MA-WBUR: Baker holds wide leads over all Democrats
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  MA-WBUR: Baker holds wide leads over all Democrats
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Author Topic: MA-WBUR: Baker holds wide leads over all Democrats  (Read 3145 times)
heatcharger
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« on: June 27, 2017, 02:23:59 PM »

Link.

Matchups:

Baker 53%
(Setti) Warren 26%

Baker 48%
Healey 36%

Baker 55%
Gonzales 22%

Baker 55%
Massie 25%

He also has a 64/15 favorability split.
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Holmes
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« Reply #1 on: June 27, 2017, 02:28:57 PM »

Democrats shouldn't bother with this one. Rauner, Hogan, Scott and Sununu are better targets. Healey might be a strong candidate in 2022 though.
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RINO Tom
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« Reply #2 on: June 27, 2017, 02:30:10 PM »

Good!
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Not_Madigan
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« Reply #3 on: June 27, 2017, 02:31:11 PM »

Link.

Matchups:

Baker 53%
(Setti) Warren 26%

Baker 48%
Healey 36%

Baker 55%
Gonzales 22%

Baker 55%
Massie 25%

He also has a 64/15 favorability split.

Thankfully the only one within 20 points is (supposedly) not running.
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NewYorkExpress
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« Reply #4 on: June 27, 2017, 02:47:33 PM »

I think this race will tighten as the year goes on. Trump really isn't popular in Massachusetts, and Elizabeth Warren cruising to victory at the other end of the ballot won't help him either. Still, Democrats probably need a better candidate than Setti Warren. Maybe Dan Wolf, or Suzanne Bump (who unlike Maura Healy hasn't been mentioned at all)?
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Skye
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« Reply #5 on: June 27, 2017, 05:45:37 PM »

Likely D for now.
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Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon
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« Reply #6 on: June 27, 2017, 05:51:15 PM »


?
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Suburbia
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« Reply #7 on: June 27, 2017, 05:52:52 PM »

Likely R for now. However, if Massachusetts AG Maura Healey reconsiders, it could get a bit more competitive.
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Not_Madigan
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« Reply #8 on: June 27, 2017, 05:54:45 PM »


Please god tell me this was a mistake.
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JMT
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« Reply #9 on: June 27, 2017, 06:05:24 PM »

Right now, Setti Warren has my vote in the primary (and the general, if he wins the primary). I don't think Maura Healey will run, she knows this would be a tough race. She will probably run for the open governor's seat in 2022, assuming Baker doesn't run for a third term (I believe I remember him saying in the 2014 campaign he would place a two term limit on himself, but of course he could change his mind).
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TheSaint250
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« Reply #10 on: June 27, 2017, 07:07:03 PM »

Likely to safe R
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Xing
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« Reply #11 on: June 27, 2017, 07:09:12 PM »

Unless Baker makes some kind of enormous blunder between now and November 2018, he should win easily.
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Technocracy Timmy
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« Reply #12 on: June 28, 2017, 12:51:52 AM »

Is Joe Kennedy III at all interested in running?
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Kamala
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« Reply #13 on: June 28, 2017, 01:38:15 AM »

Is Joe Kennedy III at all interested in running?
I think he'd be more likely to run for Senate once Markey retires (which could possibly be as early as 2020 considering his age, as he'd be 73 in 2020 and nearly eighty at the end of his second term) plus would give Massachusetts the possibility of having a long serving senator a la Ted.
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Kingpoleon
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« Reply #14 on: June 28, 2017, 03:14:10 AM »

I think the Democrat here ends up getting 36-42%.
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ProgressiveCanadian
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« Reply #15 on: June 28, 2017, 04:52:56 AM »

Pathetic Democrats.
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136or142
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« Reply #16 on: June 28, 2017, 04:57:01 AM »

Wasn't there a Healey who was William Weld's Lieutenant Governor?
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Tintrlvr
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« Reply #17 on: June 28, 2017, 06:48:52 AM »

Wasn't there a Healey who was William Weld's Lieutenant Governor?

Kerry Healey. She was Romney's LG. Got crushed by Deval Patrick in the gubernatorial election in 2006. Apparently she is now the President of Babson College (a private business-oriented college). No relation to Maura Healey, who is a Democrat.
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Skye
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« Reply #18 on: June 28, 2017, 09:56:38 AM »


Sorry, my bad. Meant Likely R. My brain just processed Massachusetts = D, and saw nothing wrong with it lol.
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136or142
Adam T
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« Reply #19 on: June 28, 2017, 04:45:04 PM »

Wasn't there a Healey who was William Weld's Lieutenant Governor?

Kerry Healey. She was Romney's LG. Got crushed by Deval Patrick in the gubernatorial election in 2006. Apparently she is now the President of Babson College (a private business-oriented college). No relation to Maura Healey, who is a Democrat.

Thanks!
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RINO Tom
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« Reply #20 on: June 28, 2017, 04:48:47 PM »


Sorry, my bad. Meant Likely R. My brain just processed Massachusetts = D, and saw nothing wrong with it lol.

LOL, seeing as this is the Gubernational forum, I'd get more used to "Massachusetts = R." Smiley
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Maxwell
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« Reply #21 on: June 28, 2017, 05:54:35 PM »

Unlike Hogan, who I genuinely believe whose leads are artificial and will close very quickly in the face of a real challenger, I think Baker will hold onto at least most of his large large leads here. Baker's not running for Senate and states like Massachussets are very flexible and love their Republican moderates. This is, of course, in stark contrast to Maryland, a state that is pretty inflexible beyond certain shocking circumstances and their governor is not exactly a moderate.
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Pollster
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« Reply #22 on: June 28, 2017, 08:34:08 PM »

Baker is a good fit for the state (in terms of governor at least) and represents a different brand than the national GOP - his team will probably attempt to frame his reelection as a "message" to the national GOP in what is likely to be a pro-Dem cycle.
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Kamala
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« Reply #23 on: June 28, 2017, 08:48:19 PM »

Hey, is that Dukakis still around?
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McGovernForPrez
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« Reply #24 on: June 29, 2017, 11:25:49 AM »

Is Joe Kennedy III at all interested in running?
I think he'd be more likely to run for Senate once Markey retires (which could possibly be as early as 2020 considering his age, as he'd be 73 in 2020 and nearly eighty at the end of his second term) plus would give Massachusetts the possibility of having a long serving senator a la Ted.
I believe I've heard from other Dems in the state who have met him, that he's likely to actually go for Lizzie's seat. That way he can hold the ancestral Kennedy seat in Massachusetts.

As for the governors's seat, I think it's safe to call this seat Likely R. Anybody thinking this is Safe R doesn't realize the floor that MA Dems have in these races. Democrats probably have a a floor of about 40 percent in this race. The circumstances for a Bill Weld style obliteration aren't there. When Bill Weld had ran Massachusetts held actual Republican House seats, had a strong challenger for Ted Kennedy's Senate seat, and was running in a landslide Republican election. Massachusetts hasn't had Republican house members since 1996, and this time there is the national mood trends strongly towards Democrats. With Elizabeth Warren also on the ballot, set to have no real challenger, coattails might end up doing Baker in. Point being Safe R doesn't exist in Massachusetts anymore.
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