UK General Election, 2017 - Election Day and Results Thread
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Author Topic: UK General Election, 2017 - Election Day and Results Thread  (Read 144859 times)
Phony Moderate
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« on: June 07, 2017, 06:00:39 PM »
« edited: June 07, 2017, 06:03:38 PM by Phony Moderate »

It's now election day over here.

We still probably have an Ipsos-MORI poll to be released in the afternoon, maybe a YouGov 'how did you vote?' poll too. And of course the exit poll as soon as polling stations close at 10:00PM.

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#TheShadowyAbyss
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« Reply #1 on: June 07, 2017, 09:36:50 PM »

So, either momentum swung back to the Tories in the final 48 hours, or someone is going to have egg on their face tomorrow night.
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Fubart Solman
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« Reply #2 on: June 07, 2017, 10:14:42 PM »

So, either momentum swung back to the Tories in the final 48 hours, or someone is going to have egg on their face tomorrow night.

Interesting that YouGov shot back towards the mean.

I'm still thinking that the Tories will win by about 5% or so (including NI), but that Survation poll is interesting to say the least. They got it pretty spot on last time.

For those who missed the full Survation poll results:

Conservatives 41
Labour 40
LibDems 8
SNP 4
UKIP 2
Green 2
Others 2

Also, big news, guys!

We got a poll with Labour ahead! Never heard of Qriously though.


Labour 41
Conservatives 39
Lib Dems 6
UKIP 3
Others 11

I got the Qriously results from 538. Does anyone have info SNP and Greens in the Qriously poll?
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Dr Oz Lost Party!
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« Reply #3 on: June 07, 2017, 10:37:34 PM »

It does look like the Tories are going into the day with some slight momentum. Just what they need.
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Tender Branson
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« Reply #4 on: June 07, 2017, 10:41:23 PM »

Qriously is an Austrian polling startup company, focused on polling that uses mobile apps.

From what I remember, their swing state polls in the US were pretty accurate, predicting Trump wins in PA and MI for example.

But in the UK I guess they will be off this time ...
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Antonio the Sixth
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« Reply #5 on: June 07, 2017, 10:51:26 PM »

Well, that sure makes me Qrious about them.
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Tender Branson
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« Reply #6 on: June 07, 2017, 10:53:58 PM »

Qriously also did really well in the recent South Korea and Dutch elections (their first polls ever !), but did badly in the Turkish referendum (predicting a 59% Yes win, Yes won with 51.4%).
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« Reply #7 on: June 07, 2017, 10:57:32 PM »

So, either momentum swung back to the Tories in the final 48 hours, or someone is going to have egg on their face tomorrow night.

Interesting that YouGov shot back towards the mean.

I'm still thinking that the Tories will win by about 5% or so (including NI), but that Survation poll is interesting to say the least. They got it pretty spot on last time.

For those who missed the full Survation poll results:

Conservatives 41
Labour 40
LibDems 8
SNP 4
UKIP 2
Green 2
Others 2

Also, big news, guys!

We got a poll with Labour ahead! Never heard of Qriously though.


Labour 41
Conservatives 39
Lib Dems 6
UKIP 3
Others 11

I got the Qriously results from 538. Does anyone have info SNP and Greens in the Qriously poll?


Took them long enough to get ONE Positive poll for labour, though I doubt this will prove true. 
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Antonio the Sixth
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« Reply #8 on: June 07, 2017, 10:58:18 PM »


You support Labour? Huh


It does look like the Tories are going into the day with some slight momentum. Just what they need.

No party has "momentum" unless you're cherry-picking which polls to look at.
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Atlas Has Shrugged
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« Reply #9 on: June 07, 2017, 11:29:24 PM »

So election night begins at 5:00 PM EST then?
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Antonio the Sixth
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« Reply #10 on: June 07, 2017, 11:43:44 PM »


Yeah, I can't stand May and Corbyn is definitely one of the better Labourites IMO. Really looking forward to the results.

Also like you said, the polls are all over the place, so it's not as if any result (save a Labour landslide) would surprise me here.

I see. I'm honestly not fond of Corbyn as a person (although I love his policies!), so I find it interesting that you like him. Of course he's still an infinitely better human being than May either way.
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Pragmatic Conservative
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« Reply #11 on: June 07, 2017, 11:56:21 PM »
« Edited: June 08, 2017, 12:22:09 AM by Deputy Game Moderator 1184AZ »

Yes but first results are more likely to be declared closer to 6 pm est. Though their will be an exit poll released at 5 pm est.
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OSR stands with Israel
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« Reply #12 on: June 07, 2017, 11:58:57 PM »

is a seat only declared in the uk after all the votes in a seat has been counted or do they do it like they do in the US where they call a seat as soon as the polls close
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#TheShadowyAbyss
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« Reply #13 on: June 08, 2017, 12:06:56 AM »

is a seat only declared in the uk after all the votes in a seat has been counted or do they do it like they do in the US where they call a seat as soon as the polls close

Only after all the votes have been counted and the results are announced.
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#TheShadowyAbyss
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« Reply #14 on: June 08, 2017, 12:07:43 AM »

Anyone think Houghton and Sunderland South will be the first constituency to be declared again this year?
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trebor204
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« Reply #15 on: June 08, 2017, 12:27:30 AM »

Is there any reason why the UK counts all the ballots for each riding at once at a 'Central Office' instead at the polling station. It could take hours for all the ballots to arrive before the counting even begins.
It normally takes around 1 hour, to count the ballots at the polling station, you can phone the results to Returning Officer,  which are fed the media, and have the media make projections on who won.
However, you will be missing have the Returning Officer announcing the results with the candidates.
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Swedish Rainbow Capitalist Cheese
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« Reply #16 on: June 08, 2017, 12:40:21 AM »

Anyone think Houghton and Sunderland South will be the first constituency to be declared again this year?

