France General Discussion III: Tout doit disparaître (user search)
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  France General Discussion III: Tout doit disparaître (search mode)
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Author Topic: France General Discussion III: Tout doit disparaître  (Read 36824 times)
swl
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Posts: 581
France


« on: December 06, 2017, 01:51:10 PM »

RIP..real legend in France, the only one of his kind
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swl
Jr. Member
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Posts: 581
France


« Reply #1 on: December 18, 2017, 02:13:52 PM »

First poll for the 2019 european election, Ifop for Le Figaro

LREM: 26%
FN: 17%
FI: 14%
LR: 12%
PS: 8%
DLF: 6% (Dupont-Aignan)
Greens: 4%
Center-right: 3.5%
Others: 3%
Communists: 2%
Patriots: 2% (Philippot)
UPR: 1.5%
Far-left: 1%

Obviously a very bad poll for LR and Wauquiez, but I have a hard time to believe that FN and DLF are that high.

Marine Le Pen has made FN look credible to many. I'm not surprised they are doing so well at all.
they reached almost 25% and finished first in 2014, so polling at 17% is quite bad.
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swl
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Posts: 581
France


« Reply #2 on: April 02, 2018, 01:26:43 PM »

Tomorrow rail workers are starting a big strike. 2 days of strike per week during 3 months. This could be a real challenge for Macron and the government.

https://www.theguardian.com/world/2018/apr/02/france-mass-rail-strikes-macron-reforms-face-opposition
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swl
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Posts: 581
France


« Reply #3 on: May 07, 2018, 12:34:25 PM »

So what do other French think of the strikes? After more than one month, it seems it will be able to continue like this until the end of June with no one conceding. Meanwhile the law will have been voted and Macron will reinforce his "can do" image (and according to the poll posted above, his "authoritarian" and "knows where he is going" image).

I also guess the State will accept to take back some of the debt of the SNCF as most of it is due to political decisions (construction of high-speed lines for example). It would be unfair for the SNCF to start facing competition while hampered by a debt they are not responsible for.
Of course the govermnent will negotiate the conditions since increasing the State debt is the last thing they want.
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swl
Jr. Member
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Posts: 581
France


« Reply #4 on: July 07, 2018, 04:47:54 PM »

Don't underestimate the impact of the driving speed reduction that was just implemented. By far the most unpopular decision of this government so far.
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swl
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Posts: 581
France


« Reply #5 on: July 31, 2018, 07:23:29 AM »

Following the Benalla affair, the government will face two motions of non-confidence today, one from LR and one from the left. No chance of any of them passing.
At the end of this week the Parliament is going on recess for 3 weeks (and most of the political journalists also), so the govermnent and Macron are hopeful that the scandal will die down.
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swl
Jr. Member
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Posts: 581
France


« Reply #6 on: September 13, 2018, 04:35:57 AM »
« Edited: September 13, 2018, 07:45:06 AM by swl »

IFOP poll about French-US relations, seen in the Figaro, full poll here: https://www.youscribe.com/BookReader/Index/2980304?documentId=3312816

A few results:



Is the following country a reliable ally/partner:
Germany:89% yes 11% no
UK: 61% yes 39%no
US: 44% yes 56% no
India: 41% yes 59% no
China: 32% yes 68% no
Russia: 22% yes 78% no



Do you approve of US policy in general: 20% yes 80% no



On the following topics, are the US an ally of France or an opponent:
to fight islamic terrorism: 74% ally 26% opponent
to face Russia: 51% ally 49% opponent
to face Chine: 51% ally 49% opponent
for safety of NATO members: 50% ally 50% opponent
for French economic growth: 22% ally 78% opponent
for European economic growth: 19% ally 81% opponent
to fight climate change: 12% ally 88% opponent



Do you have a good opinion of Donald Trump:
17% yes 83% no



Do you think most US citizens are like Donald Trump:
25% yes 75% no



Do you think it's important to keep a good relation between the US and Europe:
82% yes 18% no



Do you feel friendship for US people:
79% yes 21% no

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swl
Jr. Member
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Posts: 581
France


« Reply #7 on: November 23, 2018, 06:08:54 PM »

He has to start being careful. He is more and more seen as a president "who takes from the poor to give to the rich". Also having 2 massive protest movements in a few months is not very common, first the one of train workers and now the "gillets jaunes".
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swl
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 581
France


« Reply #8 on: December 03, 2018, 06:17:20 AM »

Only the yellow jacket and triangle are mandatory in France, you can get a fine if they are missing.
Most of the time you get pulled over it is for alcohol tests, and if it's negative the police will probably let you go without checking anything else.
But if you are pulled over for another infraction (going above the speed limit for example) they will probably check your car more thoroughly and you may be fined if the yellow jacket is missing.

Macron communication is very bad. Pretending that the protesters do not exist, not talking about them, not talking to them. Sending his ministers to talk instead. This only makes them angrier.
Maybe he is hoping that the movement will lose momentum with Christmas/new year period. But it's 3 weeks from now and some people may well die before that. Expect similar riots next Saturday.
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swl
Jr. Member
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Posts: 581
France


« Reply #9 on: December 04, 2018, 08:39:27 AM »
« Edited: December 04, 2018, 08:57:51 AM by swl »

So the government more or less caved in. Today Edouard Philippe announced that the planned increase of taxes on fuel is postponed for 6 months; it will not take place in January, but in July instead.

Additionally, the annual increases of electricity and gas prices are also postponed to July, instead of January.

Will this satisfy the protesters? Probably not, they don't want any tax increase at all, merely postponing for 6 months is not enough.

It's also making trouble for the government in terms of budget deficit. The deficit for the 2019 budget was estimated at -2.8% of the GDP, taking into account the tax increases. With these taxes now postponed, this objective of -2.8% will be more difficult to reach. The European Commission may be unhappy.
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swl
Jr. Member
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Posts: 581
France


« Reply #10 on: December 05, 2018, 05:23:38 AM »

I think Macron seems himself as the politician who will make the right changes even if they are not popular. Like Gerhard Schroder for example. Or Thatcher, isn't she considered the worst UK prime minister of 20th century, while at the same time praised for her economic results?
However the French may be more rebellious than Germans or British so it may end badly.

We will see what will happen Saturday but I fear that the situation may get out of control.
Yeah we will see, on the other hand it's possible that many peaceful protesters don't show up. Last week if you wanted to protest peaceful it was not even possible given than the riots started even before any protest .And I assume there will be even more police.
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swl
Jr. Member
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Posts: 581
France


« Reply #11 on: December 06, 2018, 08:54:52 AM »

The rise of fuel tax, initially only postponed for 6 months, has now been completely cancelled.
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swl
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 581
France


« Reply #12 on: December 18, 2018, 04:26:00 PM »

39% is quite a lot though and it's better than her result in 2017. I think that in some time we will have a first poll where she passes 40% and everyone will start freaking out.
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