Jerry Brown 2020 case

[American2020]

What are his chances to win Democratic nomination ?

Who should be his running-mate ?

What du you expect will be his programm ?

What could be his performance in GE ?

What are his strengths and weaknesses ?

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/articles/2017/05/09/californias_geriatric_liberal_leadership_133826.html

[LLR]

He'll be 82 on Election Day....

[#gravelgang #lessiglad]

What are his chances to win Democratic nomination ?

As alluded to above, bad, in large part due to his age. He could be a brokered convention compromise candidate with a young, progressive (or progressive-ish) VP.

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A more credentialed Joakim Castro. Beto O'Rourke if he pulls a miracle over Cruz. Kirsten Gillibrand. Jason Kander if he had won his Senate race.

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I've run the largest state in the country for over a decade cumulatively. Experience, experience, experience.

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Poor. Voters seem not to really care about experience and tend to prefer charisma. Brown has the former in spades, but relatively little of the latter.

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Experience

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Age.

[Sir Mohamed]

He won't run due to his age, though I really admire our governor.


What are his chances to win Democratic nomination ?

- Depends on the other candidates. I wouldn't rule it out that he wins it nomination, but he wouldn't start as the clear frontrunner.


Who should be his running-mate ?

- Some names that would make sense: Kirsten Gillibrand, Amy Klobuchar, Julian Castro, Cory Booker or Martin Heinrich


What du you expect will be his programm ?

- Average Democratic on social and most economic issues with a streak of fiscal discipline, a strong focus on climate change and green energy, electoral reform (end gerrymandering) as well as campaign finance reform.


What could be his performance in GE ?

- Against Trump? 60% chance he wins. Against Pence? 70% wining chance. He would likely win back MI, PA and probably WI. Good chance he carries FL as well. Strongly competitive in AZ and a 35% chance for OH.


What are his strengths and weaknesses ?

- Pros: Longtime experience in government and a strong gubernatorial record, a decent man with no scandals. Cons: Age, only an average speaker/campaigner

[FEMA Camp Administrator]

We're 40 years too late, I'm afraid.