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September 17, 2019, 09:51:32 pm
News: 2019 Gubernatorial Predictions are now active

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  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion
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  2019 & Odd Year Gubernatorial Election Polls (Moderators: Brittain33, Silurian)
  VCU - Virginia: Northam +5 (search mode)
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Author Topic: VCU - Virginia: Northam +5  (Read 977 times)
YaBB God
Posts: 1,830
Ireland, Republic of

Political Matrix
E: -7.61, S: -5.57

« on: August 08, 2017, 02:11:49 pm »

a 5 point win here won't be terribly promising for Dems in 2018.

The most exciting number for me is Democrats leading the Virginia General Assembly poll by 7. They wouldn't flip the chamber with that, but so many NoVA/Richmond seats would flip.

Do you happen to know how what the popular vote margins were for the 2013 and 2015 House of Delegates elections was? I'm curious how much Democrats lost or won that by.

I don't have the exact number. Also it would be difficult to compare because so many seats were uncontested last year, while this year is going to have a modern record for contested races.
Here's the 2015 HoD numbers
Republicans - 69%
Democrats - 30%

I find this a little hard to believe, but who knows. I couldn't find the numbers for 2013 though.
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