2017 Nova Scotia Provincial Election Prediction Thread

[DC Al Fine]

With advance polling well under way, it's time to post the prediction thread. Winner gets my undying respect.

Overall result
Popular vote:
Seats:

Greater Halifax
Clayton Park West:
Dartmouth East:
Dartmouth South:
Halifax Armdale:
Halifax Chebucto:
Hammonds Plains-Lucasville:
Waverley-Fall River-Beaverbank:

Rest of Nova Scotia
Chester-St. Margaret's:
Cumberland North:
Hants West:
Lunenburg:
Sydney-Whitney Pier:
Truro-Bible Hill-Millbrook-Salmon River:
Queens-Shelburne:
Victoria-The Lakes:

Trends
Largest pro-Liberal trend:
Largest anti-Liberal trend:
Largest pro-Tory trend:
Largest anti-Tory trend:
Largest pro-NDP trend:
Largest anti-NDP trend:

I'm not married to these ideas, so if anyone has an idea for something else to guess, by all means let me know and I'll add it to the thread.

[DC Al Fine]

And now my guesses

Overall result
Popular vote: Liberal: 43%, Tory: 31%, NDP: 25%, Other: 1%

Seats: Liberal: 28, Tory: 17, NDP: 6, Other: 0

Greater Halifax
Clayton Park West: Liberal
Dartmouth East: Liberal
Dartmouth South: Liberal
Halifax Armdale: Liberal
Halifax Chebucto: NDP
Hammonds Plains-Lucasville: Tory
Waverley-Fall River-Beaverbank: Tory

Rest of Nova Scotia
Chester-St. Margaret's: Tory
Cumberland North: Tory
Hants West: Liberal
Lunenburg: Tory
Sydney-Whitney Pier: Liberal
Truro-Bible Hill-Millbrook-Salmon River: Tory
Queens-Shelburne: Tory
Victoria-The Lakes: Liberal

Trends
Largest pro-Liberal trend: Hants West
Largest anti-Liberal trend: Clayton Park West
Largest pro-Tory trend: Hammonds Plains-Lucasville
Largest anti-Tory trend: Hants West
Largest pro-NDP trend: Cole Harbour-Eastern Passage
Largest anti-NDP trend: Queens-Shelburne

[Poirot]

Seeing not many competitors I might try to win this. What is the pro and anti trend? Is it the most or least % won by a party in a riding? 

[DC Al Fine]

Seeing not many competitors I might try to win this. What is the pro and anti trend? Is it the most or least % won by a party in a riding? 

Pro and anti trend refers to the swing in a seat relative to the overall swing. For example, if the Tories suffer a -10% swing in federal elections but improve their vote share by 5% Calgary West, then Calgary West has a 15% pro-Tory trend.

[Poirot]

The tredn category is difficult for people unfamiliar since it's more than guessing a winner.

Overall result
Popular vote: Lib 41.5%  PC 32% NDP 23.5% Others 3%
Seats: Lib 28 PC 18 NDP 5

Greater Halifax
Clayton Park West: LIB
Dartmouth East: LIB
Dartmouth South: LIB
Halifax Armdale: LIB
Halifax Chebucto: NDP
Hammonds Plains-Lucasville: PC
Waverley-Fall River-Beaverbank: PC

Rest of Nova Scotia
Chester-St. Margaret's: PC
Cumberland North: PC
Hants West: LIB
Lunenburg: LIB
Sydney-Whitney Pier: NDP
Truro-Bible Hill-Millbrook-Salmon River: NDP
Queens-Shelburne: PC
Victoria-The Lakes: PC

Trends
Largest pro-Liberal trend: Hants West
Largest anti-Liberal trend: Clayton Park West
Largest pro-Tory trend: Dartmouth East
Largest anti-Tory trend: Hants West
Largest pro-NDP trend: Halifax Chebucto
Largest anti-NDP trend: Queens-Shelburne