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October 18, 2019, 11:51:59 am
News: 2020 Presidential Predictions (General) are now active.

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  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  Gubernatorial/Statewide Elections
  2019 & Odd Year Gubernatorial Election Polls (Moderators: Brittain33, Virginiá)
  VCU - Virginia: Northam +5 (search mode)
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Author Topic: VCU - Virginia: Northam +5  (Read 1010 times)
heatcharger
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Posts: 4,208
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Political Matrix
E: -1.04, S: -0.24

« on: August 08, 2017, 09:40:29 am »

Yeah this sounds about right, and this is a LV poll too. That Monmouth poll had Northam only up 13 in NOVA, which seeemd like an outlier to me. It's also good to see that Fairfax isn't lagging behind Northam at all, but that isn't all that surprising considering they're incredibly similar.
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heatcharger
YaBB God
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Posts: 4,208
Sweden


Political Matrix
E: -1.04, S: -0.24

« Reply #1 on: August 08, 2017, 10:31:53 am »

a 5 point win here won't be terribly promising for Dems in 2018.

Was John Bel Edwards 13 point victory a sign that the GOP was in trouble in 2016? Not evidently so. Gubernatorial races are less susceptible to partisanship than federal ones, so drawing conclusions based on one for the other isn't very sound.
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