I'm not sure what would change demographically, but I could almost guarantee that every single presidential election would be a 2000-like debacle under a NPV system.
There hasn't been a single presidential election in US history where the popular vote was as close as Florida was in 2000, so I'm not sure why you're so confident in this?
I hear this argument a lot from EC advocates, but it's worth remembering that of the world's five most populous countries, four are democracies, and if Indonesia and Brazil can elect their presidents by direct popular vote, there's no good reason that the far richer and more developed U.S. couldn't.