Why was SC-05 so close?
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  Why was SC-05 so close?
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Author Topic: Why was SC-05 so close?  (Read 925 times)
Figueira
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« on: June 20, 2017, 10:08:52 PM »

Was there higher than expected black turnout, or were a lot of Republicans/pro-Trump Dixiecrats crossing over to vote for Parnell? Did the Democrats' lack of attention to this race help or hurt Parnell?
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Skunk
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« Reply #1 on: June 20, 2017, 10:09:47 PM »

Lowered Republican turn-out. No need to show up when your race is (presumed) safe.
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Pyro
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« Reply #2 on: June 20, 2017, 10:11:06 PM »

Clearly it was the House of Cards ad.
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Alabama_Indy10
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« Reply #3 on: June 20, 2017, 10:52:59 PM »

Clearly it was the House of Cards ad.
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Xing
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« Reply #4 on: June 20, 2017, 11:30:58 PM »

Lower Republican enthusiasm, and Parnell was probably somewhat underrated.
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Cactus Jack
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« Reply #5 on: June 20, 2017, 11:35:24 PM »

In appreciable ways, this race was the diametric opposite of GA-6. Turnout was low and Parnell was an unexpectedly good candidate.
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Mr. Smith
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« Reply #6 on: June 21, 2017, 12:08:59 AM »

Didn't get nationalized in any way like Montana or Georgia's 6th, and more D-friendly than Kansas-04.
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Tekken_Guy
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« Reply #7 on: June 21, 2017, 04:19:55 AM »

Low GOP turnout, just like the Kansas race.
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wjx987
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« Reply #8 on: June 21, 2017, 09:56:51 AM »

Pretty much the above. The combination of low GOP turnout and lack of a nationalized race (the only time Parnell ever mentioned D.C. was in his ads, and he never mentioned Trump directly) made this race close. Even though Norman is guaranteed to win in 2018, I think Parnell should run again. His focus on district-wide issues rather than just running against Trump (his website never mentions Trump as well) clearly helped, and should be modeled by other Democrats when they run in conservative districts.
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