UK General Election, 2017 - Election Day and Results Thread
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Author Topic: UK General Election, 2017 - Election Day and Results Thread  (Read 144865 times)
World politics is up Schmitt creek
Nathan
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« Reply #350 on: June 08, 2017, 05:10:42 PM »

I think the exit poll merits a change in my username. It might be premature but whatever.
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DavidB.
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« Reply #351 on: June 08, 2017, 05:11:16 PM »

This looks better already. Getting more optimistic.
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Lachi
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« Reply #352 on: June 08, 2017, 05:11:42 PM »

Results in Newcastle substantially better for Tories, according to BBC.

Better than you'd expect based on the exit polls, but by no means good enough

Well... it's not good for Labour either.

Well, it was not really surprising, as they even said that Labour were not going to perform as well in leave seats than in remain seats
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jeron
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« Reply #353 on: June 08, 2017, 05:11:53 PM »
« Edited: June 08, 2017, 05:14:17 PM by jeron »

Results in Newcastle substantially better for Tories, according to BBC.

Better than you'd expect based on the exit polls, but by no means good enough

Well... it's not good for Labour either.


No, but it's still better than the result in Sunderland. It's too early for the bigger picture anyway
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Silent Hunter
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« Reply #354 on: June 08, 2017, 05:12:53 PM »

I'd like to be up on the stage with all the candidates, get 0 votes and jump up and down like I had won.

One council candidate got 0 votes, but the record for a GE is only 1 vote in 200 (Cardiff North)
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CMB222
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« Reply #355 on: June 08, 2017, 05:12:58 PM »

Swing of 3.5% LAB to CON in Sunderland
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Beezer
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« Reply #356 on: June 08, 2017, 05:13:32 PM »

Fake polls strike again!
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Silent Hunter
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« Reply #357 on: June 08, 2017, 05:13:48 PM »

Lib Dems have ruled out a coalition or any deals.
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Lachi
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« Reply #358 on: June 08, 2017, 05:14:06 PM »

The people in the BBC are trying to say that is isn't good for labour when they (I am repeating myself) were already told that labour would do better in REMAIN seats
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jaichind
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« Reply #359 on: June 08, 2017, 05:15:04 PM »


I recall both these seats in 2015 also had LAB under-perform exit polls by a significant margin (although not as much as time as this time) and the result was LAB doing worse than exit polls but not that much.  So CON might still pull out a majority but the result is still a disaster for May.
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#TheShadowyAbyss
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« Reply #360 on: June 08, 2017, 05:15:13 PM »

I think it's still way too early to say anything yet.
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Swedish Rainbow Capitalist Cheese
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« Reply #361 on: June 08, 2017, 05:16:02 PM »

The people in the BBC are trying to say that is isn't good for labour when they (I am repeating myself) were already told that labour would do better in REMAIN seats

Listen to what they say. They've said that Tories are doing better than the exit polls expected them to do in Newcastle and Sunderland, even taking LEAVE/REMAIN into account.
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jeron
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« Reply #362 on: June 08, 2017, 05:16:17 PM »


You can't say that on the basis of two constituencies , for goodness sake!
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jaichind
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« Reply #363 on: June 08, 2017, 05:16:57 PM »

Sporting Index markets is now after the two results

CON    333
LAB     243
SNP      38.5
LIB       13.5
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15 Down, 35 To Go
ExtremeRepublican
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« Reply #364 on: June 08, 2017, 05:18:24 PM »

My gut tells me that May will keep her majority at roughly the same numbers as 2015, but that would still be a bad result.
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jaichind
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« Reply #365 on: June 08, 2017, 05:18:29 PM »

One thing is for sure.  LAB is gaining a significant part of the 2015 UKIP vote.  This totally defeats the May strategy even if the exit poll is off on the extent of LAB gains.  
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Shameless Lefty Hack
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« Reply #366 on: June 08, 2017, 05:18:32 PM »

>sees a pre-election poll
> "THE ELECTION IS OVER"
>sees an exit poll
>"THE ELECTION IS OVER"
>sees two results
>"THE ELECTION IS OVER"


Let's wait for the election to be over before armchair quarterbacking it, yes?
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bullmoose88
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« Reply #367 on: June 08, 2017, 05:18:38 PM »

Without SF, the magic number looks to be 323 or so, not necessarily 326.
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136or142
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« Reply #368 on: June 08, 2017, 05:18:45 PM »

I'd like to be up on the stage with all the candidates, get 0 votes and jump up and down like I had won.

One council candidate got 0 votes, but the record for a GE is only 1 vote in 200 (Cardiff North)

Thanks for the information Smiley
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Filuwaúrdjan
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« Reply #369 on: June 08, 2017, 05:18:56 PM »


You can't say that on the basis of two constituencies , for goodness sake!

Particularly as it would indicate that the polls were broadly accurate. Extrapolating from both those seats (error probably) would be a tiny swing from 2015.
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Silent Hunter
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« Reply #370 on: June 08, 2017, 05:19:38 PM »

To clarify, that was in 2005.
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Swedish Rainbow Capitalist Cheese
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« Reply #371 on: June 08, 2017, 05:20:37 PM »

Particularly as it would indicate that the polls were broadly accurate. Extrapolating from both those seats (error probably) would be a tiny swing from 2015.

Good to see that you couldn't quite stay away. Smiley
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Tintrlvr
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« Reply #372 on: June 08, 2017, 05:21:31 PM »

Ha, newly re-elected Labour MP Bridget Phillipson in Houghton and Sunderland South declines to endorse Jeremy Corbyn for Prime Minister on Sky when asked explicitly. "I support the Labour Party."
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Jahiegel
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« Reply #373 on: June 08, 2017, 05:21:46 PM »

I'd like to be up on the stage with all the candidates, get 0 votes and jump up and down like I had won.

One council candidate got 0 votes, but the record for a GE is only 1 vote in 200 (Cardiff North)
She did manage to do 100-plus times better than that in an adjoining constituency, though, IIRC.   
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Klartext89
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« Reply #374 on: June 08, 2017, 05:21:57 PM »

I'm so pissed, can't tell you how angry I am!  It was possible to humiliate them  and not too hope that the exit polls wrong...

 We simply need more results before saying it is wrong.
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