Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
June 17, 2019, 10:17:20 am
News: 2020 Presidential Predictions (General) are now active.

  Atlas Forum
  Election Archive
  Election Archive
  2018 Senatorial Election Polls (Moderator: Brittain33)
  MA-WBUR: Warren cruising to reelection
« previous next »
Pages: [1] 2 Print
Author Topic: MA-WBUR: Warren cruising to reelection  (Read 2220 times)
heatcharger
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,165
Sweden


Political Matrix
E: -1.04, S: -0.24

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« on: June 27, 2017, 02:26:52 pm »

Link.

Matchups:

Warren 61%
Ayyadurai 25%

Warren 60%
Diehl 29%

Her favorability in the state is 55/34, which is interesting.
Logged
Holmes
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 11,667
Canada


Political Matrix
E: -6.45, S: -5.74


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1 on: June 27, 2017, 02:27:50 pm »

Obviously.
Logged
Citizen (The) Doctor
ArchangelZero
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,143
United States


Political Matrix
E: -3.23, S: -4.52

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2 on: June 27, 2017, 02:59:17 pm »

Ayyadurai sounds like a Democrat on everything other than immigration.
Logged
heatcharger
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,165
Sweden


Political Matrix
E: -1.04, S: -0.24

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #3 on: June 27, 2017, 03:06:01 pm »

Ayyadurai sounds like a Democrat on everything other than immigration.

Uh, not really? Looking at his campaign site, he sounds like a generic Indian Republican, at least based on my experience.
Logged
FM Scott🦋
Ascott
Atlas Politician
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 11,117
Norway


Political Matrix
E: -4.26, S: -6.43

P P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #4 on: June 27, 2017, 03:16:44 pm »

Quote
V. A. Shiva Ayyadurai is an Indian-born American scientist and entrepreneur. Ayyadurai is notable for his controversial claim to be the "inventor of email". His claim is based on the electronic mail software he wrote as a New Jersey high school student in the late 1970s, which he called EMAIL.[1][2] Initial reports repeating Ayyadurai's claim—by organizations such as The Washington Post and the Smithsonian Institution—were followed by public retractions.[1][3] These corrections were triggered by objections from historians and ARPANET pioneers who pointed out that email was already actively used in the early 1970s.[4]

That's interesting.
Logged
FM Scott🦋
Ascott
Atlas Politician
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 11,117
Norway


Political Matrix
E: -4.26, S: -6.43

P P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #5 on: June 27, 2017, 03:18:23 pm »

Quote
Inquisitr Reports on Shiva’s Challenge to Elizabeth Warren to Take DNA Test

A potential political rival to Elizabeth Warren has challenged the incumbent U.S. senator on social media to take a simple DNA test. V.A. Shiva Ayyadurai, Ph.D., is describing it as the real Indian vs. the fake Indian challenge. Ayyadurai is seeking the GOP nomination in Massachusetts to run against Democrat Warren in 2018. Read the full article on the Inquisitr …

hahahahahahahahahahahahaha
Logged
McGovernForPrez
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 1,048


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #6 on: June 27, 2017, 03:19:54 pm »

If Elizabeth Warren gets below 60% I will eat my shoe.
Logged
Not_A_Man
Not_Madigan
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,120
United States


Political Matrix
E: -3.29, S: -7.74

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #7 on: June 27, 2017, 03:24:29 pm »

Quote
Inquisitr Reports on Shiva’s Challenge to Elizabeth Warren to Take DNA Test

A potential political rival to Elizabeth Warren has challenged the incumbent U.S. senator on social media to take a simple DNA test. V.A. Shiva Ayyadurai, Ph.D., is describing it as the real Indian vs. the fake Indian challenge. Ayyadurai is seeking the GOP nomination in Massachusetts to run against Democrat Warren in 2018. Read the full article on the Inquisitr …

Oh god my sides

Also Safe D, but Warren should fall below 60% at minimum.
Logged
yeah_93
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 2,989
Venezuela


Political Matrix
E: 3.29, S: -1.30

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #8 on: June 27, 2017, 05:44:23 pm »

If Elizabeth Warren gets below 60% I will eat my shoe.

