Which of the following do you consider swing states? (user search)
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
April 24, 2024, 11:02:23 PM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  Presidential Election Trends (Moderator: 100% pro-life no matter what)
  Which of the following do you consider swing states? (search mode)
Pages: [1]
Poll
Question: -
#1
Arizona
 
#2
Colorado
 
#3
Florida
 
#4
Georgia
 
#5
Iowa
 
#6
Michigan
 
#7
Minnesota
 
#8
Maine
 
#9
Nevada
 
#10
New Hampshire
 
#11
New Mexico
 
#12
North Carolina
 
#13
Ohio
 
#14
Pennsylvania
 
#15
Virginia
 
#16
Wisconsin
 
#17
All of the above
 
#18
None of the above
 
Show Pie Chart
Partisan results

Total Voters: 61

Calculate results by number of options selected
Author Topic: Which of the following do you consider swing states?  (Read 2683 times)
MillennialModerate
MillennialMAModerate
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,016
United States


« on: July 28, 2017, 02:56:14 PM »

How the hell is Maine a swing state ?!? It hasn't
gone Red since the Reagan/Bush 41 age?

ME-02 is a toss up district but the state overall is Likely D.
Logged
MillennialModerate
MillennialMAModerate
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,016
United States


« Reply #1 on: July 28, 2017, 03:02:32 PM »
« Edited: July 28, 2017, 03:08:48 PM by MillennialMAModerate »

Ohio - Still a Swing State though not as swingy as it used to be.

Say what? It's gone for the winner in EVERY
single election since LBJ. And before that only
one other election since 1900 (44) did Ohio
not pick the winner.

Think about that - only FDR in 44 and
John F Kennedy in '60 LOST Ohio and
WON the Presidency. That's INSANE

I'd say Ohio is the ultimate swing state and until
a loser wins the state, it's pretty swingy
Logged
MillennialModerate
MillennialMAModerate
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,016
United States


« Reply #2 on: July 28, 2017, 03:45:17 PM »

How the hell is Maine a swing state ?!? It hasn't
gone Red since the Reagan/Bush 41 age?

ME-02 is a toss up district but the state overall is Likely D.

Did you miss the 2016 Election or Something? Clinton only carried Maine by 2.9%. That is not safe at all. States don't have to be won by both party's to be considered a Swing State. A swing State is a state which can be reasonably won by either the Democratic or Republican Presidential candidate. A Republican can very reasonably overcome a 2.9%. It may of been a lean Democratic state during the Obama Years but 2016 showed there is a Republican trend in Maine.

States that usually belong to one party can trend to another if the environment is right.

Hell, Bill Clinton won a lot of heavily Republican states (for example)

2016 was unique - You had a Dem candidate who was very unlikable and was very establishment running after 8 years of a Democratic administration and you had a GOP candidate who was anti establishment and appealed (for what reason I don't know but still) to rural lower-middle class whites. That was a unique setup that is unlikely to be duplicated. I doubt Maine is within 5 points next time - Remember a big portion of Maines population comes from the Portland area which is heavily blue in the same sphere of influence as Southern NH
Logged
Pages: [1]  
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.028 seconds with 14 queries.