The most recent opinion poll, from May
Quote "The One Bermuda Alliance has more public support than at any point since coming to power, according to a new poll commissioned by The Royal Gazette.
The ruling party had a 44-38 lead over the Progressive Labour Party, an advantage of six points, in the survey by Global Research from May 15 to 19.
It represents a swing of nine points from six months ago, when the PLP was leading 38-35.
The OBA’s previous best score came in December 2015, when it led 42-30 in the first poll after the Louis Vuitton America’s Cup World Series Bermuda.
Michael Dunkley, the Premier, retains his eight-point lead over Opposition leader David Burt, with both politicians gaining two points since the previous poll in February.
The OBA has a 29-21 lead in the performance approval ratings, up from 24-17 three months ago.
The telephone poll of 400 registered voters has a margin of error of +/- 5 per cent.
It appears the public is gearing up for the General Election, with the survey showing 74 per cent are absolutely certain to vote, up from 68 per cent in February. That figure was 61 per cent last September and 54 per cent in March 2016.
A breakdown by race shows whites have increased their backing for the OBA, and blacks for the PLP.
Among whites, 93 per cent said they would vote OBA, up from 77 per cent; and 1 per cent would vote PLP, down from 4 per cent.
Among blacks, 63 per cent would vote PLP, up from 55 per cent; and 13 per cent would vote OBA, down from 16 per cent.
The OBA now holds both the male vote (46-37) and the female vote (42-40). The ruling party scores most strongly among the over-65 age group, leading by 51-32. "End quote
http://www.royalgazette.com/politics/article/20170525/oba-gains-public-support-in-poll
