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  Atlas Forum
  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  Election What-ifs? (Moderators: Kutasoff Hedzoff, Apocrypha)
  Four More Years - a 2016 Election Timeline (search mode)
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Poll
Question: Who should Obama choose as his Running Mate?
#1
Tim Kaine
#2
Julian Castro
#3
Tom Vilsack
#4
Amy Klobucher
#5
Kirsten Gillibrand
#6
Al Franken
#7
Jeff Merkley
#8
John Hickenlooper
#9
Martin Heinrich
#10
WHO SHOULD TRUMP CHOOSE?
#11
Newt Gingrich
#12
Ben Carson
#13
Chris Christie
#14
Mary Fallin
#15
Scott Brown
#16
Marsha Blackburn
#17
Mike Flynn
#18
Jeff Sessions
#19
Jim Webb
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Partisan results


Author Topic: Four More Years - a 2016 Election Timeline  (Read 37436 times)
Parrotguy
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« Reply #125 on: March 23, 2018, 11:49:31 am »

November 7th, 2016

Candidates make last pitch to voters in final rallies; final polls show a potential Democratic storm

WASHINGTON, D.C. - As Americans prepare to head to the polls tomorrow and decide upon the identity of their next President, the candidates and their surrogates held final rallies and events, putting an end to a spirited campaign season. For their last events, all three candidates chose different strategies, similar to how they campaigned.

The Democratic nominee, President Barack Obama, held his last rally in Miami, Florida, underlining his commitment to winning diverse states and boosting minority turnout, but also winning important swingstates. He held the rally with First Lady Michelle Obama and daughters Malia and Sasha, Vice President Joe Biden and Second Lady Jill Biden, his running mate, Senator Tammy Baldwin, and other supporters like former Secretary Hillary Clinton, Senator Bernie Sanders, Senate candidate Gwen Graham, former Governor Howard Dean and former Vice President Al Gore. It was a huge rally of more than 10,000 attendees, all coming to see the many high-profile people giving speeches in support of the President.

Meanwhile, Republican Donald Trump held his last rally in Grand Rapids, Michigan, a state we have recently moved to the "safe Democratic" column. It underscored his wish to stage an upset in midwestern states, with the aid of disaffected white working class voters. He was joined in the rally by wife Melania Trump, daughter Ivanka Trump, running mate Chris Christie, former New York Mayor Rudy Giuliani and Alabama Senator Jeff Sessions. The rally was also considered a success, garnering a large, enthusiastic crowd.

Lastly, independent Jon Huntsman came back home and held his last event in Salt Lake City, Utah. He called for a "rebellion agains the two-party system" on election day and asked Utah voters to make history and support him against "two bad choices". The rally was also attended by a large crowd of thousands, showing the lasting strength of the Huntsman campaign, and joining the candidate were running mate James Stavridis, former Secretary Colin Powell, Utah Governor Gary Herbert, former Republican nominee Mitt Romney, Nevada Governor Brian Sandoval and former Massachusetts Governor Bill Weld, who was rumoured to join Gary Johnson on the flailing Libertarian ticket before declining due to rumours of Huntsman launching his campaign.


The Obamas and Bidens waving to the crowd in their final campaign rally


Donald Trump lighting the crowds in his last campaign rally


Jon Huntsman greets an enthusiastic crowd in his final Salt Lake City event

Meanwhile, finals polls have come in, showing encouraging numbers for Democrats, who enjoy high levels of energy and vote splitting amongst Republicans. With many swing states expected to go Democratic by strong margins, they're aiming to strongly expand the electoral map, noteably with states like North Carolina, Arizona, Georgia and even Texas. Meanwhile, Trump is struggling to hold many strongly-Republican states where Huntsman is performing well, such as Utah, Alaska, Idaho, Montana, Wyoming, Nebraska and perhaps even Kansas and the Dakotas. Trump, meanwhile, is hoping for an upset, with campaign manager Kellyanne Conway claiming that the Republican nominee will be carried by a wave of "forgotten people who never voted from states where Obama's policies destroyed factories and industries." It remains to be seen whether that materializes.



Barack Obama vs Donald Trump vs Jon Huntsman vs Gary Johnson vs Jill Stein (General)
Barack Obama- 47%  (+1)
Donald Trump- 31%  (+1)
Jon Huntsman- 19%  (-1)
Gary Johnson- 1%  (+-0)
Jill Stein- 0%  (+-0)
Other/Undecided- 2%  (-1)
OBAMA +16
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Parrotguy
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« Reply #126 on: March 23, 2018, 12:11:37 pm »

November 8th, 2016

ELECTION DAY IS HERE: American voters, candidates head to the polls



WASHINGTON, D.C. - The day is finally here. After a wild campaign season, American voters are heading to the polls. People from across America and the world watch breathlessly, anticipating the results of an amazing process in which hundreds of millions of people will choose the leader of the free world, as well as a large swathe of other democratic office-holders. The 2016 election is expected to have high turnout, and whatever the result, it'll be historic.

