I have a couple of scenarios for this actually.
First of all, lets say the Republicans nominate George W. Bush again, still immensely popular with the Republican Party.
Pres. Al Gore / Vice Pres. Joe Lieberman - 363 EVsGov. George W. Bush (R-TX) / Sen. Elizabeth Dole (R-NC) - 175 EVsClosest StatesNevada - 0.29%Arizona - 0.44%Georgia - 0.73%Arkansas - 1.06%Montana - 1.15%
Louisiana - 1.30% McCain, the runner-up for the nomination in 2000, wins the nomination in 2004.
Pres. Al Gore (D-TN) / Vice Pres. Joe Lieberman (D-CT) - 327 EVsSen. John McCain (R-AZ) / Fmr. Gov. Christine Todd Whitman (R-NJ) - 200 EVsClosest StatesArkansas - 0.09%Indiana - 0.16%New Mexico - 0.21%Oregon - 0.49%Colorado - 0.79%Wisconsin - 0.88%
New Hampshire - 1.04%