Devils30
YaBB God
Posts: 4,990
Political Matrix E: -2.06, S: -4.00
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« on: May 27, 2017, 03:10:01 PM » |
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Obviously it is too early to speculate every little detail but it's possible to make some guesses. I think by the fall of 2020, Americans will be beyond tired with this administration, leading to a possible realigning election and Democratic landslide. 2020 is completely consistent with the 32-48 year patterns in political eras that include 1828,1860,1896,1932,1980.
If Democrats get the House in 2018 and/or 2020, I expect heavy pressure to pass legislation that closes tax loopholes, forgives/lessens the burden of student loans and regulates Wall Street. If the party is smart, they will attempt to get the GOP on record opposing popular bills after years of Trump fatigue.
In the Senate, a realistic 2018 includes the red state Dems holding serve and gaining Nevada. If things get really ugly for the GOP, I expect Dems to win Arizona as well. Anything better than 50/50 is really not realistic. For 2020, Dems may gain an open Maine, CO, NC and could put IA, AK in play with the right candidates. If the Dems get to 53-54, they would need to realistically consider abolishing the legislative filibuster and keep up the offensive on 2022 GOP senators in the hopes it becomes like 1934.
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