Current 2018 Senate Predictions?
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  Current 2018 Senate Predictions?
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Author Topic: Current 2018 Senate Predictions?  (Read 6069 times)
Roblox
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« Reply #50 on: August 19, 2017, 07:36:52 PM »
« edited: August 19, 2017, 08:05:36 PM by Roblox »

Well these aren't really predictions (I won't attempt a call on all the races until late October or early November 2018, probably not until the day before the election), but here are my personal ranking.

Safe democrat (Note: I'm counting Bernie sanders and Angus King as democrats, for the purpose of these rankings)
Maryland
Deleware
New York
Vermont
Massachusetts
Connecticut
Rhode Island
Minnesota
New Mexico
California
Washington State
Hawaii

Likely Democratic
Michigan
Pennsylvania
New Jersey (Should probably be safe, but a bit of caution here)
Maine
Virginia

Leans Democratic
Florida
West Virginia
Ohio
Wisconsin
North Dakota
Montana

Toss-up
Missouri
Nevada
Indiana


Leans Republican
Arizona

Likely Republican
Texas

Safe Republican
Mississipi
Alabama (2017)
Tennessee
Nebraska
Wyoming
Utah

And I just realized that aside from ND, my ratings are the same as Sabatos...#Awkward

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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #51 on: August 19, 2017, 07:45:57 PM »

Well these aren't really predictions (I won't attempt a call on all the races until late October or early November 2018, probably not until the day before the election), but here are my personal ranking.

Safe democrat (Note: I'm counting Bernie sanders and Angus King as democrats, for the purpose of these rankings)
Maryland
Deleware
New York
Vermont
Massachusetts
Connecticut
Rhode Island
Minnesota
New Mexico
California
Washington State
Hawaii

Likely Democratic
Michigan
Pennsylvania
New Jersey (Should probably be safe, but a bit of caution here)
Maine
Virginia

Leans Democratic
Florida
West Virginia
Ohio
Wisconsin
North Dakota
Montana

Toss-up
Missouri
Nevada
Indiana
Missouri

Leans Republican
Arizona

Likely Republican
Texas

Safe Republican
Mississipi
Alabama (2017)
Tennessee
Nebraska
Wyoming
Utah

And I just realized that aside from ND, my ratings are the same as Sabatos...#Awkward



You've got Missouri in there twice.
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Roblox
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Posts: 1,245


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« Reply #52 on: August 19, 2017, 08:06:17 PM »

Well these aren't really predictions (I won't attempt a call on all the races until late October or early November 2018, probably not until the day before the election), but here are my personal ranking.

Safe democrat (Note: I'm counting Bernie sanders and Angus King as democrats, for the purpose of these rankings)
Maryland
Deleware
New York
Vermont
Massachusetts
Connecticut
Rhode Island
Minnesota
New Mexico
California
Washington State
Hawaii

Likely Democratic
Michigan
Pennsylvania
New Jersey (Should probably be safe, but a bit of caution here)
Maine
Virginia

Leans Democratic
Florida
West Virginia
Ohio
Wisconsin
North Dakota
Montana

Toss-up
Missouri
Nevada
Indiana
Missouri

Leans Republican
Arizona

Likely Republican
Texas

Safe Republican
Mississipi
Alabama (2017)
Tennessee
Nebraska
Wyoming
Utah

And I just realized that aside from ND, my ratings are the same as Sabatos...#Awkward



You've got Missouri in there twice.

Oops, fixed
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Meatball Ron
recoveringdemocrat
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« Reply #53 on: August 19, 2017, 08:43:26 PM »
« Edited: August 27, 2017, 12:07:15 PM by RecoveringDem »



Safe R: Wyoming, Mississippi, Nebraska, Tennessee, Utah
Likely R: Texas
Lean R: Indiana (R pick-up), Missouri (R pick-up)

Toss-Up: West Virginia (D hold), Nevada (D pick-up), Arizona (D pick-up)
Lean D: Ohio, Montana, Wisconsin, Florida, Pennsylvania, North Dakota
Likely D: Michigan, New Jersey, Virginia, Maine*
Safe D: California, Connecticut, Delaware, Hawaii, Maryland, Massachusetts, Minnesota, New Mexico, New York, Rhode Island, Vermont*, Washington


*Treating Sanders and King as Dems for simplicity's sake

Predicting a net change of 0, if the elections were today, with R pick-ups in IN/MO and D pick-ups in AZ/NV, but of course it's very early and lots can/will change between now and Election Day.
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