Trump vs Brown: How likely is it that OH goes D and PA goes R

[mileslunn]

Pennsylvania is always slightly more democratic than Ohio so I don't think it matters much who candidate is.  Philadelphia metro area is a much larger share of the Pennsylvania population and it tends to lean heavily Democrat as opposed to Cleveland metro area which votes Democrat in similar margins but smaller share of population.  Pittsburgh metro area is slightly more Republican than Cleveland, but still more Democratic than Columbus or Cincinnati metro area.  In rural areas or smaller urban areas the GOP vs. Democrat split is pretty similar in both cases.  So if Ohio goes Democrat, Pennsylvania almost certainly will whereas I could easily see Pennsylvania going Democrat and Ohio going Republican.