Atlasia's POLITICO (New Edition) - October Presidential Election Analysis.

[Senator Cris]

It's back!

It's my honor to announce that Atlasia's POLITICO is back!

[Senator Cris]

reserved

[Senator Cris]

reserved

[Senator Cris]

Results of Presidential Election Poll

The poll was conducted from June 13 to June 17 on 29 Atlasia registered voters. The margin of error, with a confidence level of 90%, is 14%.

Without any ponderation, the poll shows that Representative Clyde is leading the incumbent President 55%-35%, while 10% of voters are undecided. The ticket composed by Bacon King and Ben Kenobi and other candidates, in our poll, get 0% of support.

But we have to consider that in our simple size, Labor is over-represented by 9 points (48% in our simple size vs. 39% of registered voters), the Federalists are under-represented by 8 (24% vs. 32%), while the difference is low for Others and Independents (24% vs. 26%), ACP is equally represented.

We asked the party of our respondents, so we can ponderate the results according to party affiliation.

Crosstabs shows that Clyde is leading bigly among Labor voters (86% vs. 14% who are undecided), as President Dfwlibertylover among Federalists (86% vs. 14% who backs Clyde). But we are pretty sure that the percentage of federalists who back Clyde will be much lower or naught on election day.
In this poll, ACP voters 100% back Dfwlibertylover, but don't forget that the Conservatives have a VP candidate in the Bacon King ticket.
Among independents and members of other parties, that will probably decide the election, there is a tie with the two major candidates at 43%, while 14% are undecided.

Our ponderate poll shows that Clyde is still leading, but by a slightly margin than the "normal poll": 49% vs. 41%, while 9% are undecided.

[Terry the Fat Shark]

Pretty good considering a certain L-GA poster thought it'd be funny to vote for Clyde in the poll

[JustinTimeCuber]

Pretty good considering a certain L-GA poster thought it'd be funny to vote for Clyde in the poll

I know of no L-GA avatars who would do such a thing.

[Wisconsin+17]

Ahh the coveted 0 percent approval rating!

[Senator Cris]

Results of October Presidential Election Poll

The poll was conducted from October 12 to October 15 on 31 Atlasia registered voters. The margin of error, with a confidence level of 90%, is 14%.

Let's start with the composition of our sample size. The Federalist Party is represented by 38% of our size, Labor by 31%, Peace by 3% and Others and Independents are 28% of our size. Federalists have 41% of registered voters, Labors is at 35%, Peace at 3% and Others and Independents are at 22%, so there aren't key differences between our size and the population.

First of the presidential preference, we asked our respondents about the last Presidential debate. According to 26%, President fhtagn won the debate, followed by Truman with 23%, Lumine with 19% and LLR with 3%. A plurality of our size (29%) is undecided about the winner of the debate.

Let's go with the results of our presidential poll. Without any ponderation, the poll shows a tie between fhtagn and Truman with both candidates earning 34% of support. Lumine is catching 22%, while LLR is in last place at 9%.

We can also ponderate the results according to party affiliation. The ponderate poll shows the incumbent President leading Harry S Truman 36-35, Lumine is earning 19%, while LLR is catching 10%.

Crosstabs shows that the two candidates of the two major parties are earning 80% or more of their party support. As of the Federalists, fhtagn is leading 83-17 over Lumine. As of Labor, Truman is leading LLR 80-20. Lumine is leading among Independents and Others: he's at 56%, while Truman is earning 33% and fhtagn is at 11%.

We also asked our size about their vote in the past presidential election. Among those who voted for Dfwlibertylover, only 50% is picking fhtagn. 29% are backing Lumine, while Truman is earning 21%. Among those who picked Clyde, only 50% is backing the Labor candidate again, while 30% is picking Lumine. LLR is earning 20%.

[Senator Cris]

October Presidential Election Analysis

We'd like to share with you an analysis (with very interesting data) of the October Presidential election. You can read it here.

[Adam Griffin]

Great numbers - thanks for posting this!

[Former Senator Haslam2020]

Great numbers - thanks for posting this!