Barack Obama, the first African-American President, is running for a historic third term. After a hard campaign against primary challengers like Bernie Sanders and Hillary Clinton, and a tough general election campaign, he now hopes to become the first President since Franklin Delano Roosevelt to win a third term in office. Two men are hoping to deny it from him- Republican Donald Trump, if elected, will be the first man to jump straight from being a businessman to the Highest Office in the Land. Not only that, but if he wins, it'd be a huge polling upset unlike any we have ever seen. And lastly, Jon Huntsman, a moderate Republican promising bipartisanship and real accomplishment if elected, is running what appears to be the most successful third party bid since Ross Perot in 1992, and, potentially, George Wallace in 1968 or even Theodore Roosevelt in 1932. If somehow shockingly elected, perhaps if he sent the election to the House of Representatives and won the vote there, Huntsman's victory would be truly historical in the biggest sense of the word.

Which of these outcomes will be the one we see tonight? Well, that is up to the citizens of the United States of America.


President Obama casting his early vote in Chicago, back in October


Donald and Melania Trump casting their election day votes in New York City


Jon Huntsman arriving at his polling station in Salt Lake City, Utah


Americans casting their votes in Miami, Florida
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Parrotguy
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« Reply #127 on: March 24, 2018, 04:09:08 am »
« Edited: March 24, 2018, 06:12:16 am by Parrotguy »

ELECTION NIGHT, Part I


Wolf Blitzer: Hello, and welcome to CNN's coverage of Election Night 2016. Tonight, after a long, exciting, and some would say exhausting election season, we're finally going to discover who the American people will elect as their next President- will incumbent President Barack Obama, the Democratic Party's nominee, be reelected to a historic third term? Will Republican nominee, businessman Donald Trump, stage an astounding upset and become the 45th President of the United States? Or will indepednent Jon Huntsman achieve an amazing result no one expects and manage to become the first President elected on an independent ticket since George Washington? We shall see all that and more, including control of the U.S. Senate, the House and several Governorships, tonight!

Anderson Cooper: Yes, and right now, as the 6 P.M. hour arrives, we already have poll closings in large parts of two states- Indiana and Kentucky. In both states, we cannot call the race- we classify Indiana as too close to call right now, while Kentucky is too early to call. In both we can see an early lead for Mr. Trump, though it's a narrow lead in the former, and an exceedingly wide one in the latter.

Indiana Presidential Election (1% Reporting)- TOO CLOSE TO CALL
Donald Trump (R)- 40.3%
Barack Obama (D)*- 38.6%
Jon Huntsman (I)- 20.2%

Kentucky Presidential Election (1% Reporting)- TOO EARLY TO CALL
Donald Trump (R)- 52.7%
Barack Obama (D)*- 31.9%
Jon Huntsman (I)- 14.5%

John King: And let's also take a look at our electoral map, that we will get back to many times tonight. As you can see, both states are right now coloured green- that will be the colour we use for states we cannot yet project. Red will be used for states we call for the Democratic nominee, blue for the Republican nominee, and orange for the independent Huntsman\Stavridis ticket.

United States 2016 Presidential Election Map


Dana Bash: And we also have some early results from the downballot races. There are several very interesting races going on in these two states- in Kentucky, Republican Senator Rand Paul is running for reelection against Democratic Mayor of Lexington Jim Gray, while in Indiana, we have both a Senate race and a race for the Governor's mansion. For the Senate, Republican Congressman Todd Young is running against Democratic former Senator and Governor Evan Bayh, a star recruit, while Republican Governor Mike Pence is in a hard reelection bid against the Democrat, young South Bend Mayor Pete Buttigieg, who recently rose to national prominence as, potentially, the first openly gay Governor of Indiana, battling a Governor with an alleged history of homophobic comments. All three races are right now too close to call.

Indiana Senate Race (3% Reporting)- TOO CLOSE TO CALL
U.S. Rep. Todd Young (R)- 49.6%
Fmr. Senator Evan Bayh (D)- 49.1%

Indiana Gubernatorial Race (3% Reporting)- TOO CLOSE TO CALL
Governor Mike Pence (R)*- 50.3%
Mayor Pete Buttigieg (D)- 49.2%

Kentucky Senate Race (2% Reporting)- TOO CLOSE TO CALL
Senator Rand Paul (R)*- 54.1%
Mayor Jim Gray (D)- 45.5%
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« Reply #128 on: March 24, 2018, 06:18:45 am »

ELECTION NIGHT, Part II


Blitzer: Stand by, we can now make our very first call of the night. The state of Kentucky will go for Republican nominee Donald Trump. An especially early call, considering Huntsman's presence, no?

Jake Tapper: Yes, definitely. With such a strong third party, we're expecting much of the map to be green tonight for a long time, but it seems like Donald Trump is very strong in Kentucky. We can already say that he will, almost certainly, win way over 55% here, maybe even close to 60%. So is it a sign of a Trump upset? We can't really tell. He seems very strong with the white, working-class Applachian electorage, but it's not really happening in another similar state, Indiana- here, Trump is still neck-in-neck with President Obama, with Huntsman probably taking a large amount of moderate Republican voters.

