Independent Kasich campaign?

[America's Sweetheart ❤/𝕿𝖍𝖊 𝕭𝖔𝖔𝖙𝖞 𝖂𝖆𝖗𝖗𝖎𝖔𝖗]

Former Vice President Joe Biden (D-DE)/Governor Roy Cooper (D-NC) - 473 EV 41% PV

President Donald Trump (R-NY)/Vice President Mike Pence (R-IN) - 65 EV 34% PV

Former Governor John Kasich (I-OH)/Former CIA director Evan McMullin (I-UT) - 0 EV 21% PV

I think you have Kasich doing too well in the South. The Democratic nominee would likely get >40% in VA, GA, NC, and Florida. I doubt Kasich would keep Trump below 40% in Kentucky, Tennessee, or Mississippi as well. if Kasich does this well, Clinton wins MS and probably LA too.

[America's Sweetheart ❤/𝕿𝖍𝖊 𝕭𝖔𝖔𝖙𝖞 𝖂𝖆𝖗𝖗𝖎𝖔𝖗]

I wonder about Ohio.  Many think it will swing towards Kasich, but, assuming pre-2016-election polling is true, Kasich would take a large amount of the votes from Trump, but Trump would also keep many Republicans. There's a good chance the state would go for the Democrat.

I think the breakdown would be something like 30% Trump, 33% Kasich, 38% Democrat in Ohio.

[America's Sweetheart ❤/𝕿𝖍𝖊 𝕭𝖔𝖔𝖙𝖞 𝖂𝖆𝖗𝖗𝖎𝖔𝖗]

It would probably be a terrible idea, and we would end up with another election of 1912. If Kasich just wants to run to ruin Trump, I guess it would make sense.

Imagine that: something like Trump vs. Booker vs. Kasich vs. Sanders.

In such a scenario, I think Kasich wins Ohio, Sanders wins Vermont, Trump wins KY, WV, TN, AR, OK, NE-CD 3 and maybe one or both of the Dakotas, while Booker wins everything else.

[America's Sweetheart ❤/𝕿𝖍𝖊 𝕭𝖔𝖔𝖙𝖞 𝖂𝖆𝖗𝖗𝖎𝖔𝖗]

I wonder about Ohio.  Many think it will swing towards Kasich, but, assuming pre-2016-election polling is true, Kasich would take a large amount of the votes from Trump, but Trump would also keep many Republicans. There's a good chance the state would go for the Democrat.

Kasich: 933,886
Democrat: 766,349
Trump: 713,404   

If Kasich won Ohio as a third party, it would be by a very slim margin. probably something like 35% Kasich, 33% Trump, 33% Clinton.