LA SEN 2022: Will John Bel Edwards run?
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  LA SEN 2022: Will John Bel Edwards run?		 « previous next »
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Question: Yes or no?
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Author Topic: LA SEN 2022: Will John Bel Edwards run?  (Read 2222 times)
Greedo punched first
ERM64man
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« on: July 11, 2017, 11:30:59 PM »
Is John Neely Kennedy vulnerable in 2020 to losing a primary challenge or losing to JBE? Will JBE run?
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MAINEiac4434
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« Reply #1 on: July 12, 2017, 01:52:14 PM »
Too far out. But JNK always seemed like a weak candidate to me.
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Kingpoleon
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« Reply #2 on: July 12, 2017, 03:31:22 PM »
I doubt it, but I could see Fayard beating him.
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Greedo punched first
ERM64man
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« Reply #3 on: July 12, 2017, 06:17:03 PM »
Quote from: Al Franken 2020 on July 12, 2017, 01:52:14 PM
Too far out. But JNK always seemed like a weak candidate to me.
He did seem weak. Before winning a Senate seat, he was a perennial candidate.
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Del Tachi
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« Reply #4 on: July 13, 2017, 01:45:10 PM »
He could be a strong candidate, especially if 2022 is a Republican midterm
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windjammer
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« Reply #5 on: July 14, 2017, 06:54:02 AM »
He won't run unless Trump is reelected.
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Alabama_Indy10
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« Reply #6 on: July 14, 2017, 08:15:20 AM »
To me, he seems like the type of politician who has no further ambitions than governor.
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MAINEiac4434
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« Reply #7 on: July 14, 2017, 11:15:04 AM »
Quote from: MT Treasurer on July 14, 2017, 03:53:50 AM
Quote from: Al Franken 2020 on July 12, 2017, 01:52:14 PM
Too far out. But JNK always seemed like a weak candidate to me.

I like him, but this is correct. He got lucky in 2016 that the Democrats didn't really seriously contest the race and Campbell turned out to be a paper tiger. I think JBE vs. Kennedy would be a Tossup in a GOP midterm and Lean/Likely R if a Democrat wins in 2020.
Yeah, instead of trying to help Campbell win Democrats (not the party, the activists) focused on Jill Stein's asinine recount efforts.
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Young Conservative
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« Reply #8 on: July 14, 2017, 11:24:39 AM »
Quote from: Kingpoleon on July 12, 2017, 03:31:22 PM
I doubt it, but I could see Fayard beating him.
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BuckeyeNut
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« Reply #9 on: July 14, 2017, 11:27:01 AM »
Quote from: MT Treasurer on July 14, 2017, 03:53:50 AM
Quote from: Al Franken 2020 on July 12, 2017, 01:52:14 PM
Too far out. But JNK always seemed like a weak candidate to me.

I like him, but this is correct. He got lucky in 2016 that the Democrats didn't really seriously contest the race and Campbell turned out to be a paper tiger. I think JBE vs. Kennedy would be a Tossup in a GOP midterm and Lean/Likely R if a Democrat wins in 2020.

Paper tiger seems generous, TBH.
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Kamala
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« Reply #10 on: July 14, 2017, 02:23:46 PM »

I like Fayard. Shame she's in such an R-dominated state.
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Greedo punched first
ERM64man
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« Reply #11 on: July 14, 2017, 03:38:14 PM »
Will John Neely Kennedy be a one-term Senator?
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Kingpoleon
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« Reply #12 on: July 14, 2017, 05:42:51 PM »
Quote from: Young Texan on July 14, 2017, 03:46:21 PM
No, JBE's political future doesn't have the senate in it. He will run for President eventually, but lose in a landslide because Dems are dumb and wouldn't nominate him. The best he will get is a low level cabinet job like at HUD, Transporation, or maybe even Energy.
I could see him landing a job as Attorney General or Secretary of the Army.
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Shameless Lefty Hack
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« Reply #13 on: July 14, 2017, 05:54:36 PM »
I think we can only start to figure out JBE's future beyond Baton Rouge on October 13/Nov 14, 2019. If he's re-elected by a healthy margin, I could imagine him taking on Bill Cassidy in 2026 after some time in the private sector. If he loses, he won't run for anything else.
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Not_Madigan
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« Reply #14 on: July 14, 2017, 06:20:57 PM »
If he wins by 10 points or more he should most likely run.
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Attorney General, Senator-Elect, & Former PPT Dwarven Dragon
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« Reply #15 on: July 15, 2017, 01:43:46 AM »
Quote from: Shameless Bernie Hack on July 14, 2017, 05:54:36 PM
I think we can only start to figure out JBE's future beyond Baton Rouge on October 13/Nov 14, 2019. If he's re-elected by a healthy margin, I could imagine him taking on Bill Cassidy in 2026 after some time in the private sector. If he loses, he won't run for anything else.
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Zioneer
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« Reply #16 on: July 15, 2017, 01:21:33 PM »
Quote from: Alabama_Indy10 on July 14, 2017, 08:15:20 AM
To me, he seems like the type of politician who has no further ambitions than governor.
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NewYorkExpress
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« Reply #17 on: July 15, 2017, 01:38:49 PM »
I'm not convinced he's going to win re-election...a non-Vitter Republican should beat him in 2019.
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Lord Admirale
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« Reply #18 on: July 16, 2017, 05:09:11 PM »
Quote from: NewYorkExpress on July 15, 2017, 01:38:49 PM
I'm not convinced he's going to win re-election...a non-Vitter Republican should beat him in 2019.
JBE is pretty popular. In April, his approval rating was at 60%.
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The Other Castro
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« Reply #19 on: July 16, 2017, 05:33:31 PM »
He doesn't strike me as someone that would want to serve in a body as useless as the Senate.
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NewYorkExpress
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« Reply #20 on: July 16, 2017, 08:31:21 PM »
Quote from: Irritable Moderate on July 16, 2017, 05:09:11 PM
Quote from: NewYorkExpress on July 15, 2017, 01:38:49 PM
I'm not convinced he's going to win re-election...a non-Vitter Republican should beat him in 2019.
JBE is pretty popular. In April, his approval rating was at 60%.

If Charlie Baker and Larry Hogan lose, than JBE certainly can lose (and Hogan probably will, less sure about Baker).
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Lord Admirale
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« Reply #21 on: July 16, 2017, 10:19:01 PM »
Quote from: NewYorkExpress on July 16, 2017, 08:31:21 PM
Quote from: Irritable Moderate on July 16, 2017, 05:09:11 PM
Quote from: NewYorkExpress on July 15, 2017, 01:38:49 PM
I'm not convinced he's going to win re-election...a non-Vitter Republican should beat him in 2019.
JBE is pretty popular. In April, his approval rating was at 60%.

If Charlie Baker and Larry Hogan lose, than JBE certainly can lose (and Hogan probably will, less sure about Baker).
Baker is polling well ahead of his Democratic challengers, iirc
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Greedo punched first
ERM64man
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« Reply #22 on: July 20, 2017, 02:49:04 PM »
Rauner will probably lose.
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JoshPA
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« Reply #23 on: July 21, 2017, 05:22:46 PM »
Quote from: ERM64man on July 11, 2017, 11:30:59 PM
Is John Neely Kennedy vulnerable in 2020 to losing a primary challenge or losing to JBE? Will JBE run?

No on both.
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