Indiana Presidential Election (12% Reporting)- TOO CLOSE TO CALL
Donald Trump (R)- 39.5%
Barack Obama (D)*- 38.9%
Jon Huntsman (I)- 21.0%

Kentucky Presidential Election (13% Reporting)- REPUBLICAN WIN
Donald Trump (R)- 57.8% ✓
Barack Obama (D)*- 29.4%
Jon Huntsman (I)- 12.3%

Cooper: Hold on, we've arrived at another crucial hour tonight. It's 7 P.M., which means that we have poll closings in several states, as well as the rest of Indiana and Kentucky. We can call our first state for President Obama- the Democratic nominee has won the state of Vermont. Everything else, we cannot yet project. Florida, Georgia, New Hampshire and South Carolina are all too close to call right now. Virginia, we're classifying as too early to call. Indiana is still too close, as well.

Blitzer: Stand by, we can now make our very first call of the night. The state of Kentucky will go for Republican nominee Donald Trump. An especially early call, considering Huntsman's presence, no?

Jake Tapper: Yes, definitely. With such a strong third party, we're expecting much of the map to be green tonight for a long time, but it seems like Donald Trump is very strong in Kentucky. We can already say that he will, almost certainly, win way over 55% here, maybe even close to 60%. So is it a sign of a Trump upset? We can't really tell. He seems very strong with the white, working-class Applachian electorage, but it's not really happening in another similar state, Indiana- here, Trump is still neck-in-neck with President Obama, with Huntsman probably taking a large amount of moderate Republican voters.

United States 2016 Presidential Election Map


Florida Presidential Election (1% Reporting)- TOO CLOSE TO CALL
Barack Obama (D)*- 41.5%
Donald Trump (R)- 33.1%
Jon Huntsman (I)- 24.6%

Georgia Presidential Election (1% Reporting)- TOO CLOSE TO CALL
Donald Trump (R)- 35.8%
Barack Obama (D)*- 34.7%
Jon Huntsman (I)- 28.4%

Indiana Presidential Election (17% Reporting)- TOO CLOSE TO CALL
Barack Obama (D)*- 40.3%
Donald Trump (R)- 37.2%
Jon Huntsman (I)- 21.9%

Kentucky Presidential Election (18% Reporting)- REPUBLICAN WIN
Donald Trump (R)- 60.4% ✓
Barack Obama (D)*- 27.8%
Jon Huntsman (I)- 10.9%

New Hampshire Presidential Election (1% Reporting)- TOO CLOSE TO CALL
Barack Obama (D)*- 38.5%
Jon Huntsman (I)- 31.1%
Donald Trump (R)- 29.9%

South Carolina Presidential Election (1% Reporting)- TOO CLOSE TO CALL
Barack Obama (D)*- 40.8%
Donald Trump (R)- 29.6%
Jon Huntsman (I)- 28.7%

Vermont Presidential Election (1% Reporting)- DEMOCRATIC WIN
Barack Obama (D)*- 63.3% ✓
Jon Huntsman (I)- 22.4%
Donald Trump (R)- 13.7%

Virginia Presidential Election (1% Reporting)- TOO CLOSE TO CALL
Barack Obama (D)*- 37.1%
Donald Trump (R)- 36.7%
Jon Huntsman (I)- 25.5%

Tapper: So, what do these results mean? Is Huntsman overperforming, could we see an Obama landslide tonight, or is it Trump who's headed for an upset? Dana?

Bash: It's very hard to say so early on. What we've seen in many of these states was expected- mostly Democratic areas are reporting in Florida and South Carolina right now, same for New Hampshire. Still, you're seeing Huntsman actually second there- it's clear he'll be formidable. In Indiana, we've seen some Democratic cities beginning to report, which is why we're seeing an Obama bump. But there's one state which is telling. Virginia. You know, Virginia has an early reporting bias in favour of Republicans, so Barack Obama's narrow lead there right now could very well indicate a very bad night for Republicans.

King: Right. And in the downballot department, we can call only a few races- Democratic incumbent Patrick Leahy will win reelection in Vermont over Republican challenger Scott Milne, while Republican incumbent Tim Scott will win reelection in South Carolina. In Florida, the Senate race between Democrat Gwen Graham and incumbent Republican Marco Rubio is too close to call, same for New Hampshire, where both the open Gubernatorial race between Democrat Colin Van Ostern and Republican Chris Sununu and the Senate race between Republican Senator Kelly Ayotte and Democratic Governor Maggie Hassan are too close. Finally, in Georgia, the Senate race between incumbent Republican Johnny Isakson and the Democrat, Jason Carter, grandson of the former President, it's too close to call. The three races in Kentucky and Indiana are all still too close to call.

