ME-02: Poliquin in denial

[MAINEiac4434]

Golden raises about $272,000 for the quarter.

https://twitter.com/golden4congress/status/985624512506064896

Oof. I guess it makes sense, though; ME-02 is quite poor.

Also who the hell is giving money to a millionaire.

[America Needs a 13-6 Progressive SCOTUS]

Golden is basically a carbon copy of Conor Lamb.

Much easier district to win too. Trump I think was the first Republican to win here since Herb.

Untrue. ME-02 voted Republican quite often before 1992.

Herb = George HW Bush FTR.

I instantly thought it meant HERBert Hoover, and instantly believed the post was incorrect.

[DemocraticKing]

Golden is basically a carbon copy of Conor Lamb.

Much easier district to win too. Trump I think was the first Republican to win here since Herb.

Yup, but it gave LePage his best results in 2010 and 2014.

Isn't that basically assume to happen with every R in every race since the only other district is Solid Blue?

[GoldenMainer]

https://twitter.com/OurRevolution/status/990666792384286722

Our Revolution endorses Jonathan Fulford. This primary just got more interesting.

[Bidenworth2020]

https://twitter.com/OurRevolution/status/990666792384286722

Our Revolution endorses Jonathan Fulford. This primary just got more interesting.

who wins, as of now?

[MAINEiac4434]

Golden is basically a carbon copy of Conor Lamb.

Much easier district to win too. Trump I think was the first Republican to win here since Herb.

Yup, but it gave LePage his best results in 2010 and 2014.

Isn't that basically assume to happen with every R in every race since the only other district is Solid Blue?

It was a little more nuanced not too long ago. Peter Ciancette actually won ME-01 in his 2002 gubernatorial run but got crushed in CD-02. Susan Collins and Olympia Snowe won CD-01 in all their Senate races, but also CD-02 as well of course.

Cianchette, of course, was from South Portland and Baldacci was the hugely popular Congressman from the 2nd district.

[Bidenworth2020]

Golden is basically a carbon copy of Conor Lamb.

Much easier district to win too. Trump I think was the first Republican to win here since Herb.

Yup, but it gave LePage his best results in 2010 and 2014.

Isn't that basically assume to happen with every R in every race since the only other district is Solid Blue?

It was a little more nuanced not too long ago. Peter Ciancette actually won ME-01 in his 2002 gubernatorial run but got crushed in CD-02. Susan Collins and Olympia Snowe won CD-01 in all their Senate races, but also CD-02 as well of course.

Cianchette, of course, was from South Portland and Baldacci was the hugely popular Congressman from the 2nd district.

could baldacci run?

[MAINEiac4434]

https://twitter.com/OurRevolution/status/990666792384286722

Our Revolution endorses Jonathan Fulford. This primary just got more interesting.

Lmao Our Revolution is committed to being completely irrelevant in every race aren’t they?

https://twitter.com/OurRevolution/status/990666792384286722

Our Revolution endorses Jonathan Fulford. This primary just got more interesting.

who wins, as of now?

No idea. Golden has the establishment behind him, but St. Clair has the money. I haven’t been seeing much about Fulford until now.

Golden is basically a carbon copy of Conor Lamb.

Much easier district to win too. Trump I think was the first Republican to win here since Herb.

Yup, but it gave LePage his best results in 2010 and 2014.

Isn't that basically assume to happen with every R in every race since the only other district is Solid Blue?

It was a little more nuanced not too long ago. Peter Ciancette actually won ME-01 in his 2002 gubernatorial run but got crushed in CD-02. Susan Collins and Olympia Snowe won CD-01 in all their Senate races, but also CD-02 as well of course.

Cianchette, of course, was from South Portland and Baldacci was the hugely popular Congressman from the 2nd district.

could baldacci run?

Filing deadline’s past, and he lived in Portland now anyway.

[Adam Griffin]

It was a little more nuanced not too long ago. Peter Ciancette actually won ME-01 in his 2002 gubernatorial run but got crushed in CD-02. Susan Collins and Olympia Snowe won CD-01 in all their Senate races, but also CD-02 as well of course.

Cianchette, of course, was from South Portland and Baldacci was the hugely popular Congressman from the 2nd district.

That's still pretty hilarious:

[Bidenworth2020]

Golden is basically a carbon copy of Conor Lamb.

Much easier district to win too. Trump I think was the first Republican to win here since Herb.

