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  Atlas Forum
  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  Election Predictions (Moderator: muon2)
  Current 2017/2018 Gubernatorial Predictions? (search mode)
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Latest 2018 Predictions (Highest Scores)
User Map Prof Date Ver. Pickup Rep Dem Ind #C
jaichind (L-NY)MapProfile 11-06 8 D +8 19 (-7) 17 (+8) 0 (-1) 0
PragPop (D-MD)MapProfile 07-01 8 D +7 19 (-7) 16 (+7) 1 (0) 0
Republican95 (R-MS)MapProfile 10-30 3 D +6 21 (-5) 15 (+6) 0 (-1) 0
Aguagon (D-AZ)MapProfile 11-05 1 D +8 19 (-7) 17 (+8) 0 (-1) 0
rrussom1 (D-TN)MapProfile 11-06 6 D +9 18 (-8) 18 (+9) 0 (-1) 0
Checkard (D-OH)MapProfile 04-22 1 D +7 20 (-6) 16 (+7) 0 (-1) 0
Politician (I-MA)MapProfile 11-02 111 D +10 17 (-9) 19 (+10) 0 (-1) 0
Castro2020 (I-CT)MapProfile 11-03 10 D +11 16 (-10) 20 (+11) 0 (-1) 0
bluesolid (D-NY)MapProfile 11-04 21 D +10 17 (-9) 19 (+10) 0 (-1) 0
tmthforu94 (R-KS)MapProfile 11-05 16 D +8 19 (-7) 17 (+8) 0 (-1) 0
Latest 2018 Predictions (Most Recent Entries)
User Map Prof Date Ver. Pickup Rep Dem Ind #C
jastone0493 (D-CO)MapProfile 11-06 5 D +9 18 (-8) 18 (+9) 0 (-1) 0
Lechasseur (R-FL)MapProfile 11-06 5 D +4 23 (-3) 13 (+4) 0 (-1) 0
Liberalrocks (D-CA)MapProfile 11-06 3 D +10 17 (-9) 19 (+10) 0 (-1) 0
AntonioV (D-CA)MapProfile 11-06 7 D +9 18 (-8) 18 (+9) 0 (-1) 0
SecureAmerica (R-NM)MapProfile 11-06 1 D +7 20 (-6) 16 (+7) 0 (-1) 0
tomhguy (L-GBR)MapProfile 11-06 1 D +8 19 (-7) 17 (+8) 0 (-1) 0
OctoCube (R-MA)MapProfile 11-06 2 D +7 20 (-6) 16 (+7) 0 (-1) 0
Impartial (D-NY)MapProfile 11-06 4 D +10 17 (-9) 19 (+10) 0 (-1) 0
WaterHazard (I-IL)MapProfile 11-06 5 D +9 18 (-8) 18 (+9) 0 (-1) 0
Horatii (R-MA)MapProfile 11-06 14 D +8 19 (-7) 17 (+8) 0 (-1) 0
Latest 2018 Predictions (Most Recent Comments)
User Map Prof Date Ver. Pickup Rep Dem Ind #C
bluemcdowell (D-WV)
by bluemcdowell on 2019-01-24 @ 09:36:01
Map 11-02 65 D +9 18 (-8) 18 (+9) 0 (-1) 5
Grassr00ts (R-IL)
by Grassr00ts on 2018-11-06 @ 22:11:10
MapProfile 10-31 1 D +5 21 (-5) 14 (+5) 1 (0) 1
edwardsna (R-NY)
by bluemcdowell on 2018-11-06 @ 03:33:00
MapProfile 11-05 6 D +6 21 (-5) 15 (+6) 0 (-1) 1
Beaver2 (--VA)
by darthpi on 2018-11-05 @ 21:01:35
MapProfile 11-05 1 D +5 22 (-4) 14 (+5) 0 (-1) 1
darthpi (D-PA)
by darthpi on 2018-11-05 @ 20:46:09
MapProfile 11-05 26 D +11 16 (-10) 20 (+11) 0 (-1) 1
man_of_honor885 (R-PA)
by bluemcdowell on 2018-10-26 @ 21:41:27
Map 10-08 2 D +9 18 (-8) 18 (+9) 0 (-1) 2
edwardsna (R-NY)
by bluemcdowell on 2018-10-26 @ 21:37:20
MapProfile 10-07 5 D +7 20 (-6) 16 (+7) 0 (-1) 3
BushCountry (I-IN)
by KnuxMaster368 on 2018-09-13 @ 10:53:27
MapProfile 09-13 21 D +7 19 (-7) 16 (+7) 1 (0) 1
edwardsna (R-NY)
by bluemcdowell on 2018-08-15 @ 04:29:01
MapProfile 08-13 4 D +4 23 (-3) 13 (+4) 0 (-1) 1
Politician (I-MA)
by Nik on 2018-07-31 @ 17:03:11
MapProfile 07-27 79 D +11 16 (-10) 20 (+11) 0 (-1) 1
Latest Discussion Topics
Author Topic: Current 2017/2018 Gubernatorial Predictions?  (Read 12326 times)
mileslunn
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« on: August 10, 2017, 11:58:41 pm »


D+7

According to Trump all should be dark blue as his popularity is massive, he is the most yugely popular president ever.  The polls and news about his unpopularity are all fake.  And off course any state where the GOP doesn't win was because it was rigged or illegals voter en masse.

That being said in all seriousness generally sounds about right, my only question is with Wisconsin as I thought Scott Walker was not that popular, but is he term limited?  Kansas is another interesting one as although a staunchly GOP state, Sam Brownback has the lowest approval rating of any governor, but I don't believe he is running again.  Connecticut I thought was vulnerable although maybe the anti-Trump sentiment will save the Democrats there.  Nevada I also thought was fairly solid GOP in the next state election as well.
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mileslunn
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« Reply #1 on: September 09, 2017, 03:03:41 am »

Of the 2017 ones, I think New Jersey looks highly likely to be a Democrat pick-up.  Virginia leans Democrat but a GOP pick up is possible although Democrats have the edge there.
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mileslunn
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« Reply #2 on: October 31, 2017, 07:30:04 pm »

For 2017, still want to wait until we get closer for 2018 although I think with the Democrats at record lows and GOP controlling all branches you will see a net gain for Democrats, but probably still have more GOP governors and controlled state legislatures, just less so than now.  This year

New Jersey - Solid Democrat - Easy pick-up
Virginia - Slight lean Democrat but GOP could pick this up

Otherwise best case scenario for Democrats is hold Virginia and pick up New Jersey so that means control of 16 governor mansions.  Best for GOP is lose New Jersey but pick up Virginia thus still control of 15 governor mansions.
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