Florida Senate Race (2% Reporting)- TOO CLOSE TO CALL
U.S. Rep. Gwen Graham (D)- 51.2%
Senator Marco Rubio (R)*- 48.4%

Georgia Senate Race (2% Reporting)- TOO CLOSE TO CALL
Senator Johnny Isakson (R)*- 51.7%
Fmr. State Sen. Jason Carter (D)- 47.9%

Indiana Senate Race (19% Reporting)- TOO CLOSE TO CALL
Fmr. Senator Evan Bayh (D)- 51.4%
U.S. Rep. Todd Young (R)- 47.9%

Indiana Gubernatorial Race (19% Reporting)- TOO CLOSE TO CALL
Mayor Pete Buttigieg (D)- 50.6%
Governor Mike Pence (R)*- 49.0%

Kentucky Senate Race (20% Reporting)- TOO CLOSE TO CALL
Senator Rand Paul (R)*- 55.3%
Mayor Jim Gray (D)- 44.2%

New Hampshire Senate Race (2% Reporting)- TOO CLOSE TO CALL
Governor Maggie Hassan (D)- 50.4%
Senator Kelly Ayotte (R)*- 48.9%

New Hampshire Gubernatorial Race (2% Reporting)- TOO CLOSE TO CALL
Exec. Councilor Colin Van Ostern (D)- 49.8%
Exec. Councilor Chris Sununu (R)- 49.6%

South Carolina Senate Race (2% Reporting)- REPUBLICAN WIN
Tim Scott (R)*- 57.5% ✓
Thomas Dixon (D)- 41.3%

Vermont Senate Race (3% Reporting)- DEMOCRATIC WIN
Patrick Leahy (D)*- 67.4% ✓
Scott Milne (R)- 31.7%


Note: Just like in my second timeline, when you see a state being projected, it usually appears for the last time in the results (except if you ask me for concrete results in states), so consider the projected results, even if it's just 1%, very close to the final result, for the sake of simplicity. So, say, Trump will indeed win slightly above 60% in Kentucky, same for Obama in Vermont, in which Huntsman will indeed come second by a substantial margin over Trump.
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Parrotguy
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« Reply #129 on: March 24, 2018, 10:18:45 am »

I’m not super familiar with this timeline, so forgive me if this has been explained, but what causes Obama’s to be a weaker nominee than Hillary in real life, and Huntsman to conversely be so strong?

Obama is definitely not a weaker nominee than Clinton- the gap is much larger between him and Trump than between Clinton and Trump before election day, though, of course, polling is fickle and the election was still not decided Tongue
As for Huntsman's strength- various factors piling atop each other. First, he's a much higher-profile candidate than McMullin and announced earlier. Second, Obama's strength over Hillary is exactly what contributed to this strong third party- he has much, much less baggage and conservatives aren't really terrified of him winning considering he's the status quo. These factors helped many of them go over to Huntsman, especially when the Access Hollywood tape was released (also remember that Hillary had the Bill problem, which Obama didn't have, making the tape more damaging for Trump). This in turn lead Huntsman to edge over 15% in the polls before the third debate, and the huge exposure helped solidify his support considerably. He basically holds a coalition of independents, centrists, moderate libertarians, moderate and blue-dog Democrats, moderate Republicans, "principled #NeverTrump" conservatives, neocons and even some hardline, Cruz-like conservatives who hate Trump. He's also winning the Mormon vote by a huge margin nation-wide.
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Parrotguy
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« Reply #130 on: March 24, 2018, 02:12:27 pm »

By “weaker”, I mean the fact that he’s at 30-something percent in Virginia—Huntsman is apparently able to draw votes from the Democrats.

Oh, he is able to draw some, but remember the Virginia results are right now coming from Republican areas, so it's not the final result.
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Parrotguy
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« Reply #131 on: March 28, 2018, 04:53:28 am »

ELECTION NIGHT, Part III


Cooper: Hello, and welcome back to CNN's coverage of the 2016 election night. Right now, we're at the 7:30 P.M. hour, which means that we have poll closings in a few more states. The polls have closed in North Carolina, Ohio and West Virginia, but right now, North Carolina and Ohio are both too close to call while West Virginia... too early to call? Right, Wolf?

Blitzer: Well, yes, right now we're classifying West Virginia as too early out of caution. But let me tell you, we're very tempted to call this state right now for Republican Donald Trump. Exit polling and early returns are showing very, very strong numbers for him there. Could this be indicative of a larger trend? Let's go to Jim Acosta, reporting from the Trump campaign HQ. He's with Trump campaign manager Kellyanne Conway right now. Jim?

Acosta: Well, emotions here are certainly running high. There's definitely enthusiasm, but also some tension. People here aren't very optimistic. They cheered when Kentucky was called, but they're looking at the numbers in swing states, in states like Indiana and South Carolina, and they're afraid that this might not be the upset they're hoping for. Kellyanne, are you feeling confident tonight?

Conway: Well, yes, certainly, Jim. People accross the country are enthusiastic for our movement, you can feel the energy everywhere Donald Trump goes. You don't feel the same energy for Jon Huntsman or for President Obama. This is why we're going to...

