Malaysia General Election May 9th 2018

[Novelty]

Looking through the unofficial results at the myundi link you guys prvoided I get the following seats where the incumbent party is trailing


PH Leading BN Incumbent

P.192   Mas Gading

That's a surprise.  Swing towards PH in rural Sarawak?  This might be bad for BN

[Novelty]

https://election.thestar.com.my

Pages have maps.

[Novelty]

http://livem.malaysiakini.com/ge14/en/

7.48pm: (Unofficial) BN has suffered unexpected defeats in Sarawak, losing five parliamentary seats.

BN lost the parliamentary seats of Saratok, Puncak Borneo and Selangau to PKR while Mas Gading fell to DAP.

BN also fails to retain Julau, which it lost to independent candidate Larry Sng.

Harapan did not contest in Julau to make way for the independent candidate.

[Novelty]

From what I can see overall there is not much change. There is no obvious breakout one way or another.

It's all up to the individual seats. Also, all eyes will be on Kedah, Johore and Sabah.

[Novelty]

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[Novelty]

How are the results when compared to your model @jaichind?

[Novelty]

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Part of the KKT, but not Kelantan

[Novelty]

I would be very nervous right now if I were Razak.  Even if BN pulls out a majority he lost a bunch of seats and UNMO will most likely dump him as leader.

Reports indicate people might coalesce behind him to prevent the party falling apart.  He is after all royalty

[Novelty]

PH wins P2 Kangar in Perlis.  This is the fist time that BN has lost a Perlis seat since like ever.

That's a surprise. I don't think anyone called that.  Did you see that coming @jaichind?

[Novelty]

PH wins P2 Kangar in Perlis.  This is the fist time that BN has lost a Perlis seat since like ever.

That's a surprise. I don't think anyone called that.  Did you see that coming @jaichind?

Nope.  I was not even close.  My model called for PH 23% BN 46% PAS 31%.  The PAS vote held up but it seems there was a massive swing away from BN to PH.

Kangar is the state capital.  I'm guessing this seat should be suburban instead of rural

[Novelty]

Anyone have a list of seas changing hands?

[Novelty]

I'm digesting the states results. The swing seems even crazier there. The Mahathir factor really worked in Kedah. Even Malacca fell to PH, which is a bit unexpected.

[Novelty]

Anything could happen in 5 years but I'm guessing the next elections will be PH vs GS with the battleground states being the northwest.