State Legislature Special Election Mega Thread

[Holmes]

The Democrat has 100% of the vote with 2 votes in in SD-30. Stop the count!

[Holmes]

It'll be an easy hold as usual, but it would be funny if the Republican came in third.

[Holmes]

64/109 districts reporting (all of Suffolk is in, none of Nassau):
 
Christine Pellegrino (D): 59.26% , 3338 
Thomas A. Gargiulo (R): 40.51% , 2282

MAJOR UPSET ALERT

Holy sh**t. Does this district fall entirely within NY-2?

Yes, I believe so.

Maybe Democrats can try to win every congressional district in New York!

Gillibrand will next year. Cuomo will win a large majority of them. Democrats should aim for 2006/2008-level seat gains in New York.

[Holmes]

Wow, that turnout is abysmal.

[Holmes]

Wow a couple thousand dollars could have helped the SCDP pull an upset there.

Um. No.

[Holmes]

Dems got a 12-point swing in that seat.

Still, getting less than 35% is pretty pathetic.

It's a district the Democrats usually don't even field a candidate in during General Elections.   

Is it pathetic that Republicans can't get 20% in San Francisco?

San Francisco doesn't matter.

It matters more than some rando Tennessee state House district considering the next Speaker of the House is from there.

[Holmes]

So the dems overperformed in HD-70 and underperformed in HD-48.

It's hard to say either because both seats are so often unopposed. The last time HD-48 was contested was in 2014 when Norman won by ~46%. HD-70's been uncontested for a long time.

[Holmes]

What a sad showing. Maybe if the Democrat didn't run a write-in campaign, there would be an indie representing this district.

[Holmes]

LOL

WMUR TV @WMUR9
Unofficial results from Concord Ward 9 @NHHouseofReps special: Democrat @KrisSchultzNH 284; Republican Michael Feeley 82 #nhpolitics #WMUR

https://twitter.com/wmur9/status/887453598648602624

Dems won here in 2016 by 11%. Now it's 50%+. New Hampshire is so susceptible to violent swings.

lol@ ~385 voters in total

[Holmes]

I think New Hampshire men may be joining their female counterparts in being angry.

[Holmes]

That is a ginormous win. There is a light in IA yet.

Yup. Iowa was never gone but it'll take some work to get the state back to 2008-2012 levels for Democrats. A full slate and good showing in 2018 and a strong Democratic candidate in 2020 would go a long way.

[Holmes]

IK it is a little off topic, but could we please get links for fairfax at large school board race, birmingham al mayoral race, mobile al mayoral race, and Rhode Island sd 13 elections today please? As well as the candidates, their bios, their beliefs, and affiliations, thanks.

Re: Birmingham Mayor:

"Excitement building at Randall Woodfin party. Mayoral challenger has 46% of vote with 1/3 of vote counted. Mayor Bell trails @WVTM13"

Wonderful news!

Crazy, but not unwelcome.

[Holmes]

I've just read the articles that have popped up here and there over the past few days about the race. You've probably seen them too. It's my impression that Bell isn't unpopular but people want someone new. Bell is basically Some Guy who became mayor.

[Holmes]

Do we have actual vote totals?

I think I saw election day vote totals but nothing final from election day and vote by mail due to the embargoed ballots.

Euer (DEM): 1811
Smith (GOP): 1217
Larson (GRE): 19
Ripoli (LIB): 71

Apparently those totals include everything from election day, but none of the mail-ins. It works out to a margin of 58%-39%. That's a notable swing to Republicans from Clinton's 65%-30% win. A bad sign for democrats everywhere.

#DemsInDisarray

[Holmes]

Bryce Marlatt, Republican State Senator for District 27, resigned today after being arrested and charged with sexual battery after apparently groping an Uber driver. So, I guess that means we are getting another Oklahoma special election.

Jesus Christ. Is this like the 6th OK special?

I think it would be 8 this year. They also could potentially leave the seat open until 2018.

I don't see why they should. It would be open for about 15 months.

[Holmes]

Landrigan says St. Clair only lost Belmont by 8 votes.

[Holmes]

Man the GOP is getting massacred tonight.

2018's gonna be good.

[Holmes]

The Hattiesburg Post‏ @HattiesburgPost
With all precincts reporting, Ferraez 293, McGee 1,359, Mercier 685, Rehner 762.

Looks like it will be McGee (GOP) and Rehner (DEM) in the runoff.

Mercier and Ferraez's affiliation?

Republican I believe.

[Holmes]

The two races in Florida should be very interesting to watch tonight. Both are Clinton seats where Republicans won downballot in 2016.

They might give some insight on FL-27 and FL-26 for next year.

[Holmes]

I like how Louisiana has elections on Saturdays.

[Holmes]

Yeah, usually they talk to a room of phone bankers or canvassers and participate in the GOTV themselves, maybe.

[Holmes]

Freedom map!
https://twitter.com/mcimaps/status/930649947460046848?s=17

Well, those Clinton voters in those two precincts get their Democratic state senator.

[Holmes]

Dem crushing in PA-133 HD race.

133rd Legislative District County Breakdown
MCNEILL, JEANNE
(DEM)
67.14%
    Votes: 284
MOLONY, DAVID
(REP)
26.95%
    Votes: 114
DORNEY, SAMANTHA X
(LIB)
5.91%
    Votes: 25

Is this just the early vote? The site says 0 precincts reporting. Either way, so far it's a better showing than even 2012.

[Holmes]

30% in for PA HD 133, Dem now up by 45%.

[Holmes]

30% in for PA HD 133, Dem now up by 45%.

That PA seat looks like a lock.

It always was, but the swing is massive, as has been the general trend.