Well the Sunderland South constituency has been the first to declare for every single GE in my lifetime, so it'd be quite a shocker if they didn't.

Of course, Sunderland as a whole was only second to declare in Great Britain during the EU referendum, so some other constituencies might try to beat them this year, but I doubt it. 
Is there any reason why the UK counts all the ballots for each riding at once at a 'Central Office' instead at the polling station. It could take hours for all the ballots to arrive before the counting even begins.
It normally takes around 1 hour, to count the ballots at the polling station, you can phone the results to Returning Officer,  which are fed the media, and have the media make projections on who won.
However, you will be missing have the Returning Officer announcing the results with the candidates.

In difference to most countries, it is not allowed to publish results by polling station in Britain. If  I remember correctly, it's a long-standing tradition dating back to when powerful land-owners and factory owners punished their workers if they discovered that their local area had not voted for their favoured candidate.   
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Klartext89
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« Reply #17 on: June 08, 2017, 01:37:38 AM »


Yeah, I can't stand May and Corbyn is definitely one of the better Labourites IMO. Really looking forward to the results.

Also like you said, the polls are all over the place, so it's not as if any result (save a Labour landslide) would surprise me here.

THe RINO strikes again, lmao, embarrassing.

Only a few hours more and the Islamist lover, anti-semite Socialist nightmare is prevented for another 5 years.
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World politics is up Schmitt creek
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« Reply #18 on: June 08, 2017, 02:43:15 AM »


Tough talk from somebody who can't be a Republican because he's not an American.
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parochial boy
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« Reply #19 on: June 08, 2017, 02:44:28 AM »

This is totally anecdotal of course, but I was talking to some of the people I used to work with in London. In 2015, I would say about 70% voted Conservative, this time, not a single one is.

Obviously, middle class twenty-somethings in London are a bit of an odd demographic in this election, but there are definitely a crowd of more-or-less socially liberal, right leaning voters who are plumping for the Communist over the Fascist.
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Phony Moderate
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« Reply #20 on: June 08, 2017, 02:55:42 AM »

This is totally anecdotal of course, but I was talking to some of the people I used to work with in London. In 2015, I would say about 70% voted Conservative, this time, not a single one is.

Obviously, middle class twenty-somethings in London are a bit of an odd demographic in this election, but there are definitely a crowd of more-or-less socially liberal, right leaning voters who are plumping for the Communist over the Fascist.

Yeah, people who are happy to take a 0.3% tax increase or whatever over having their emails read.
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Klartext89
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« Reply #21 on: June 08, 2017, 03:23:07 AM »

https://twitter.com/Clevy81/status/872728813897207808

The typically British weather strikes again and it is hitting especially Labour Areas (Merseyside, North, South and West Scotland, Wales).
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Klartext89
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« Reply #22 on: June 08, 2017, 03:23:51 AM »


Tough talk from somebody who can't be a Republican because he's not an American.

But I'm still a better one.
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Klartext89
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« Reply #23 on: June 08, 2017, 03:24:28 AM »
« Edited: June 08, 2017, 03:41:58 AM by Klartext89 »

This is totally anecdotal of course, but I was talking to some of the people I used to work with in London. In 2015, I would say about 70% voted Conservative, this time, not a single one is.

Obviously, middle class twenty-somethings in London are a bit of an odd demographic in this election, but there are definitely a crowd of more-or-less socially liberal, right leaning voters who are plumping for the Communist over the Fascist.

Sure sure.

What always amuses me on Election Days are the stories told by Lefties. The best are:

- All Cons/Republicans/Right-Wingers I know (and I know a lot despite living in a left-wing bubble with of course no immigrants, older People outside family and people I disagree with cause I'm totally tolerant except for other opinions) stay home/vote the other way.
- Turnout in my left-wing are is skyrocking, never have I seen such a long queue
- I spoke with people in the line and all were voting left-wing, some haven't voted in 100 years, even people normally voting the other side admitted proudly they support us.
- texted with a friend in a heavily rural area and NOBODY was in the voting room when he voted, turnout is down there.


We'll see how it turns out, maybe you should look more at the weather forcast cause it's your side depending on low information, sluggish voters to come out.
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parochial boy
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« Reply #24 on: June 08, 2017, 03:49:59 AM »
« Edited: June 08, 2017, 03:59:07 AM by parochial boy »

This is totally anecdotal of course, but I was talking to some of the people I used to work with in London. In 2015, I would say about 70% voted Conservative, this time, not a single one is.

Obviously, middle class twenty-somethings in London are a bit of an odd demographic in this election, but there are definitely a crowd of more-or-less socially liberal, right leaning voters who are plumping for the Communist over the Fascist.

Sure sure.

What always amuses me on Election Days are the stories told by Lefties. The best are:

- All Cons/Republicans/Right-Wingers I know (and I know a lot despite living in a left-wing bubble with of course no immigrants, older People outside family and people I disagree with cause I'm totally tolerant except for other opinions) stay home/vote the other way.
- Turnout in my left-wing are is skyrocking, never have I seen such a long queue
- I spoke with people in the line and all were voting left-wing, some haven't voted in 100 years, even people normally voting the other side admitted proudly they support us.
- texted with a friend in a heavily rural area and NOBODY was in the voting room when he voted, turnout is down there.


We'll see how it turns out, maybe you should look more at the weather forcast cause it's your side depending on low information, sluggish voters to come out.

Can you actually read English?

ah, forget it, I don't want to engage with the living embodiment of a logical fallacy.
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