Cooper: Hold on, Kellyanne, we have a projection that will probably make you pretty happy- we're calling West Virginia for Donald Trump right now. The Republican nominee has won his second state of the night. Currently it's 13 delegates for Trump, 3 for Obama.

Conway: This is great news, and I know we're going to hear many such calls tonight. We're going to win, and we're going to make America great again!

Cooper: Thank you, Kellyanne. As you can see, the Trump campaign remains confident in the possibility of victory tonight. Now, let's take a look at the numbers. We're seeing some early returns in Ohio and North Carolina from Democratic areas, but these numbers are certainly looking strong for Obama. High African American turnout in North Carolina might just make this state, where moderate Republicans seem to be opposing their Governor and Presidential candidate, a solidly Democratic state tonight. Meanwhile, the contests in traditionally Republican states like Georgia and Indiana are looking very close. Not a good look for Trump, despite his crushing wins in West Virginia and Kentucky. And... I've just received news that we've moved Virginia to the "too early" territory rather than "too close"? It's certainly looking strong for Obama there tonight, especially since we've not yet had much results from NoVA, Richmond and other Democratic areas.

United States 2016 Presidential Election Map


Florida Presidential Election (12% Reporting)- TOO CLOSE TO CALL
Barack Obama (D)*- 40.1%
Donald Trump (R)- 36.8%
Jon Huntsman (I)- 22.2%

Georgia Presidential Election (10% Reporting)- TOO CLOSE TO CALL
Barack Obama (D)*- 36.9%
Donald Trump (R)- 36.8%
Jon Huntsman (I)- 25.7%

Indiana Presidential Election (29% Reporting)- TOO CLOSE TO CALL
Barack Obama (D)*- 40.2%
Donald Trump (R)- 39.8%
Jon Huntsman (I)- 19.3%

New Hampshire Presidential Election (7% Reporting)- TOO CLOSE TO CALL
Barack Obama (D)*- 41.1%
Donald Trump (R)- 30.5%
Jon Huntsman (I)- 27.9%

North Carolina Presidential Election (4% Reporting)- TOO CLOSE TO CALL
Barack Obama (D)*- 45.4%
Donald Trump (R)- 28.2%
Jon Huntsman (I)- 25.7%

Ohio Presidential Election (3% Reporting)- TOO CLOSE TO CALL
Barack Obama (D)*- 50.6%
Donald Trump (R)- 25.7%
Jon Huntsman (I)- 23.1%

South Carolina Presidential Election (11% Reporting)- TOO CLOSE TO CALL
Donald Trump (R)- 35.1%
Barack Obama (D)*- 34.3%
Jon Huntsman (I)- 30.0%

Virginia Presidential Election (13% Reporting)- TOO EARLY TO CALL
Barack Obama (D)*- 42.3%
Donald Trump (R)- 31.9%
Jon Huntsman (I)- 25.1%

West Virginia Presidential Election (4% Reporting)- REPUBLICAN WIN
Donald Trump (R)- 63.5% ✓
Barack Obama (D)*- 28.7%
Jon Huntsman (I)- 7.2%
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« Reply #132 on: March 29, 2018, 06:38:48 am »
« Edited: March 29, 2018, 07:31:58 am by Parrotguy »

ELECTION NIGHT, Part IV


Blitzer: ...Hold on, we've reached a very crucial hour tonight. Perhaps the most crucial one. As the 8 P.M. hour arrives, we have polls closings in a very large number of states, and with them, a bunch of projections to make.

Tapper: Indeed. And right now, CNN can call the states of Massachusetts, Rhode Island, Connecticut, New Jersey, Delaware, Maryland, the District of Columbia, Maine's first congressial district and Illinois for the Democrat, President Obama. We're also calling the states of Alabama and Oklahome for Republican nominee Donald Trump. Maine and its second congressial district, Pennsylvania, Michigan, Missouri, Kansas, Missisippi, Texas, North Dakota and South Dakota are all too close to call right now. Tennessee is too early to call.

Blitzer: Indeed. And this means that, it means that President Obama is currently leading in the electoral vote count, with 76 electoral votes against 29 for Donald Trump and 0 for Jon Huntsman. Let's take a look at the numbers.

United States 2016 Presidential Election Map


Alabama Presidential Election (2% Reporting)- REPUBLICAN WIN
Donald Trump (R)- 55.2% ✓
Barack Obama (D)*- 36.1%
Jon Huntsman (I)- 7.9%

Connecticut Presidential Election (3% Reporting)- DEMOCRATIC WIN
Barack Obama (D)*- 55.7% ✓
Donald Trump (R)- 22.8%
Jon Huntsman (I)- 20.6%

Delaware Presidential Election (3% Reporting)- DEMOCRATIC WIN
Barack Obama (D)*- 58.3% ✓
Donald Trump (R)- 22.1%
Jon Huntsman (I)- 18.9%

District of Columbia Presidential Election (2% Reporting)- DEMOCRATIC WIN
Barack Obama (D)*- 90.4% ✓
Jon Huntsman (I)- 5.2%
Donald Trump (R)- 3.5%

