Where should the Democratic Party appeal to: NOVA or Youngstown, Ohio? (user search)
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April 30, 2024, 05:10:49 AM
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  Where should the Democratic Party appeal to: NOVA or Youngstown, Ohio? (search mode)
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Author Topic: Where should the Democratic Party appeal to: NOVA or Youngstown, Ohio?  (Read 1838 times)
MT Treasurer
IndyRep
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« on: May 28, 2017, 03:57:46 PM »
« edited: May 28, 2017, 03:59:17 PM by MT Treasurer »

Whether RINO Tom likes it or not, they will focus on places like GA-06 and VA-10 and not Ohio or Iowa.

They'll "focus" wherever they think they can win, but that isn't going to push them into a conservative economic platform to become, as you've so eloquently put it in the past, a "Fairfax County party."  They who most of their voters are, and their interests are diametrically opposed with a Democratic Party that becomes GOP lite on economic issues.

The thing is... I highly doubt that economic issues are all these voters care about (and even if that were the case, a good chunk of them would vote for Democrats). These places are also changing demographically and much more receptive to the Democratic message (whatever you think it is) than they would have been in 2010 or so. There's a reason why Jon Ossoff is likely to win the special election in GA. I'm not sure why many Republicans assume that places like GA-06 will trend Republican again once Trump is no longer on the ballot.

I'm also not saying that Democrats won't be competitive in statewide or even Senate races in many of these states like WI or MI or that all suburban areas are destined to trend Democratic, but IMO it's pretty clear that their future lies in the Sun Belt rather than the Rust Belt. And you can make fun of the term "Fairfax County party" for as long as you want, but the Democrats have been courting these voters for a long time now (although I agree that NoVA is not your "typical" suburban area).
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MT Treasurer
IndyRep
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*****
Posts: 15,276
United States


« Reply #1 on: May 30, 2017, 01:09:56 PM »

This is all speculation, really. No one knows what the party coalitions in 2040 will look like, so all we can do is make a random guess.

I personally doubt that states like Iowa will be more Democratic than New York in 2040, but whatever. Plus, I can't really imagine working class Whites being more Democratic than College educated Whites or affluent, upscale minorities by then, even though that's obviously what most Republicans on this forum want to happen.
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