North Korea Mega Thread

[Person Man]

Majority of Americans support deploying troops if SK is attacked (62%) https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/worldviews/wp/2017/08/07/a-majority-of-americans-favor-deploying-u-s-troops-if-north-korea-attacks-south-korea-poll-finds/?utm_term=.f9325f27d658

Deploy more THAAD units, in progress, and shoot the next one of his missile toys out of the sky. We are at the precipice now. The ball is in NK's court and they keep trying to start a war with their "acts of justice." If they start it, we should finish it, and decisively. As I have said before, I think if anything drastic happens, it will happen within the next year. The estimate for them mastering the ICBM and nuclear tech is early to mid-2018 so the clock is ticking.

For the most part.

[Person Man]

It feels kind of a  Freudian slip to me. As if he is resigned to that fact.

[Person Man]

How exactly did NK advance in their technology so quickly all of a sudden? Not too long ago, they were struggling to get anything off the ground effectively.

There are speculations about Yuzhmash manufacturer from Ukraine. New korean rockets looked similar to rockets produced by Yuzmash. If it's true, there are two possibilities: either Yuzmash secretly sold techologies to DPRK (it existed only because of cooperation with Russia, and after 2014 it was ended as well as any money incomes for ukrainian plant), or DPRK agents just stole secrets (it would be quite easy, and DPRK agents already tried it in 2000s)

That's pretty much how a lot of countries have stayed afloat in the past.

[Person Man]

Let's be clear, though - the circular error probable of these missiles is almost certainly god-awful, and North Korea isn't going to risk certain anihilation launching a missile at New York if there's a 50/50 shot it might land in the Atlantic or in the Adirondacks.

They would if they were attacked or thought they had enough to blackmail themselves back open.

[Person Man]

What is the end game if NK doesn't disarm and there is no war?

[Person Man]

What is the end game if NK doesn't disarm and there is no war?

US, South Korea, and Japan acceptance of a nuclear NK and massive deterrence/nuclear SK and Japan. It's not a preferable outcome.

Basically this becomes the event that makes nuclear proliferation a reality. An inflection point. This is basically what Putin wants. That is, the world to be a bunch of fortresses pointing nukes at each other.