Florida Presidential Election (21% Reporting)- TOO CLOSE TO CALL
Barack Obama (D)*- 40.5%
Donald Trump (R)- 38.9%
Jon Huntsman (I)- 19.7%

Georgia Presidential Election (20% Reporting)- TOO CLOSE TO CALL
Barack Obama (D)*- 38.3%
Donald Trump (R)- 37.6%
Jon Huntsman (I)- 23.5%

Illinois Presidential Election (2% Reporting)- DEMOCRATIC WIN
Barack Obama (D)*- 62.1% ✓
Donald Trump (R)- 23.7%
Jon Huntsman (I)- 13.4%

Indiana Presidential Election (37% Reporting)- TOO CLOSE TO CALL
Donald Trump (R)- 39.9%
Barack Obama (D)*- 39.9%
Jon Huntsman (I)- 19.2%

Kansas Presidential Election (3% Reporting)- TOO CLOSE TO CALL
Donald Trump (R)- 35.2%
Barack Obama (D)*- 32.6%
Jon Huntsman (I)- 29.4%

Maine Presidential Election (3% Reporting)- TOO CLOSE TO CALL
Barack Obama (D)*- 40.5%
Donald Trump (R)- 33.7%
Jon Huntsman (I)- 24.6%

Maryland Presidential Election (3% Reporting)- DEMOCRATIC WIN
Barack Obama (D)*- 56.1% ✓
Donald Trump (R)- 21.9%
Jon Huntsman (I)- 21.5%

Massachusetts Presidential Election (2% Reporting)- DEMOCRATIC WIN
Barack Obama (D)*- 59.3% ✓
Jon Huntsman (I)- 23.0%
Donald Trump (R)- 16.9%

Michigan Presidential Election (2% Reporting)- TOO CLOSE TO CALL
Barack Obama (D)*- 41.5%
Donald Trump (R)- 39.2%
Jon Huntsman (I)- 18.4%

Missisippi Presidential Election (3% Reporting)- TOO CLOSE TO CALL
Donald Trump (R)- 43.7%
Barack Obama (D)*- 42.3%
Jon Huntsman (I)- 13.1%

Missouri Presidential Election (2% Reporting)- TOO CLOSE TO CALL
Donald Trump (R)- 40.5%
Barack Obama (D)*- 39.7%
Jon Huntsman (I)- 19.0%

New Hampshire Presidential Election (23% Reporting)- TOO EARLY TO CALL
Barack Obama (D)*- 42.2%
Donald Trump (R)- 31.8%
Jon Huntsman (I)- 25.4%

New Jersey Presidential Election (2% Reporting)- DEMOCRATIC WIN
Barack Obama (D)*- 54.7% ✓
Donald Trump (R)- 30.6%
Jon Huntsman (I)- 13.8%

North Carolina Presidential Election (14% Reporting)- TOO CLOSE TO CALL
Barack Obama (D)*- 41.2%
Donald Trump (R)- 37.5%
Jon Huntsman (I)- 20.5%

North Dakota Presidential Election (1% Reporting)- TOO CLOSE TO CALL
Donald Trump (R)- 38.5%
Jon Huntsman (I)- 36.9%
Barack Obama (D)*- 23.3%

Ohio Presidential Election (12% Reporting)- TOO CLOSE TO CALL
Barack Obama (D)*- 42.8%
Donald Trump (R)- 38.4%
Jon Huntsman (I)- 17.7%

Oklahoma Presidential Election (3% Reporting)- REPUBLICAN WIN
Donald Trump (R)- 53.7% ✓
Barack Obama (D)*- 25.5%
Jon Huntsman (I)- 19.7%

Pennsylvania Presidential Election (2% Reporting)- TOO CLOSE TO CALL
Barack Obama (D)*- 42.4%
Donald Trump (R)- 39.8%
Jon Huntsman (I)- 16.6%

Rhode Island Presidential Election (3% Reporting)- DEMOCRATIC WIN
Barack Obama (D)*- 53.9% ✓
Donald Trump (R)- 24.8%
Jon Huntsman (I)- 20.5%

South Carolina Presidential Election (23% Reporting)- TOO CLOSE TO CALL
Donald Trump (R)- 38.6%
Barack Obama (D)*- 37.0%
Jon Huntsman (I)- 23.4%

South Dakota Presidential Election (1% Reporting)- TOO CLOSE TO CALL
Donald Trump (R)- 36.2%
Jon Huntsman (I)- 37.1%
Barack Obama (D)*- 24.5%

Tennnessee Presidential Election (2% Reporting)- TOO EARLY TO CALL
Donald Trump (R)- 45.2%
Barack Obama (D)*- 32.5%
Jon Huntsman (I)- 21.1%

Texas Presidential Election (2% Reporting)- TOO CLOSE TO CALL
Donald Trump (R)- 43.0%
Barack Obama (D)*- 42.2%
Jon Huntsman (I)- 13.9%

