State Legislature Special Election Mega Thread (user search)
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Author Topic: State Legislature Special Election Mega Thread  (Read 176263 times)
Gass3268
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« on: May 23, 2017, 07:27:02 PM »

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Gass3268
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« Reply #1 on: May 23, 2017, 09:20:03 PM »

Pellegrino is an elementary school teacher and was a Bernie delegate.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #2 on: May 23, 2017, 10:34:43 PM »

I'm thinking Long Island is one of those places you can bet will swing pretty hard against Trump in 2020.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #3 on: July 26, 2017, 08:36:17 AM »

Next elections:

Senate   MO   28   8/8/17               
House   MO   50   8/8/17   

Not sure what the PVI is for HD50, but there is a lot of Boone County in that district. SD28 is Safe R.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #4 on: August 30, 2017, 10:12:58 AM »


If Democrats get this margin up and down the ticket in November, all three state Democrats will win and Democrats will pick up at least 10 seats in the House.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #5 on: August 30, 2017, 11:04:09 AM »


If Democrats get this margin up and down the ticket in November, all three state Democrats will win and Democrats will pick up at least 10 seats in the House.

I don't think he outperformed Hillary though

Keys-Gamarra won 64-33
Clinton won 64-29

Clinton had a larger margin, but Keys-Gamarra matched her %.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #6 on: September 13, 2017, 09:08:23 AM »

Here are some charts that show a growing trend that should worry Republicans:



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Gass3268
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« Reply #7 on: September 26, 2017, 08:20:59 PM »

It's been a good night on the state level.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #8 on: October 17, 2017, 08:17:33 PM »

Just reading on DKE that Shorsleeve was a Sanders -> Trump voter, probably took more than Feeney.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #9 on: November 12, 2017, 09:49:22 PM »

Senate District 10 in Wisconsin will have a special election on Tuesday, January 16, 2018.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #10 on: November 12, 2017, 10:20:31 PM »


Trump won it 55-38, but it looks like the Democrats got a decent candidate with the St. Criox County Medical Examiner. Probably won't be competative, but it will be interesting to look at the changes in the margins.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #11 on: November 15, 2017, 10:57:34 AM »


I'm surprised Albuquerque had a Republican mayor to begin with.

Not only did they have a Republican mayor, they had one for over a decade.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #12 on: January 17, 2018, 07:07:36 AM »


That is a horrid result for Republicans in AD-58. What a night!
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Gass3268
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« Reply #13 on: January 17, 2018, 08:22:51 AM »

Just to be clear, even for western WI, this is heavy R territory. BIG win today.

Yup, I think Obama in 08 was the last time a Democrat won or was close here.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #14 on: January 17, 2018, 11:10:48 AM »

Could Republicans really lose WOW? It's talk-radio country!

I doubt they lose WOW, but there’s a risk they get poor margins and raw vote totals out of it, which would be fatal

Plus some of the baconmadered districts that cut into the white areas of Milwaukee County are really at risk.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #15 on: January 17, 2018, 11:12:16 AM »

Could Republicans really lose WOW? It's talk-radio country!

I doubt they lose WOW, but there’s a risk they get poor margins and raw vote totals out of it, which would be fatal

Plus some of the baconmadered districts that cut into the white areas of Milwaukee County are really at risk.

SD-05 comes to mind too.

Yup, has to be considered a Lean D district at this time.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #16 on: January 23, 2018, 08:32:21 PM »

Allegheny County has a map
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Gass3268
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« Reply #17 on: January 23, 2018, 08:45:33 PM »

I have a gut feeling the Republican is going to win, or make it a close-ish race

By rule of reverse-banshee, the Democrat is winning by a landslide then?

Yup, first 11.9% reported:

Davis 78.53% 373
Walker-Montgomery 21.47% 102
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Gass3268
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« Reply #18 on: January 23, 2018, 08:48:28 PM »

I have a gut feeling the Republican is going to win, or make it a close-ish race

More rain in NOVA I presume?

Don't forget about that Alabama rain!
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Gass3268
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« Reply #19 on: January 23, 2018, 08:51:05 PM »

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This bodes well for at least getting a competative PA-18.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #20 on: February 06, 2018, 09:29:25 PM »


I had a good feeling about this one!
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Gass3268
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« Reply #21 on: February 06, 2018, 09:32:11 PM »

Source!!!
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Gass3268
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« Reply #22 on: February 06, 2018, 10:09:51 PM »


Did he have three of them?
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Gass3268
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« Reply #23 on: February 06, 2018, 11:51:46 PM »

My man already on the spin: https://twitter.com/ScottPresler/status/961085630758490112

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Bonus cringe picture:



Is that person in the pic one of the women the GOP elected?

Do not read the comments, people actually believe this nonsense.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #24 on: February 12, 2018, 11:59:22 AM »

I'm predicting a Democratic sweep tonight in Minnesota.
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