Current 2017/2018 Gubernatorial Predictions? (user search)
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  Current 2017/2018 Gubernatorial Predictions? (search mode)
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Latest 2018 Predictions (Highest Scores)
User Map Prof Date Ver. Pickup Rep Dem Ind #C
jaichind (L-NY)MapProfile 11-06 8 D +8 19 (-7) 17 (+8) 0 (-1) 0
PragPop (D-MD)MapProfile 07-01 8 D +7 19 (-7) 16 (+7) 1 (0) 0
Republican95 (R-MS)MapProfile 10-30 3 D +6 21 (-5) 15 (+6) 0 (-1) 0
Aguagon (D-AZ)MapProfile 11-05 1 D +8 19 (-7) 17 (+8) 0 (-1) 0
rrussom1 (D-NC)MapProfile 11-06 6 D +9 18 (-8) 18 (+9) 0 (-1) 0
Checkard (D-OH)MapProfile 04-22 1 D +7 20 (-6) 16 (+7) 0 (-1) 0
Politician (--MA)MapProfile 11-02 111 D +10 17 (-9) 19 (+10) 0 (-1) 0
Castro2020 (I-CT)MapProfile 11-03 10 D +11 16 (-10) 20 (+11) 0 (-1) 0
bluesolid (D-NY)MapProfile 11-04 21 D +10 17 (-9) 19 (+10) 0 (-1) 0
tmthforu94 (D-MO)MapProfile 11-05 16 D +8 19 (-7) 17 (+8) 0 (-1) 0
Latest 2018 Predictions (Most Recent Entries)
User Map Prof Date Ver. Pickup Rep Dem Ind #C
jastone0493 (D-CO)MapProfile 11-06 5 D +9 18 (-8) 18 (+9) 0 (-1) 0
Lechasseur (R-FL)MapProfile 11-06 5 D +4 23 (-3) 13 (+4) 0 (-1) 0
Liberalrocks (D-CA)MapProfile 11-06 3 D +10 17 (-9) 19 (+10) 0 (-1) 0
AntonioV (D-CA)MapProfile 11-06 7 D +9 18 (-8) 18 (+9) 0 (-1) 0
SecureAmerica (R-NM)MapProfile 11-06 1 D +7 20 (-6) 16 (+7) 0 (-1) 0
tomhguy (L-GBR)MapProfile 11-06 1 D +8 19 (-7) 17 (+8) 0 (-1) 0
OctoCube (R-MA)MapProfile 11-06 2 D +7 20 (-6) 16 (+7) 0 (-1) 0
Impartial (D-NY)MapProfile 11-06 4 D +10 17 (-9) 19 (+10) 0 (-1) 0
WaterHazard (I-IL)MapProfile 11-06 5 D +9 18 (-8) 18 (+9) 0 (-1) 0
Horatii (R-MA)MapProfile 11-06 14 D +8 19 (-7) 17 (+8) 0 (-1) 0
Latest 2018 Predictions (Most Recent Comments)
User Map Prof Date Ver. Pickup Rep Dem Ind #C
deleteduser (I-WV)
by deleteduser on 2019-01-24 @ 09:36:01
Map 11-02 65 D +9 18 (-8) 18 (+9) 0 (-1) 5
Grassr00ts (R-IL)
by Grassr00ts on 2018-11-06 @ 22:11:10
MapProfile 10-31 1 D +5 21 (-5) 14 (+5) 1 (0) 1
edwardsna (R-NY)
by deleteduser on 2018-11-06 @ 03:33:00
MapProfile 11-05 6 D +6 21 (-5) 15 (+6) 0 (-1) 1
Beaver2 (D-VA)
by darthpi on 2018-11-05 @ 21:01:35
MapProfile 11-05 1 D +5 22 (-4) 14 (+5) 0 (-1) 1
darthpi (D-PA)
by darthpi on 2018-11-05 @ 20:46:09
MapProfile 11-05 26 D +11 16 (-10) 20 (+11) 0 (-1) 1
man_of_honor885 ()
by deleteduser on 2018-10-26 @ 21:41:27
Map 10-08 2 D +9 18 (-8) 18 (+9) 0 (-1) 2
edwardsna (R-NY)
by deleteduser on 2018-10-26 @ 21:37:20
MapProfile 10-07 5 D +7 20 (-6) 16 (+7) 0 (-1) 3
BushCountry (I-IN)
by KnuxMaster368 on 2018-09-13 @ 10:53:27
MapProfile 09-13 21 D +7 19 (-7) 16 (+7) 1 (0) 1
edwardsna (R-NY)
by deleteduser on 2018-08-15 @ 04:29:01
MapProfile 08-13 4 D +4 23 (-3) 13 (+4) 0 (-1) 1
Politician (--MA)
by Nik on 2018-07-31 @ 17:03:11
MapProfile 07-27 79 D +11 16 (-10) 20 (+11) 0 (-1) 1
Latest Discussion Topics
Author Topic: Current 2017/2018 Gubernatorial Predictions?  (Read 19329 times)
America Needs a 13-6 Progressive SCOTUS
Solid4096
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,730


