2020 voter demographics
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American2020
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« on: August 26, 2017, 11:57:43 AM »

This is 2016 voter demographics

2016 Presidential vote by demographic subgroup
Demographic subgroup   Clinton   Trump   Other    % of
total vote
Total vote   48   46   6   100
Ideology
Liberals   84   10   6   26
Moderates   52   41   7   39
Conservatives   15   81   4   35
Party
Democrats   89   9   2   37
Republicans   7   90   3   33
Independents   42   48   10   31
Party by gender
Democratic men   87   10   3   14
Democratic women   90   8   2   23
Republican men   6   90   2   17
Republican women   8   89   2   16
Independent men   37   51   10   17
Independent women   47   43   7   14
Gender
Men   41   52   7   47
Women   54   41   5   53
Gender by marital status
Married men   37   58   5   29
Married women   49   47   4   30
Non-married men   46   45   9   19
Non-married women   62   33   5   23
Race/ethnicity
White   37   58   5   70
Black   88   8   4   12
Asian   65   29   6   4
Other   56   37   7   3
Hispanic (of any race)   65   29   6   11
Gender by race/ethnicity
White men   31   63   5   34
White women   43   53   3   37
Black men   80   13   6   5
Black women   94   4   2   7
Latino men (of any race)   62   33   4   5
Latino women (of any race)   68   26   5   6
All other races   61   32   5   6
Religion
Protestant   37   60   3   27
Catholic   45   52   3   23
Mormon   25   61   14   1
Other Christian   43   55   2   24
Jewish   71   24   5   3
Other religion   58   33   9   7
None   68   26   6   15
Religious service attendance
Weekly or more   40   56   4   33
Monthly   46   49   5   16
A few times a year   48   47   5   29
Never   62   31   7   22
White evangelical or born-again Christian
White evangelical or born-again Christian   16   81   3   26
Everyone else   59   35   6   74
Age
18–24 years old   56   35   9   10
25–29 years old   53   39   8   9
30–39 years old   51   40   9   17
40–49 years old   46   50   4   19
50–64 years old   44   53   3   30
65 and older   45   53   2   15
Sexual orientation
LGBT   78   14   8   5
Heterosexual   47   48   5   95
First time voter
First time voter   56   40   4   10
Everyone else   47   47   6   90
Education
High school or less   45   51   4   18
Some college education   43   52   5   32
College graduate   49   45   6   32
Postgraduate education   58   37   5   18
Education by race/ethnicity
White college graduates   45   49   4   37
White no college degree   28   67   4   34
Non-white college graduates   71   23   5   13
Non-white no college degree   75   20   3   16
Family income
Under $30,000   53   41   6   17
$30,000–49,999   51   42   7   19
$50,000–99,999   46   50   4   31
$100,000–199,999   47   48   5   24
$200,000–249,999   48   49   3   4
Over $250,000   46   48   6   6
Issue regarded as most important
Foreign policy   60   34   6   13
Immigration   32   64   4   13
Economy   52   42   6   52
Terrorism   39   57   4   18
Region
Northeast   55   40   5   19
Midwest   45   49   6   23
South   44   52   4   37
West   55   39   6   21
Community size
Cities (population 50,000 and above)   59   35   6   34
Suburbs   45   50   5   49
Rural areas   34   62   4   17

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_States_presidential_election,_2016#Voter_demographics

Which are voter demographics do you expect to change in 2020 ?
Discuss.
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libertpaulian
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« Reply #1 on: August 27, 2017, 10:18:39 PM »
« Edited: August 28, 2017, 06:14:06 AM by libertpaulian »

The white share of the vote will decline as per usual.  Expect the AA vote to spike if Harris is on the ticket or Latino share to surge if Cortez-Masto or Castro is on the ticket.  I'd also look for the Christian vote to decline somewhat as a percentage of voters.
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