My current 2020 predictions

[Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

November '16 Edition: https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=252115
March '17 Edition: https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=260192.0

All of these are NPV predictions of how the race will turn out in 2020, which may not be the same as the result of an election held today. The +/- by each prediction represents gain or loss from the March edition. A few new predictions are also included.

Trump - 55% (=)
Warren - 40% (+1)

Trump - 52% (=)
Kamala Harris - 44% (=)

Trump - 52% (+1)
Climbing Maggie - 42% (=)

Trump - 52% (+2)
Clinton - 43% (-2)

Trump - 49% (=)
Sanders - 47% (+1)

Trump - 50% (=)
Gillibrand - 45% (=)

Schweitzer - 51% (+1)
Trump - 46% (-1)

Klobuchar - 49% (+1)
Trump - 48% (-1)

Wesley Clark - 49% (-1)
Trump - 46% (=)

Hickenlooper - 51%  (=)
Trump - 44% (=)

Sherrod Brown - 52% (+3)
Trump - 44% (-1)

Booker - 50% (=)
Trump - 47% (=)

Trump - 49% (=)
Kanye - 43% (+1)

Biden - 60% (+3)
Trump - 36% (-2)

Kaine - 51% (+2)
Trump - 45% (-1)

Trump - 49% (-1)
Chris Murphy - 47% (+1)

Trump - 48% (+1)
DeBlasio - 47% (-3)

Michelle Obama - 53% (+2)
Trump - 45% (-1)

Joaquin Castro - 52% (+3)
Trump - 44% (-4)

Trump - 49% (-2)
Julian Castro - 47% (+2)

Cuomo - 48% (=)
Trump - 43% (=)

Roy Cooper - 50% (=)
Trump - 47% (=)

Kander - 51% (+1)
Trump - 44% (=)

Trump - 49% (=)
Gore - 45% (+2)

Trump - 51% (=)
O'Malley - 45% (=)

John Kerry - 48% (+1)
Trump - 48% (-1)

Heinrich - 50% (=)
Trump - 46% (=)

Trump - 55% (-1)
Oprah - 34% (+2)

Trump - 47% (=)
Bloomberg - 44% (=)

NEW PREDICTIONS:

Trump - 52%
Delaney - 44%

Garcetti - 50%
Trump - 47%

Bullock - 51%
Trump - 46%

Ossoff - 49%
Trump - 47%

McAuliffe - 51%
Trump - 45%

Trump - 56%
Spike Lee - 36%

Trump - 52%
Seth Meyers - 43%

Jerry Brown - 50%
Trump - 46%

Deval Patrick - 50%
Trump - 47%

----------------------------

New for this edition, I am including matchups with the current democratic frontrunner, Elizabeth Warren, for some other potential republican nominees. Most of these would only happen in a scenario where Trump is impeached.:

Pence - 57%
Warren - 38%

Scott Pruitt - 51%
Warren - 45%

Kasich - 62%
Warren - 30%

Cruz - 53%
Warren - 42%

Democrats should take one lesson from this: Elizabeth Warren is not the candidate you should run.

[Lachi]

What are you basing this off?

[mileslunn]

No way Trump gets 55%.  He may win in 2020, agreed, but 51-52% is probably his ceiling.  Considering how polarized the US is, any prediction that has more than a 10 point spread is highly unlikely.  The last time there was more than a 10 point spread was in 1984.  I agree Elizabeth Warren is probably not the best choice but those showing the Democrats getting barely over 40% or under are way off.  Only if there is a strong third party can I see the Democrats falling below 45% and likewise since WWII they have only once fallen below 40% and that was in the 1972 Nixon landslide.

[Tintrlvr]

What are you basing this off?

Random shilling for candidates Wulfric prefers and trolling against candidates he doesn't like, it seems.

[Holmes]

If you think any candidate winning by more than 10% in today's environment is possible, then you're crazy. If you think Warren would lose to Kasich by 30% then you're just lying to yourself to try to make yourself believe that she'd be a bad candidate.

[Rookie Yinzer]

Did Warren say Kasich has white male privilege  during a debate? Was she caught on tape saying she eats babies?

Why is she losing by 30?

[Sprouts Farmers Market ✘]

#KanyeWouldHaveWon

[Figueira]

Why should Democrats take "lessons" from random Internet people?

[Devout Centrist]

It's sad to see a man go insane before your very eyes

[Comrade Funk]

[TheLeftwardTide]

It's sad to see a man go insane before your very eyes

[Grumpier Than Thou]

Jesus Christ Wulfric

[Kamala]

Who will be more accurate in 2020; Nate Silver or Wulfric?

[Shadows]

It's sad to see a man go insane before your very eyes

[The Undefeatable Debbie Stabenow]

How does Kanye West do better than Kamala Harris?

[Illini Moderate]

This is a weird thread. There is no way Trump beats Warren by 15%. Trump beating Harris by more than he would beat Kanye is completely strange too. The only person Trump could beat by that much is Kanye or Lena "everything is problematic and I molested my sister" Dunham.

Also I don't see how Kasich beats Warren by over 30%. While I have no doubt he would win, that large of a margin for ANYONE is just not possible

[Cashew]

What are you basing this off?

Random shilling for candidates Wulfric prefers and trolling against candidates he doesn't like, it seems.

[Statilius the Epicurean]

Pence wouldn't win 57% of the popular vote if the Democrats ran Kanye West.

[SWE]

Given how bad Wulfric is at knowing things, I can only conclude the Elizabeth Warren is going to run in 2020 and win all 50 states.

[RFayette]

It's sad to see a man go insane before your very eyes

Wulfric has always been like this.

[Donerail]

Wulfric's schtick begins to make sense when you realize he's doing a comedy act and the 90% of his posting that's just meaningless drivel about some special election in nebraska is just to give him the kind of credibility necessary to create truly hilarious content like this thread

[mileslunn]

My 2020 predictions which I am very confident of is as follows:

Neither party will get over 55%
Third parties combined will not get over 7%, probably much less (this excludes some big name Independent running)
The GOP will get at least 43% while Democrats at least 45%
The gap between the two parties will be under 10%.

[Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

This thread and his comments on the MT Senate race basically show that Wulfric has learned nothing from the 2016 election (or the special elections, btw).

Aside from GA-6 telling us that dems aren't getting the house in '18, there's nothing to learn from the specials.

[Since I'm the mad scientist proclaimed by myself]

This thread and his comments on the MT Senate race basically show that Wulfric has learned nothing from the 2016 election (or the special elections, btw).

Aside from GA-6 telling us that dems aren't getting the house in '18, there's nothing to learn from the specials.

Sure. It's not like dems lost a similar special election in 2005 or anything.

[TheSaint250]

This thread and his comments on the MT Senate race basically show that Wulfric has learned nothing from the 2016 election (or the special elections, btw).

Aside from GA-6 telling us that dems aren't getting the house in '18, there's nothing to learn from the specials.

Sure. It's not like dems lost a similar special election in 2005 or anything.

Didn't they win some in 2009?

Same points here. Special elections one year before are no indicator.