Virginia Presidential Election (24% Reporting)- TOO EARLY TO CALL
Barack Obama (D)*- 47.6%
Donald Trump (R)- 30.5%
Jon Huntsman (I)- 21.2%

King: Certainly, many interesting results right now. First of all, we're seeing something that is probably worrying for the Trump campaign- Obama is managing to hold most, close to all, of his base, getting strong numbers and easy victories in Democratic states as Trump struggles to hold Republican ones. In these states, we're seeing Trump and Huntsman splitting the Republican voters, while Obama easily wins the rest, even many independents. But we've noticed that Trump is doing particularly well in these states right here... Pennsylvania, Michigan, Ohio, he's not losing them like he is in Virginia and New Hampshire right now. He's holding strong, limitting Huntsman's numbers, and it looks like he has a strong turnout from his base there. We could see an interesting map tonight, but still, despite the initially high spirits in the Trump camp, this is increasingly looking like a good night for Democrats.

Bash: Indeed, and to see this, we should also check out the downballot races. Remember, we have a battle for control of the U.S. congress today, and so far it's looking good for Democrats. They've already gained seven House seats, and right now we can already call a few Senate races. We can project that several Republican incumbents will win reelection tonight- Richard Shelby in Alabama, Jerry Moran in Kansas, John Hoeven in North Dakota and James Lankford in Oklahoma. We can also project a Democratic incumbent won reelection- Richard Blumenthal in Connecticut. Meanwhile, Democrats also retained the Maryland open seat vacated by Senator Barabara Mikulski, as Rep. Chris Van Hollen won the election. And, we can already project one pickup for Democrats- in Illinois, Republican incumbent Mark Kirk will be defeated by Democratic Representative Tammy Duckworth. We cannot, at the moment, project the Senate race in Missouri, between incumbent Republican Roy Blunt and Democratic challenger Jason Kander, the Senate race in Pennsylvania between Senator Pat Toomey and Democrat Joe Sestak, who's challenging him to a 2010 rematch, or the Senate race in South Dakota between Republican Senator John Thune and former Democratic Senate Leader Tom Daschle, who's challenging him for a 2004 rematch. And lastly, we can call another Senate race from earlier- a big relief for Republicans, as Senator Rand Paul of Kentucky wins reelection tonight.

Tapper: And on the Gubernatorial side, where we have several races tonight, Democrat John Carney will easily win the Delaware governorship, replacing fellow Democrat Jack Markell who's term-limited this year. Republican Doug Burgum won the North Dakota Gubernatorial race, succeeding terml-limited Republican Jack Dalrymple. We cannot project the Missouri race between Republican Peter Kinder and Democrat Chris Koster.

Cooper: So, an interesting night, downballot as well as on the top of the ticket. Let's look at the numbers for some of these interesting races.

Florida Senate Race (23% Reporting)- TOO CLOSE TO CALL
U.S. Rep. Gwen Graham (D)- 50.1%
Senator Marco Rubio (R)*- 49.3%

Georgia Senate Race (22% Reporting)- TOO CLOSE TO CALL
Senator Johnny Isakson (R)*- 49.8%
Fmr. State Sen. Jason Carter (D)- 49.6%

Illinois Senate Race (4% Reporting)- DEMOCRATIC GAIN
U.S. Rep. Tammy Duckworth (D)- 58.5% ✓
Senator Mark Kirk (R)*- 36.8%

Indiana Senate Race (39% Reporting)- TOO CLOSE TO CALL
Fmr. Senator Evan Bayh (D)- 50.9%
U.S. Rep. Todd Young (R)- 44.5%

Indiana Gubernatorial Race (39% Reporting)- TOO CLOSE TO CALL
Mayor Pete Buttigieg (D)- 49.7%
Governor Mike Pence (R)*- 49.4%

Kentucky Senate Race (41% Reporting)- REPUBLICAN HOLD
Senator Rand Paul (R)*- 53.7% ✓
Mayor Jim Gray (D)- 45.5%

Missouri Senate Race (4% Reporting)- TOO CLOSE TO CALL
Secretary of State Jason Kander (D)- 51.5%
Senator Roy Blunt (R)*- 47.3%

Missouri Gubernatorial Race (4% Reporting)- TOO CLOSE TO CALL
Attorney General Chris Koster (D)- 50.3%
Lieutenant Governor Peter Kinder (R)- 48.9%

New Hampshire Senate Race (26% Reporting)- TOO CLOSE TO CALL
Governor Maggie Hassan (D)- 51.1%
Senator Kelly Ayotte (R)*- 46.8%

New Hampshire Gubernatorial Race (26% Reporting)- TOO CLOSE TO CALL
Exec. Councilor Colin Van Ostern (D)- 50.1%
Exec. Councilor Chris Sununu (R)- 49.4%

North Carolina Senate Race (16% Reporting)- TOO CLOSE TO CALL
Fmr. Senator Kay Hagan (D)- 50.7%
Senator Richard Burr (R)*- 48.4%

