AL-SEN 2017 predictions?

[Suburbia]

Likely R. Alabama Democrats are not ready to win in Alabama unless they change their party brand. This is Jeff Sessions' seat after all, he won reelection unopposed in 2014 for Heaven's sake.

AL-SEN GOP Runoff:

Moore 57%
Strange 41%

AL-SEN Special Election:
Moore 60%
Jones 39%

[Xing]

Guess I'll sneak in a last minute prediction. Moore wins 54-46.

[The Other Castro]

GOP runoff:
Moore - 51%
Strange - 49%

Updated last minute:

GOP runoff:
Moore - 55%
Strange - 45%

[_]

Keeping my old prediction.

57-43 Moore

GE:

55-45 Moore

[MT Treasurer]

GOP runoff:

53% Moore
47% Strange

Changing this to 55-45 Moore.

[Ye We Can]

51-49 Strange

I'll be bold.

[Heisenberg]

Primary:

Moore: 57%
Strange: 43%

General:

Moore: 57%
Jones: 43%

[The Arizonan]

Roy Moore got the Republican nomination?! Do voters have any standards anymore?

[Kamala]

Mary Maxwell will run as a conservative independent and spoil the election, handing the election to Jones.

[Xing]

My random guess was pretty close. No way in hell Jones wins this, so Senator Roy Moore will go down on the list of things I now have to say that I hoped I would never have to. Best case scenario for Jones is a KS-04 redux, but I'll guess Moore wins 56-44 for now.

[Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Hopefully we get a nice Jonesslide:

58% Jones
36% Moore
6% Maxwell/Other

More realistically:

53% Moore
43% Jones
4%  Maxwell/Other

[Maxwell]

GE
56% Moore
41% Jones

[windjammer]

Moore by 10 points

[Brittain33]

Heart says Safe R, brain says Likely R only because Moore is such an unpredictable candidate in an unpredictable year. I think I would still be absolutely shocked if Moore lost because it's Alabama.

[Alabama_Indy10]

Do y'all think Moore will win the general by more or less than he won the runoff?

[100% pro-life no matter what]

Do y'all think Moore will win the general by more or less than he won the runoff?

Moore by Moore

[Co-Chair Bagel23]

My FINAL Prediction for the GOP runoff tomorrow.

Moore:56
Strange:44

Strange does well in Birmingham area, and does mediocre, not even that ok, in Mobile and Baldwin, and does OK in Northern Brooks area and near Huntsville. Besides that, he will probably get obliterated elsewhere, with a few small strongholds scattered here and there.

Darn, I'm pretty decent.

[MT Treasurer]

Bump. Moving this to Tossup obviously, but I have no idea who will win or by what margin. It should be relatively close, though.

[GeorgiaModerate]

Bump. Moving this to Tossup obviously, but I have no idea who will win or by what margin. It should be relatively close, though.

I'm switching to Tossup as well.  The race is in too much flux right now to make a decent prediction.

[Rookie Yinzer]

Tilt Moore.

The (R) by his name will carry him over the top. Alabama whites are not elastic like Missouri or Louisiana.

Jones' best bet are white women quietly voting Democrat and voters with business interests not wanting Moore to taint the state.

[NewYorkExpress]

Moore (R) 49.3%
Jones (D) 49.1%
Write-in (either Luther Strange or Mo Brooks) 1.6%

[Mr. Smith]

Moore: 49%
Jones: 46%
Other: 5%

Wouldn't be surprised if this one goes the way of Gianforte v. Quist though.

[Baki]

Moore - 53%
Jones - 47%

[Virginiá]

All I feel comfortable with right now is that this race will likely be within low-mid single digits regardless of who wins.

I'd like to think the recent Moore scandal would sink him, but let's be honest, it's Alabama.

[Xing]

People honestly think Jones has a chance? Come on, people, this is Alabama we're talking about. Moore's scandal isn't going to sink him, just ask President Hillary Clinton or Congressman Rob Quist how much these scandals really affect the opinions of voters. Moore would win even if he didn't deny the allegations and claimed he felt good about what he did. I'll guess a slightly narrower margin, but Moore's magic (R) will still easily save him.

Moore - 53%
Jones - 45%