1968 election
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
March 28, 2024, 07:15:34 PM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  Presidential Election Trends (Moderator: 15 Down, 35 To Go)
  1968 election
« previous next »
Pages: [1]
Author Topic: 1968 election  (Read 4704 times)
Gustaf
Moderators
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 29,770


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: -0.70

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« on: August 11, 2005, 02:22:45 PM »
« edited: August 11, 2005, 02:35:47 PM by Gustaf »

I just wanted to do the experiment of first joining the Wallace vote with Humphrey (sort of New Deal coalition) and then Nixon with Wallace (Reagan coalition).

Humphrey+Wallace v Nixon:




Nixon+Wallace v Humphrey:



It's interesting to see how few states were solidly Democratic or Republican, most relied on the Dixiecrat vote. We can see how weak Northern Democrats were at that time, without the support of the Dixiecrat wing and also how crucial that support was to Republican success. Still, I think the 1964 election shows pretty clearly how badly a Dixiecrat (which was what Goldwater really was, as a candidate) would do on his own, so to speak.
Logged
Gustaf
Moderators
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 29,770


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: -0.70

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1 on: August 11, 2005, 02:37:55 PM »

Nixon gets 79 EVs in the first map Humphrey 78 in the second. (no, I'm not kidding...all those blue states are as strong electorally as those hardly visible red states...)
Logged
Virginian87
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,598
Political Matrix
E: -3.55, S: 2.70

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2 on: August 11, 2005, 02:54:44 PM »

What would a Humphrey presidency be like?
Logged
RJ
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 793
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #3 on: August 11, 2005, 06:11:11 PM »

Nixon gets 79 EVs in the first map Humphrey 78 in the second. (no, I'm not kidding...all those blue states are as strong electorally as those hardly visible red states...)

Wow...never stopped to count them.

If that election had gone to the house, Humphrey wins, right?
Logged
Ebowed
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 18,597


Political Matrix
E: 4.13, S: 2.09

WWW Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #4 on: August 11, 2005, 06:50:05 PM »

Yes, Humphrey would have likely won in the House.  The Democrats had a majority until 1979 I think.

(4000th post)
Logged
dazzleman
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 13,777
Political Matrix
E: 1.88, S: 1.59

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #5 on: August 11, 2005, 08:01:51 PM »

Yes, Humphrey would have likely won in the House.  The Democrats had a majority until 1979 I think.

(4000th post)

Actually, the Democrats had a majority in the House until 1995.
Logged
A18
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 23,794
Political Matrix
E: 9.23, S: -6.35

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #6 on: August 11, 2005, 08:13:51 PM »

Yes, Humphrey would have likely won in the House.  The Democrats had a majority until 1979 I think.

(4000th post)

Actually, the Democrats had a majority in the House until 1995.

I think he's talking about state delegations.
Logged
dazzleman
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 13,777
Political Matrix
E: 1.88, S: 1.59

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #7 on: August 13, 2005, 06:29:19 AM »

Yes, Humphrey would have likely won in the House.  The Democrats had a majority until 1979 I think.

(4000th post)

Actually, the Democrats had a majority in the House until 1995.

I think he's talking about state delegations.

Maybe you're right.  I forgot that when the election goes to the House, each state delegation gets one vote, so the result could be different than the overall majority.
Logged
Pages: [1]  
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.031 seconds with 11 queries.