Yeah, I agree with the analysis in this thread. This race is definitely Likely D now, and much closer to Safe D than Lean D. No way someone like Tester can lose, and all the Republican overconfidence here is definitely unwarranted.
Weren't you the one telling me I was too bullish on Tester in another thread? Your inconsistency is amusing.
He was being sarcastic. Seriously, you couldn't tell? Isn't that why he put the italics? I believe he's singling out people like you (without actually dropping any names) for being overconfident, as you have been about Tester for some time. Also, please name me one time where a "Pants on Fire" rating from Politifact sunk someone's campaign, because I can't think of any.
Re: Italics = Sarcasm : Eh, maybe, maybe not. Obviously it's in your best interest to latch on to any remotely possible sign of sarcasm in any pro-Tester post here, so your judgment of MT's seriousness is unreliable.
One lie often leads to another and another and another, which can sink a campaign. Just ask Michele Bachmann.