Predict the number of House seats Dems will pick up in 2018 (May 2017 edition)

[Badger]

I will revise my prediction down to 20 for now. But I could see it as few as 6 seats or as much as 42. The large range is due to so much uncertainly in recruitment, polarization and how partisan people have become compared to 2006.

It is not even out of question it will be a President Pence.

This. I voted 10-25. I suspect that due to gerrymandering the Democrats will fall short.

BTW to the OP, can you make the voting choices just a tad closer together? "10-25"? That's a massive difference between "Democrats disappointed by limited gains, flip less than a dozen seats", and "Democrats re-take the House! What next for the Trump (or Pence) White House?". It doesn't even force one to answer the penultimate question of who'll be in charge come 2019.  (rant off).

[Badger]

I will revise my prediction down to 20 for now. But I could see it as few as 6 seats or as much as 42. The large range is due to so much uncertainly in recruitment, polarization and how partisan people have become compared to 2006.

It is not even out of question it will be a President Pence.

This. I voted 10-25. I suspect that due to gerrymandering the Democrats will fall short.

BTW to the OP, can you make the voting choices just a tad closer together? "10-25"? That's a massive difference between "Democrats disappointed by limited gains, flip less than a dozen seats", and "Democrats re-take the House! What next for the Trump (or Pence) White House?". It doesn't even force one to answer the penultimate question of who'll be in charge come 2019.  (rant off).

To be honest, this GOP gerrymander never took into account a so big collapse in the suburbs, this gerrymander is much less effective than it was in 2010

That may apply in places like the Philly burbs, but if you look at Ohio's map most of the seats are bulwarked by reaching deep into rural areas without having to seriously rely on suburban voters for survival. The 1st is perhaps an exception looking just at boundaries, but Warren County, though overwhelmingly suburban, is exactly the type of outer ring suburbs that remain devoutly Republican for the foreseeable future.

If Warren County suburbs ever become even close to competitive for Democrats, the Ohio GOP will at such point be weaker than California's. Don't hold your breath.