Predict the number of House seats Dems will pick up in 2018 (May 2017 edition) (user search)
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  Predict the number of House seats Dems will pick up in 2018 (May 2017 edition) (search mode)
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Poll
Question: How many House seats do you think the Democrats will pick up in 2018?
#1
60+
 
#2
40-60
 
#3
30-40
 
#4
25-30
 
#5
10-25
 
#6
0-9
 
#7
Loss of 0-9
 
#8
Loss of >10
 
Show Pie Chart
Partisan results

Total Voters: 114

Author Topic: Predict the number of House seats Dems will pick up in 2018 (May 2017 edition)  (Read 7872 times)
McGovernForPrez
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,073


« on: May 28, 2017, 10:00:06 PM »

I said 30-40. I figure I'm being on the conservative side, given my expectations. Nixon lost 48 seats during Watergate. Trump is messing with healthcare which is inherently the type of thing which causes large waves. The American middle class really cares about their healthcare, and Obamacare is currently polling well above water. Even if the AHCA fails we could see a 1994 style wave. The economy is a big wild card but there's a chance it shows cracks in the facade by 2018, employment wise Trump has nowhere to go but down. Given these three combined factors I think the minimum number of seats we could see flipped is around the high 20's and low 30's.
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McGovernForPrez
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,073


« Reply #1 on: May 29, 2017, 06:28:25 PM »

Given how few competitive House seats there are, 4 or 5 seats.
Lol, why are you the worst poster here. I could name 15 competitive seats off the top of my head.
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