Was FDR's rise predictable before the Great Depression?
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  Was FDR's rise predictable before the Great Depression?
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Author Topic: Was FDR's rise predictable before the Great Depression?  (Read 563 times)
Higgins
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« on: July 27, 2017, 04:23:28 PM »

I was wondering....
Was FDR sort of an "inevitable" candidate for the Presidency before the Depression hit? Or was he onyl able to garner the nomination due to the circumstances?

Like, in 1928 say, was FDR being the party's nominee for 1932 considered either inevitable or "highly likely"?

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darklordoftech
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« Reply #1 on: July 27, 2017, 05:11:22 PM »

I think so. He was Governor of New York, he had name recognition, he controlled New York's delegates.
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Technocracy Timmy
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« Reply #2 on: July 27, 2017, 05:35:59 PM »

I think so. He was Governor of New York, he had name recognition, he controlled New York's delegates.

To add on, he was also:

1. The Vice Presidential nominee for the Democrats in 1920.
2. Assistant Secretary of the Navy under President Wilson.
3. Relative of former President Teddy Roosevelt (a relative he admired growing up).
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Lincoln Republican
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« Reply #3 on: July 27, 2017, 10:58:51 PM »
« Edited: July 27, 2017, 11:01:29 PM by Lincoln Republican »

FDR was indeed on the fast track to the Presidency.

Having a famous name, being elected Governor of New York in 1928 cemented his stature and raised his profile even further.

The Republicans were in power when the Great Recession hit in 1929, so the Democratic nominee was all but inevitable to win, and FDR was certainly the rising star in the party in 1928 when he was elected Governor of New York, and was the clear front runner going into the Democratic convention in 1932.

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True Federalist (진정한 연방 주의자)
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« Reply #4 on: July 28, 2017, 07:35:05 AM »
« Edited: July 28, 2017, 07:43:02 AM by True Federalist »

Absent a Great Depression, it's hard to imagine Hoover not being reelected. Even with a 25% swing (instead of the 35% FDR actually got) Hoover still handily wins the Electoral College in 1932. FDR might have been able to win in 1936 assuming he stays Governor until then, but FDR barely held on to the Governorship in 1928, so with no Depression he's not a lock for a second gubernatorial term, let alone four.
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Earthling
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« Reply #5 on: July 30, 2017, 08:13:42 AM »

FDR won a second term as Governor in 1930, doing so with a bigger margin than in 1928.

I don't think FDR was inevitable before the Great Depression. He was a big name, but had a lot of downsides.
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