG-4jp_xaNyK4wSk/edit#gid=662786146
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LimoLiberal
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,535


Political Matrix
E: -3.71, S: -4.00

« Reply #23 on: December 19, 2017, 08:51:05 PM »

How small are Tennessee’s senate districts if only 6500 people voted in this one?

Votes are still coming in.

Tennessee Senate District 17
View County Breakdown
Candidate   Party   Votes   %
Mark Pody   Republican   3,562   53.40%
Mary Alice Carfi   Democratic   3,108   46.60%

Cannon   Final Results   Early Votes, Absentee Votes, Precincts   9 of 9   
Clay   Incomplete   Early Votes, Absentee Votes, Precincts   2 of 7   
Dekalb   Incomplete   Early Votes, Absentee Votes, Precincts   8 of 15   
Macon   Incomplete   Early Votes, Absentee Votes, Precincts   7 of 10   
Smith   Incomplete   Early Votes, Absentee Votes, Precincts   1 of 8   
Wilson   Incomplete   Early Votes, Absentee Votes   0 of 31   

Wilson will likely end up giving the Republican a big lead.

It was the least pro-Trump county out of all the counties in the district.
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LimoLiberal
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,535


Political Matrix
E: -3.71, S: -4.00

« Reply #24 on: December 19, 2017, 09:14:45 PM »

Everything in except for 11 Wilson precincts

Tennessee Senate District 17
View County Breakdown
Candidate   Party   Votes   %
Mark Pody   Republican   5,253   53.01%
Mary Alice Carfi   Democratic   4,657   46.99%


Carfi wins Clay, Dekalb and Smith counties by 7, 3, and 1 points respectively.

Trump won them by 49, 52, and 51 points.
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