There was a poll around here that asked whether Trump was going to get more than 60% in Waukesha county and he got 59.99%
Logged
McGovernForPrez
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 1,048


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #9 on: June 28, 2017, 10:33:39 am »

If Elizabeth Warren gets below 60% I will eat my shoe.

There was a poll around here that asked whether Trump was going to get more than 60% in Waukesha county and he got 59.99%
That's hilarious, but I'm dead serious about this.  Warren is an obscenely strong incumbent here. If Markey could get 62% in a republican wave year, I have no doubt Warren can do it in an election where Trump is on referendum. The Republican party has absolutely no bench here right now. The only times incumbent Dem Senators have gotten less than 60% here were against extremely strong Republican opponents like Mitt Romney and Bill Weld. You guys can come back to this in a year and a half if you want.
Logged
Tekken_Guy
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 1,117
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #10 on: June 28, 2017, 07:39:55 pm »

Yeah, an Indian Republican will certainly bring images of Jindal up. And he went to the same high school as Christie. Not helping.
Logged
○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└
jfern
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 45,635


Political Matrix
E: -7.38, S: -8.36

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #11 on: July 07, 2017, 05:25:30 am »
« Edited: July 07, 2017, 05:30:04 am by ○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└ »

Quote
V. A. Shiva Ayyadurai is an Indian-born American scientist and entrepreneur. Ayyadurai is notable for his controversial claim to be the "inventor of email". His claim is based on the electronic mail software he wrote as a New Jersey high school student in the late 1970s, which he called EMAIL.[1][2] Initial reports repeating Ayyadurai's claim—by organizations such as The Washington Post and the Smithsonian Institution—were followed by public retractions.[1][3] These corrections were triggered by objections from historians and ARPANET pioneers who pointed out that email was already actively used in the early 1970s.[4]

That's interesting.

Yeah, he didn't invent it. It dates to 1971. It was invented by Ray Tomlinson, who died last year.
Logged
THE BuckeyeNut
BuckeyeNut
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,258


Political Matrix
E: -6.19, S: -6.09

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #12 on: July 09, 2017, 12:09:49 pm »

Why didn't they poll Schilling? Tongue
Logged
Succdem
TheLeftwardTide
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 1,064
United States


Political Matrix
E: -7.60, S: -1.04

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #13 on: July 15, 2017, 06:47:15 pm »

Safe D.
Logged
Fudotei
fudotei
Full Member
***
Posts: 151
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #14 on: July 15, 2017, 09:20:43 pm »

Why didn't they poll Schilling? Tongue

Aaron Judge could probably beat Schilling's poll numbers against Warren (shrug)
Logged
MillennialModerate
MillennialMAModerate
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 798
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #15 on: July 21, 2017, 08:14:12 pm »

Why didn't they poll Schilling? Tongue
His favorability from October 2004 to Now is something that would make Nixons drop from 72 to 74 look like child's play
Logged
The Saint
TheSaint250
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 6,833


P P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #16 on: July 21, 2017, 08:17:41 pm »

Schilling isn't running
Logged
McGovernForPrez
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 1,048


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #17 on: July 21, 2017, 08:47:43 pm »

God this race is gonna be such a landslide. Republicans have no bench in this state whatsoever.
Logged
Goldmember
Singletxguyforfun
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 2,271
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #18 on: July 24, 2017, 04:13:30 pm »

God this race is gonna be such a landslide. Republicans have no bench in this state whatsoever.

What's Bill Weld up to?
Logged
McGovernForPrez
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 1,048


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #19 on: July 24, 2017, 08:42:31 pm »

God this race is gonna be such a landslide. Republicans have no bench in this state whatsoever.

