Is Ohio becoming the next Missouri?

[TML]

I suspect it is definitely leaning in that direction.

Remember, the final pre-Election Day polls predicted that Trump would win Ohio by about 2-4% instead of 8-10%. If his winning margin there had actually been that small, it is unlikely that he would have won Michigan & Pennsylvania. (On another note, the polls also had Trump winning Iowa by 2-4% instead of 8-10%, which, if true, would likely have meant Hillary winning Wisconsin, along with a bigger winning margin in Minnesota.)

For elections in the near future, I think that if the Democratic nominee is on track to win 320+ EVs, then he or she will have a shot a winning Ohio; if he or she is on track to win less than 320 EVs, then Ohio will likely be carried by the Republican candidate, even if the Democratic candidate is on track to win the election overall.