VA-SEN 2018: Which Republican can beat Sen. Tim Kaine (D-Va.)?

[UncleSam]

Voted Comstock because she's the only one I could really see pulling it off in a Trump midterm (aka pulling a rabbit out of a hat) but Stewart could've won if Clinton were president. People underestimate how many potential voters there still are in western Virginia due to recent presidential candidates being unable to turn them out, and combined with a base of strength in Prince William that I don't understand (how did he run so strong there in the Gov primary if it's a mirage?) Stewart would probably consistently run competitively and lose by 3 - 5 or so.

Dreams of 10+ wins yet in Virginia are probably Democratic pipedreams, Virginia is heavily polarized and Republicans can't really get less than about 43 - 44 percent with competitive candidates (nor can Democrats get less than 47-48). Gillespie will run close this year and Kaine's race will probably be closer than any on the left would be comfortable with if it is vs Stewart - fortunately, Stewart should get trounced in Fairfax and Hampton Roads so badly that it would be impossible to win.

Don't underestimate Rs in Virginia though. I'd bet that Charlottesville helped Rs there even while hurting them across most of the swing states, as sad as that is. The reality is that the R base in western Virginia still strongly align with the confederacy, and the transplants who outvote them and couldn't care less (or actively want confederate statues removed) already vote D anyway.

[Mr. Smith]

Wouldn't underestimate Corey Stewart pulling it off thanks to YUGE turnout in the Downstate, can't forget that George Allen almost won in 2012.

Turnout is usually not that high in that part of the state, but he'd be just the man to do it.

[Heisenberg]

Wouldn't underestimate Corey Stewart pulling it off thanks to YUGE turnout in the Downstate, can't forget that George Allen almost won in 2012.

Turnout is usually not that high in that part of the state, but he'd be just the man to do it.

NOVA is too big and vote-heavy now. Sigh, the swampburbs have ruined Virginia.

[TheSaint250]

Carly Fiorina is out.

https://www.washingtonpost.com/local/virginia-politics/carly-fiorina-will-not-run-for-senate-eases-path-to-nomination-for-corey-stewart/2017/09/08/d3e0aa22-94c9-11e7-aace-04b862b2b3f3_story.html?utm_term=.2d8c724f87e7

[Blackacre]

Wouldn't underestimate Corey Stewart pulling it off thanks to YUGE turnout in the Downstate, can't forget that George Allen almost won in 2012.

Turnout is usually not that high in that part of the state, but he'd be just the man to do it.

NOVA is too big and vote-heavy now. Sigh, the swampburbs have saved Virginia.

FTFY

But seriously, none of them.

[Frodo]

Barbara Comstock if forced to choose, but honestly probably none of them -if even Ed Gillespie has to cater to the bigots in the party, then I really see no hope for any of them, no matter how moderate or pragmatic they may be by comparison to Corey Stewart (or someone like him).