What's Bill Weld up to?
As far as I know, nothing. It isn't like he'd do much good. He couldn't beat Kerry during the height of his popularity, so I doubt he could dent Warren as a washed up politician in a Trump midterm. Maybe if he hadn't ran on the libertarian ticket, but even then. Any MA Republican worth their salt wouldn't run in this environment.
Logged
Bagel23
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 9,515
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.48, S: -1.83

P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #20 on: July 24, 2017, 09:22:33 pm »

I know it would not happened in 2018 since Baker still is eligible for another term as governor, and will run, and most likely win, but if he faced Warren in 2018, who would win? I think Warren narrowly wins 49-46.
Logged
McGovernForPrez
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 1,048


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #21 on: July 24, 2017, 10:31:57 pm »

I know it would not happened in 2018 since Baker still is eligible for another term as governor, and will run, and most likely win, but if he faced Warren in 2018, who would win? I think Warren narrowly wins 49-46.
I don't think it would be that narrow. I don't think Baker is as good of a candidate as Bill Weld, and Bill Weld could only get within 8 points of Kerry.
Logged
Bagel23
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 9,515
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.48, S: -1.83

P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #22 on: July 24, 2017, 11:25:24 pm »

I know it would not happened in 2018 since Baker still is eligible for another term as governor, and will run, and most likely win, but if he faced Warren in 2018, who would win? I think Warren narrowly wins 49-46.
I don't think it would be that narrow. I don't think Baker is as good of a candidate as Bill Weld, and Bill Weld could only get within 8 points of Kerry.

I agree with that, but don't you think Warren is a much weaker candidate than Kerry? Plus she only got a little over 7 points on Brown in a blue year, and don't you think Baker is stronger than Brown?
Logged
McGovernForPrez
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 1,048


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #23 on: July 25, 2017, 07:45:58 am »

I know it would not happened in 2018 since Baker still is eligible for another term as governor, and will run, and most likely win, but if he faced Warren in 2018, who would win? I think Warren narrowly wins 49-46.
I don't think it would be that narrow. I don't think Baker is as good of a candidate as Bill Weld, and Bill Weld could only get within 8 points of Kerry.

I agree with that, but don't you think Warren is a much weaker candidate than Kerry? Plus she only got a little over 7 points on Brown in a blue year, and don't you think Baker is stronger than Brown?
I'm of two minds here. When Warren defeated Scott Brown, he was an incumbent. Brown already had a strongly established base in the state and Warren had to overcome that. I also think Brown is overall a weaker candidate than Baker but being am incumbent probably helped bridge that gap a bit. Also Warren is one hell of a fundraiser. I was looking at her records for another campaign and they're just so impressive. She was really good a courting moderate liberal woman here. I think if Liz ran for Governor against Baker the race would be lean D. Baker would be enough for me to move my rating from safe Dem to likely D though. Withe incumbency now on her side I don't think anybody can come close to her.
Logged
Bagel23
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 9,515
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.48, S: -1.83

P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #24 on: July 25, 2017, 02:02:29 pm »

I know it would not happened in 2018 since Baker still is eligible for another term as governor, and will run, and most likely win, but if he faced Warren in 2018, who would win? I think Warren narrowly wins 49-46.
I don't think it would be that narrow. I don't think Baker is as good of a candidate as Bill Weld, and Bill Weld could only get within 8 points of Kerry.

I agree with that, but don't you think Warren is a much weaker candidate than Kerry? Plus she only got a little over 7 points on Brown in a blue year, and don't you think Baker is stronger than Brown?
I'm of two minds here. When Warren defeated Scott Brown, he was an incumbent. Brown already had a strongly established base in the state and Warren had to overcome that. I also think Brown is overall a weaker candidate than Baker but being am incumbent probably helped bridge that gap a bit. Also Warren is one hell of a fundraiser. I was looking at her records for another campaign and they're just so impressive. She was really good a courting moderate liberal woman here. I think if Liz ran for Governor against Baker the race would be lean D. Baker would be enough for me to move my rating from safe Dem to likely D though. Withe incumbency now on her side I don't think anybody can come close to her.

Good points, hopefully Baker will never try to run against her though, since he is the only one that could even make it a race.
Logged
Pages: [1] 2 Print 
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length
Logout

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

© Dave Leip's Atlas of U.S. Elections, LLC