In 2020, Will Texas vote to the left or right of 2016?
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  In 2020, Will Texas vote to the left or right of 2016?
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Poll
Question: Will Texas swing more GOP or Dem in 2020 compared to 2016?
#1
More Dem
 
#2
More GOP
 
#3
Texas will vote for a third party/Other
 
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Partisan results

Total Voters: 89

Author Topic: In 2020, Will Texas vote to the left or right of 2016?  (Read 2606 times)
America Needs a 13-6 Progressive SCOTUS
Solid4096
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« Reply #25 on: September 09, 2017, 10:22:49 PM »

1 of few states I think Trump is likely to do better in 2020 than in 2016.  Georgia and Utah are the others.  Basically the states with swings against Trump that never made any sense.
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Kyle Rittenhouse is a Political Prisoner
Jalawest2
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« Reply #26 on: September 09, 2017, 11:02:34 PM »

Why is this even a question? It's trending democratic, and democrats will probably do better in 2020 than 2016 overall.

 I disagree. The gap closing compared to 2012 was almost entirely because of third party candidates. Hillary only over performed Obama by a couple of points. Never Trumpers took a lot of normal GOP votes away. Even if Trump isn't super popular, a lot of those reluctant GOP voters will come back home barring a major scandal or meltdown. A more establishment GOP candidate or Ted Cruz would have won Texas by a similar margin to Mitt Romney.
Johnson voters don't like trump. They didn't then, they don't now.
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Tekken_Guy
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« Reply #27 on: September 09, 2017, 11:57:45 PM »

More Democratic. The Hispanics and Millennials are coming, and I see big leftward swings in the suburbs of Houston and Dallas. Plus super-liberal Austin is growing rapidly.
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Young Moderate Republican
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« Reply #28 on: September 10, 2017, 02:23:24 PM »

Assuming Trump is the nominee, I can see Beto O'Rourke winning next year and Texas going Democratic in 2020. You could see Trump holding onto all the Midwestern states and picking up Minnesota and Maine, but the Democrats picking up Florida and Texas.

Maybe in your wildest fantasies lol Tongue
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Young Moderate Republican
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« Reply #29 on: September 10, 2017, 02:28:11 PM »

Why is this even a question? It's trending democratic, and democrats will probably do better in 2020 than 2016 overall.

 I disagree. The gap closing compared to 2012 was almost entirely because of third party candidates. Hillary only over performed Obama by a couple of points. Never Trumpers took a lot of normal GOP votes away. Even if Trump isn't super popular, a lot of those reluctant GOP voters will come back home barring a major scandal or meltdown. A more establishment GOP candidate or Ted Cruz would have won Texas by a similar margin to Mitt Romney.
Johnson voters don't like trump. They didn't then, they don't now.
Johnson was more of a protest vote for these people. They thought voting for Trump was gonna be an apocalyptic scenario which it hasn't become so far. If nothing changes much, or if he actually sticks to his promise to do some compromising with the Dems here and there and forges some bipartisan consensus, he could easily win here by Romney-like margins.
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Kyle Rittenhouse is a Political Prisoner
Jalawest2
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« Reply #30 on: September 10, 2017, 04:31:13 PM »

Why is this even a question? It's trending democratic, and democrats will probably do better in 2020 than 2016 overall.

 I disagree. The gap closing compared to 2012 was almost entirely because of third party candidates. Hillary only over performed Obama by a couple of points. Never Trumpers took a lot of normal GOP votes away. Even if Trump isn't super popular, a lot of those reluctant GOP voters will come back home barring a major scandal or meltdown. A more establishment GOP candidate or Ted Cruz would have won Texas by a similar margin to Mitt Romney.
Johnson voters don't like trump. They didn't then, they don't now.
Johnson was more of a protest vote for these people. They thought voting for Trump was gonna be an apocalyptic scenario which it hasn't become so far. If nothing changes much, or if he actually sticks to his promise to do some compromising with the Dems here and there and forges some bipartisan consensus, he could easily win here by Romney-like margins.
Republicans who were reluctant to vote for him haven't gotten more favorable. They've gotten less.
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