Yup, but it gave LePage his best results in 2010 and 2014.

Isn't that basically assume to happen with every R in every race since the only other district is Solid Blue?

It was a little more nuanced not too long ago. Peter Ciancette actually won ME-01 in his 2002 gubernatorial run but got crushed in CD-02. Susan Collins and Olympia Snowe won CD-01 in all their Senate races, but also CD-02 as well of course.

Cianchette, of course, was from South Portland and Baldacci was the hugely popular Congressman from the 2nd district.

could baldacci run?

Filing deadline’s past, and he lived in Portland now anyway.

too bad, looking at his 2002 margins, he'd make it safe d

[GoldenMainer]

who wins, as of now?

It's hard to pinpoint but if I had to guess, I'd say Golden is still out front by a bit. His profile as a young marine vet who actually has legislative experience is the strongest background compared to his competitors. Financially, he's in the best shape. He has about 1,000 more followers on Facebook than St. Clair & Fulford and his posts get more likes (if that means anything). He's a good speaker and has endorsements from state reps/senators. And even though he's not the Our Revolution choice, his stances are still quite progressive (he supports universal healthcare and importing medicine from Canada/negotiating for lower prices, overturning Citizens United, raising the minimum wage, universal pre-K, etc). Thus with ranked choice voting in place, he might be a second choice for Fulford voters.

I don't think St. Clair & Fulford are too far behind though. Even though I don't care for him, St. Clair's done a good job having a lot of events across the district and his social media game is on point. The Our Revolution endorsement might provide a boost for Fulford but I don't think he's the best speaker (and I was a Bernie voter). Craig Olsen isn't a factor.

[Bidenworth2020]

who wins, as of now?

It's hard to pinpoint but if I had to guess, I'd say Golden is still out front by a bit. His profile as a young marine vet who actually has legislative experience is the strongest background compared to his competitors. Financially, he's in the best shape. He has about 1,000 more followers on Facebook than St. Clair & Fulford and his posts get more likes (if that means anything). He's a good speaker and has endorsements from state reps/senators. And even though he's not the Our Revolution choice, his stances are still quite progressive (he supports universal healthcare and importing medicine from Canada/negotiating for lower prices, overturning Citizens United, raising the minimum wage, universal pre-K, etc). Thus with ranked choice voting in place, he might be a second choice for Fulford voters.

I don't think St. Clair & Fulford are too far behind though. Even though I don't care for him, St. Clair's done a good job having a lot of events across the district and his social media game is on point. The Our Revolution endorsement might provide a boost for Fulford but I don't think he's the best speaker (and I was a Bernie voter). Craig Olsen isn't a factor.

could st clair win the ge, considering he has an amazing ground op?

[MAINEiac4434]

Golden is basically a carbon copy of Conor Lamb.

Much easier district to win too. Trump I think was the first Republican to win here since Herb.

Yup, but it gave LePage his best results in 2010 and 2014.

Isn't that basically assume to happen with every R in every race since the only other district is Solid Blue?

It was a little more nuanced not too long ago. Peter Ciancette actually won ME-01 in his 2002 gubernatorial run but got crushed in CD-02. Susan Collins and Olympia Snowe won CD-01 in all their Senate races, but also CD-02 as well of course.

Cianchette, of course, was from South Portland and Baldacci was the hugely popular Congressman from the 2nd district.

could baldacci run?

Filing deadline’s past, and he lived in Portland now anyway.

too bad, looking at his 2002 margins, he'd make it safe d

Nah, he’s not popular there anymore and left the Blaine House with abysmal approvals. Look at how much the 2nd CD swung against him in his 2006 re-election:

[America Needs a 13-6 Progressive SCOTUS]

[GoldenMainer]

could st clair win the ge, considering he has an amazing ground op?

He could be swept in with a wave but I think he'd have trouble holding the seat. Fair or not, Republicans will paint him as a rich mommy's boy from Portland & Seattle (he grew up in CD2 but moved from Seattle to Portland, and then back into the district to run). Since this is a rather poor district, it'd be stupid of Republicans not to go that route. I also find St. Clair's policy positions to be vague (he's heavy on the environment angle and light on everything else).

[Bidenworth2020]

could st clair win the ge, considering he has an amazing ground op?

