States that have trended the same way three consecutive times (user search)
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  States that have trended the same way three consecutive times (search mode)
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Author Topic: States that have trended the same way three consecutive times  (Read 1091 times)
The Undefeatable Debbie Stabenow
slightlyburnttoast
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,049
United States


Political Matrix
E: -5.42, S: -5.43

P P
« on: August 04, 2017, 07:31:28 PM »

...in presidential elections ('04-'08, '08-12, and 12-16).



States that barely missed the cut:
  • Oregon (trended left '04-'08 and 12-16, but trended right '08-12 by just 0.86%)
  • Colorado (trending left '04-'08 and 12-16, but trended right '08-12 by just 0.19%)
  • Iowa (trended right '08-12 and 12-16, but trended left '04-'08 by just 0.48%)
  • Texas (trended left '04-'08 and 12-16, but trended right '08-12 by just 0.63%)
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The Undefeatable Debbie Stabenow
slightlyburnttoast
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,049
United States


Political Matrix
E: -5.42, S: -5.43

P P
« Reply #1 on: August 04, 2017, 07:50:26 PM »

But New Hampshire trended to left big time in 2004-2008
North Carolina also trended right 2012-2016
How did these states trend left and right?

According to my calculations (based off of Atlas election results), New Hampshire was D+3.84 in 2004 (Kerry won it by 1.37 and Bush won nationally by 2.47) and D+2.35 in 2008 (Obama won it by 9.61 and he won nationally by 7.26). North Carolina was R+5.90 in 2012 (Romney won it by 2.04 and Obama won nationally by 3.86) and R+5.75 in 2016 (Trump won it by 3.66 and Clinton won nationally by 2.09).
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