(Thread) Interesting factoids about presidential elections.
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  (Thread) Interesting factoids about presidential elections.
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Author Topic: (Thread) Interesting factoids about presidential elections.  (Read 59700 times)
SingingAnalyst
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« Reply #100 on: January 31, 2018, 04:07:45 PM »
« edited: February 02, 2018, 04:43:24 PM by mathstatman »

1984 is the last time TN voted left of MI (based on share of 2-party vote).

1988 is the last time that...

WY, NE, and OK (or any of them) voted left of NH;
KS and TX (or either of them) voted left of NJ (based on share of 2-party vote);
SD voted left of OH;
MT voted left of MI (based on share of 2-party vote);
WI voted left of CA, IL, and MD (or any of them);
WV voted left of NY; and
IA voted left of HI and MA (or either of them).

1988 is also the last time that all (or any) of CA, IL, MD, NJ, and VT voted Republican.

1996 is the last time WV voted left of OR (based on share of 2-party vote).

1996 is also the last time that all (or any) of AR, KY, LA, MO, TN, or WV voted Democratic.
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SingingAnalyst
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« Reply #101 on: February 01, 2018, 03:11:10 PM »

Election years ending in 4 tend to result in re-election of the President or at least the party in power. The last counterexample was 1884, which was very close.

Also, the last time a non-Gemini was elected on November 8, was in 1932.  All three Nov. 8 elections since then (1960, 1988, 2016) have resulted in a Gemini getting elected (the only 3 Geminis ever elected, as it would happen).
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SingingAnalyst
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« Reply #102 on: February 02, 2018, 05:20:39 PM »

In 1968, Humphrey won 55.2% in Macomb County. No Dem since then has reached that figure (though Obama in 2008 came close).

WV, a GOP stronghold at the Presidential level today, is one of only 4 states to vote Dem in both 1980 and 1988 (HI, MN and RI were the other 3), and the only state to do so in 1952 as well (though HI wasn't a state yet). In fact, WV was Carter's 2nd best state in 1980.

Had 6,858 (out of 2.3 million 1992 GA voters) switched their vote from Clinton to Bush, GA would have been the only state to have last voted Democratic in 1980.
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Solid4096
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« Reply #103 on: February 21, 2018, 06:50:20 PM »

The most recent Democratic nominee to win a majority of the nations Counties failed to win a majority of the states.
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twenty42
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« Reply #104 on: February 23, 2018, 12:27:22 AM »

VA is the only state that Hillary carried that her husband never did.
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SingingAnalyst
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« Reply #105 on: February 24, 2018, 06:26:26 PM »

In the 11 elections since 1972, VA and WV have voted alike only 3 times: 1984, 2000, and 2004.
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TheElectoralBoobyPrize
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« Reply #106 on: February 25, 2018, 10:06:57 PM »

Popular vote trivia:

Republicans haven't won the popular vote AS THE CHALLENGING PARTY since 1980...this is a record for either party.

Every descendant of a president who received his party's nomination lost the popular vote but still became president whether through the electoral vote (GWB, B. Harrison) or the House (J.Q. Adams), while the only spouse of a president to get her party's nomination won the popular vote but lost the election.

The only two nominees since 1888 (or 1960) to win the popular vote but still lose the election both had a strong connection to Bill Clinton...Gore was his VP, while Hillary was his wife and First Lady.

Depending on whether you think Nixon won the popular vote in in 1960, every popular vote winner who failed to become president came from either New York or Tennessee.

Election years ending in 4 tend to result in re-election of the President or at least the party in power. The last counterexample was 1884, which was very close.

Hmm....no incumbent president has ever lost in a year ending in 4, but at least one have lost in all other years (0, 2, 6, Cool. Only Ford lost in a year ending in 6, thus no elected president has been defeated in a year ending in 6.  Also, there's a strong tendency for years ending in 8 to be open seat races....only exceptions are 1828, 1888, and 1948. Only one incumbent president, Truman, ever won in a year ending in 8, and no elected president ever has!
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SingingAnalyst
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« Reply #107 on: March 06, 2018, 06:39:51 PM »

Going back to 1960, the last names of the Democratic candidates for President/VP have totalled 5 syllables several times: Kennedy-Johnson (1960), McGovern-Shriver (1972), Mondale-Ferraro (1984), Dukakis-Bentsen (1988), Obama-Biden (2008 and 2012). Only once in that time has the GOP ticket had as many syllables (Goldwater-Miller, 1964).

Since 1960, five GOP tickets have had two syllables: Ford-Dole (1976), Bush-Quayle (1988 and 1992), Dole-Kemp (1996), Trump-Pence (2016). No Dem tickets since 1960 have been that short.
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Solid4096
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« Reply #108 on: March 06, 2018, 07:00:31 PM »

Obama won the states of Pennsylvania, Michigan, and Wisconsin by larger margins than he won Minnesota in 2008. Minnesota was then the only state of those 4 to not flip to Trump.
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Anzeigenhauptmeister
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« Reply #109 on: March 06, 2018, 07:28:56 PM »

Most presidential elections have been held on November 6 or 8 since 1848. (7 elections each)
The date with the fewest presidential elections since 1848 is November 5. (5 elections)
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« Reply #110 on: March 06, 2018, 09:00:28 PM »

I've broken down that list a little further.

