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July 19, 2019, 11:25:09 am
News: 2019 Gubernatorial Predictions are now active

  Atlas Forum
  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  Gubernatorial/Statewide Elections
  2019 & Odd Year Gubernatorial Election Polls (Moderators: Brittain33, Virginiá)
  VCU - Virginia: Northam +5 (search mode)
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Author Topic: VCU - Virginia: Northam +5  (Read 888 times)
Heisenberg
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« on: August 08, 2017, 10:41:38 am »

a 5 point win here won't be terribly promising for Dems in 2018.

Was John Bel Edwards 13 point victory a sign that the GOP was in trouble in 2016? Not evidently so. Gubernatorial races are less susceptible to partisanship than federal ones, so drawing conclusions based on one for the other isn't very sound.
Part of JBE's strong victory was that Vitter was a horrible candidate, and that prostitution scandal destroyed him. But I agree, gubernatorial elections are less susceptible to partisanship, but also far more likely to be affected by state-level issues, too.
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