He could be swept in with a wave but I think he'd have trouble holding the seat. Fair or not, Republicans will paint him as a rich mommy's boy from Portland & Seattle (he grew up in CD2 but moved from Seattle to Portland, and then back into the district to run). Since this is a rather poor district, it'd be stupid of Republicans not to go that route. I also find St. Clair's policy positions to be vague (he's heavy on the environment angle and light on everything else).

that is true,  but if he can survive a couple cycles, this districts has shown to love incumbents.

[MAINEiac4434]

What GoldenMainer said. St. Clair could win. But Democrats would be much more comfortable with Golden on the ballot.

[MAINEiac4434]

And less than 24 hours later, Fulford is out.

https://twitter.com/PatCallaghan6/status/991064726028324871

Suspicious.

[KingSweden]

And less than 24 hours later, Fulford is out.

https://twitter.com/PatCallaghan6/status/991064726028324871

Suspicious.

Hmm

[MAINEiac4434]

Curiouser and curiouser

https://twitter.com/SteveCollinsSJ/status/991081354317180928
https://twitter.com/AnthonyEmerso14/status/991089281182642177
https://twitter.com/AnthonyEmerso14/status/991089797233020930
https://twitter.com/AnthonyEmerso14/status/991091035899154432

https://twitter.com/AnthonyEmerso14/status/991091838722433024

[MAINEiac4434]

St. Clair has a 52-48 lead over Golden: https://bangordailynews.com/2018/05/06/politics/poll-moody-mills-are-front-runners-in-maines-unsettled-june-primaries/

Terrible news for St. Clair: he has all the money and name Rex and he’s only winning by four points. This makes Golden a strong favorite in the primary IMHO.

[Bidenworth2020]

St. Clair has a 52-48 lead over Golden: https://bangordailynews.com/2018/05/06/politics/poll-moody-mills-are-front-runners-in-maines-unsettled-june-primaries/

Terrible news for St. Clair: he has all the money and name Rex and he’s only winning by four points. This makes Golden a strong favorite in the primary IMHO.

who is to say golden will get his name out there? also, no olson?

[MAINEiac4434]

St. Clair has a 52-48 lead over Golden: https://bangordailynews.com/2018/05/06/politics/poll-moody-mills-are-front-runners-in-maines-unsettled-june-primaries/

Terrible news for St. Clair: he has all the money and name Rex and he’s only winning by four points. This makes Golden a strong favorite in the primary IMHO.

who is to say golden will get his name out there? also, no olson?

Poll was done in the same manner as RCV, so Olson was eliminated in the first round.

As for Golden: The party convention is coming up, where he could snap the endorsement of the Maine Democrats, and Maine is very prone to retail politics and is very engaged in politics. If he hits the bricks, gets out there and makes himself visible, the voters will find him.

[Bidenworth2020]

St. Clair has a 52-48 lead over Golden: https://bangordailynews.com/2018/05/06/politics/poll-moody-mills-are-front-runners-in-maines-unsettled-june-primaries/

Terrible news for St. Clair: he has all the money and name Rex and he’s only winning by four points. This makes Golden a strong favorite in the primary IMHO.

who is to say golden will get his name out there? also, no olson?

Poll was done in the same manner as RCV, so Olson was eliminated in the first round.

As for Golden: The party convention is coming up, where he could snap the endorsement of the Maine Democrats, and Maine is very prone to retail politics and is very engaged in politics. If he hits the bricks, gets out there and makes himself visible, the voters will find him.

well, ehat does a golden v. polloquin map llok like?

[MAINEiac4434]

St. Clair has a 52-48 lead over Golden: https://bangordailynews.com/2018/05/06/politics/poll-moody-mills-are-front-runners-in-maines-unsettled-june-primaries/

Terrible news for St. Clair: he has all the money and name Rex and he’s only winning by four points. This makes Golden a strong favorite in the primary IMHO.

who is to say golden will get his name out there? also, no olson?

Poll was done in the same manner as RCV, so Olson was eliminated in the first round.

As for Golden: The party convention is coming up, where he could snap the endorsement of the Maine Democrats, and Maine is very prone to retail politics and is very engaged in politics. If he hits the bricks, gets out there and makes himself visible, the voters will find him.

well, ehat does a golden v. polloquin map llok like?

He'd have to run-up the score in Lewiston (his hometown) and Bangor, and win back many of the small communities that went Obama-Trump and Baldacci-LePage, like Presque Isle and Ellsworth.