If we take a look at the electoral vote winners, there's only one date that strikes one's eye: November 6;
the Republicans won 6 times on that date, the Democrats only once (Obama '12). All the other dates were evenly balanced between D and R.
Furthermore, November 7 is the only date on which a candidate that was neither a Republican nor a Democrat won the election.

If we take a look at the popular vote winners, it's getting a tad more interesting, as Democrats have won all but two November 7 elections; Nixon '72 was the only Republican to win via popular vote on that date.
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Dr. MB
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« Reply #111 on: March 07, 2018, 03:45:20 AM »

Donald Trump is the only living presidential nominee never to have lost an election.
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Solid4096
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« Reply #112 on: March 07, 2018, 08:30:31 PM »

Washtenaw County, Michigan voted to the left of Wayne County Michigan in 2016.
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SingingAnalyst
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« Reply #113 on: March 09, 2018, 02:07:25 PM »
« Edited: March 13, 2018, 01:56:05 PM by mathstatman »

Washtenaw County, Michigan voted to the left of Wayne County Michigan in 2016.
This, and Oakland County, MI voted (well) to the left of both Saginaw and Bay counties. Not sure the last time this happened. In 1988, for example, Saginaw and Bay both voted Dukakis, while Oakland voted Bush by 61.3-37.8. Also in 1988, Wayne Co. voted Dukakis 60/39, while Washtenaw Co. voted Dukakis by only 52.4/46.7.
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Solid4096
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« Reply #114 on: March 10, 2018, 08:09:40 PM »

http://ohioelectionresults.com/documents/Miscellaneous/All%20Elections%20County%20Winner%20Best%20Performances.pdf

According to this, Monroe County has voted for statewide losers over half the time from all Presidential, Senatorial, and Gubernatorial Elections 1956-2016.
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Solid4096
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« Reply #115 on: March 11, 2018, 07:43:09 PM »

Howard County, Arkansas was the median County in the 2016 election based on 2-party vote share.
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Kodak
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« Reply #116 on: March 27, 2018, 09:53:51 PM »

Since 1856, Upstate New York has voted the same as Vermont in every presidential election except 1912 and 2016.

It has sided with Maine in every election except 1968 and 2016.
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Solid4096
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« Reply #117 on: March 29, 2018, 11:54:15 AM »
« Edited: March 29, 2018, 12:05:33 PM by Solid4096 »

Since 1856, Upstate New York has voted the same as Vermont in every presidential election except 1912 and 2016.

It has sided with Maine in every election except 1968 and 2016.

Define upstate New York...

Based on my calculations, Upstate New York voted Dem in 2016 by 73049 votes.
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Kodak
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« Reply #118 on: March 29, 2018, 11:44:37 PM »

Since 1856, Upstate New York has voted the same as Vermont in every presidential election except 1912 and 2016.

It has sided with Maine in every election except 1968 and 2016.

Define upstate New York...

Based on my calculations, Upstate New York voted Dem in 2016 by 73049 votes.

I defined it as everything north of Westchester and Rockland counties, although I could see Orange, Putnam and Dutchess counties as being downstate now. It's hard to define the border since it's shifted north over time as NYC sprawls.
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TDAS04
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« Reply #119 on: March 30, 2018, 04:30:37 PM »

In 1960, Kennedy and Nixon each carried at least one county (or parish, or Alaskan electoral district) in every state.
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« Reply #120 on: March 30, 2018, 04:39:11 PM »

in 1964, Mississippi weighed in as a whopping 97% more Republican than the national average, but this was the first time since Reconstruction that the state had voted for a Republican.
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Solid4096
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« Reply #121 on: April 02, 2018, 09:07:04 PM »

Howard County, Arkansas Branch County, Michigan was the median County in the 2016 election based on 2-party vote share.

Edit: I recalculated this with slightly more accurate vote totals.
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Solid4096
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« Reply #122 on: April 19, 2018, 06:28:33 PM »

Oglala Lakota is the only County in the nation that both:

Voted for Hillary Clinton in 2016

and

Has a total ban on Alcoholic Drinks

and it just so happened to be among her 5 strongest Counties in the nation (based on share of 2-party vote).
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Solid4096
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #123 on: May 19, 2018, 06:19:21 PM »

Sam Tilden in 1876 won a majority of electoral votes out of states that picked their electors by popular vote that year. However, Colorado picked its electors by state legislature that year, and they picked Rutherford Hayes. This was the same year that Colorado was admitted to the union, and the final time a state picked its electors by state legislature.
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Solid4096
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« Reply #124 on: May 19, 2018, 06:28:54 PM »

Kansas in 1944 was the only time FDR in any of his 4 presidential runs received less than 40% in a state.
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