Political Matrix
E: -8.88, S: -8.51

P P P
« on: October 30, 2017, 07:15:18 PM »

I have the map in my signature
Logged
America Needs a 13-6 Progressive SCOTUS
Solid4096
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,730


Political Matrix
E: -8.88, S: -8.51

P P P
« Reply #1 on: October 30, 2017, 08:22:54 PM »


SD gubernatorial as "likely R" but Kansas as "safe R" Huh

The Kansas Republican Party is distancing itself from Brownback, and Brownback is term limited, so Democrats are not going to benefit from his unpopularity.  Additionally, there have been cases not too long ago where Democrats were able to win elections in South Dakota in the correct circumstances, whereas they never really manage to win in Kansas.
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America Needs a 13-6 Progressive SCOTUS
Solid4096
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,730


Political Matrix
E: -8.88, S: -8.51

P P P
« Reply #2 on: November 06, 2017, 02:56:07 PM »

I changed my Virginia confidence from likely to leaning.  I still think Northam will win, however.

Later this week, I will add 2019 predictions.
Logged
America Needs a 13-6 Progressive SCOTUS
Solid4096
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,730


Political Matrix
E: -8.88, S: -8.51

P P P
« Reply #3 on: November 20, 2017, 03:48:06 PM »

Logged
America Needs a 13-6 Progressive SCOTUS
Solid4096
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,730


Political Matrix
E: -8.88, S: -8.51

P P P
« Reply #4 on: November 21, 2017, 12:31:09 PM »

why are Michigan and Maine toss up in the prediction confidence median.  Both are clearly going to flip to the Democrats.
Logged
America Needs a 13-6 Progressive SCOTUS
Solid4096
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,730


Political Matrix
E: -8.88, S: -8.51

P P P
« Reply #5 on: November 21, 2017, 12:48:08 PM »

why are Michigan and Maine toss up in the prediction confidence median.  Both are clearly going to flip to the Democrats.

Not everyone believes that the Democrats will win every single state just because of Trump. IL and NM are the only states which I believe are basically guaranteed to flip to the Democrats, but I wouldn't rule out a GOP victory in either ME or MI (though obviously the GOP will struggle to keep those states).

lol.  Illinois is much more winnable for the GOP than Michigan or Maine in the 2018 Gubernatorial elections.  Honestly, it is also more winnable for the GOP than Wisconsin, Maryland, and Nevada as well.
Logged
America Needs a 13-6 Progressive SCOTUS
Solid4096
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,730


Political Matrix
E: -8.88, S: -8.51

P P P
« Reply #6 on: November 21, 2017, 12:53:37 PM »

lol.  Illinois is much more winnable for the GOP than Michigan or Maine in the 2018 Gubernatorial elections.  Honestly, it is also more winnable for the GOP than Wisconsin, Maryland, and Nevada as well.

Lol, nice try.
I am going to look forward to being able to say "told you so" When Dem win big in Michigan and Maine, while only winning narrowly or even possibly losing in Illinois.
Logged
America Needs a 13-6 Progressive SCOTUS
Solid4096
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,730


Political Matrix
E: -8.88, S: -8.51

P P P
« Reply #7 on: November 23, 2017, 12:14:47 PM »


I believe Democrats will pickup New Mexico, Nevada, Michigan, Illinois, and Maine. I think there is a good chance of Democrats picking up both Florida and Kansas as well. I think Republicans could pickup Connecticut. There are opportunities for Democrats to win in Georgia, Arizona, Wisconsin, Oklahoma, Ohio, Maryland, and New Hampshire.

Hi

you should change your predictions, and I am telling you this since I think you are misunderstanding something.

See my comment on your senate prediction for reference of what you should fix.
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