North Carolina Gubernatorial Race (16% Reporting)- TOO CLOSE TO CALL
Attorney General Roy Cooper (D)- 52.5%
Governor Pat McRory (R)*- 45.9%

Ohio Senate Race (14% Reporting)- TOO CLOSE TO CALL
Senator Rob Portman (R)*- 49.5%
Fmr. U.S. Rep. Betty Sutton (D)- 49.3%

Pennsylvania Senate Race (4% Reporting)- TOO CLOSE TO CALL
Fmr. U.S. Joe Sestak (D)- 50.7%
Senator Pat Toomey (R)*- 48.9%

South Dakota Senate Race (3% Reporting)- TOO CLOSE TO CALL
Senator John Thune (R)*- 56.5%
Fmr. Senator Tom Daschle (D)- 41.8%


Note: I won't include numbers for safe races because there's little to no change from IRL, considering it's mostly the same candidates.
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« Reply #133 on: March 29, 2018, 07:33:12 am »

I didn't know Pete and Pence were residents of Missouri. Tongue


Indyana and Misery are literally the same thu lolz Fixed, and also added the current downballot Missouri results while I'm at it Smiley
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« Reply #134 on: March 30, 2018, 07:00:37 am »
« Edited: March 30, 2018, 09:53:27 am by Parrotguy »

ELECTION NIGHT, Part V


Tapper: Welcome back, folks, and just in time. Election night seems to be picking up the pace right now, as we can now call two more states previously uncalled- Tennessee will vote for Republican nominee Donald Trump tonight, and the Democrats have carried a key swing state- Virginia will vote for President Barack Obama by a large margin. This is definitely a sign for a good night for the President, no?

Bash: Definitely. He's already carrying Virginia by strong margins, and the vote still outstanding is largely from Democratic areas. It's a huge blow for Republican chances, though they didn't think they could win this state, they at least hoped they could keep it close, and...

Blitzer: Hold your thoughts for a moment, we've reached another landmark hour tonight. It's 8:30 P.M., which means that we have poll closings in another state- Arkansas, which we're calling for Republican Donald Trump immediately. And I've just received word that we can call another state for the Republicans- North Dakota, location of the controversial keystone pipeline which the President ordered stalled. Jon Huntsman's candidacy gave Republicans a scare here, but it looks like the state is going to vote for them by a comfortable margin. But Democrats shouldn't feel too disappointed, because there's another state we're calling for them tonight- New Hampshire, yet another swing state, will go to the President.

Tapper: Wow, that's definitely early for New Hampshire. It's yet another good sign for Democrats, and I think we can attribut much of it to Huntsman's candidacy, popular with moderate and liberal Republicans and with independents residing in the Granite State, which isn't enought to win but is enough to make this a safely Democratic state. And one more state we can call right now- Maine will vote for the Democratic nominee again, another state where Huntsman is taking away many moderate Republicans. The state's 2nd congressial district is still up in the air, with Trump showing surprising strength there. Right now, our count is 95 electoral votes for Obama, 49 for Trump, 0 for Huntsman. Let's take a look at the numbers.

United States 2016 Presidential Election Map


Arkansas Presidential Election (2% Reporting)- REPUBLICAN WIN
Donald Trump (R)- 57.4% ✓
Barack Obama (D)*- 28.7%
Jon Huntsman (I)- 12.8%

Florida Presidential Election (33% Reporting)- TOO CLOSE TO CALL
Barack Obama (D)*- 41.3%
Donald Trump (R)- 40.1%
Jon Huntsman (I)- 17.7%

Georgia Presidential Election (32% Reporting)- TOO CLOSE TO CALL
Barack Obama (D)*- 40.5%
Donald Trump (R)- 38.2%
Jon Huntsman (I)- 20.6%

Indiana Presidential Election (48% Reporting)- TOO CLOSE TO CALL
Barack Obama (D)*- 41.1%
Donald Trump (R)- 40.7%
Jon Huntsman (I)- 16.9%

Kansas Presidential Election (14% Reporting)- TOO CLOSE TO CALL
Donald Trump (R)- 34.7%
Barack Obama (D)*- 33.9%
Jon Huntsman (I)- 30.1%

Maine Presidential Election (15% Reporting)- DEMOCRATIC WIN
Barack Obama (D)*- 43.9% ✓
Donald Trump (R)- 30.5%
Jon Huntsman (I)- 24.3%

Maine 2nd Congressial District Presidential Election (14% Reporting)- TOO CLOSE TO CALL
Barack Obama (D)*- 40.6%
Donald Trump (R)- 39.7%
Jon Huntsman (I)- 18.3%

Michigan Presidential Election (13% Reporting)- TOO CLOSE TO CALL
Barack Obama (D)*- 42.2%
Donald Trump (R)- 40.1%
Jon Huntsman (I)- 16.7%

Missisippi Presidential Election (14% Reporting)- TOO CLOSE TO CALL
Donald Trump (R)- 43.9%
Barack Obama (D)*- 43.4%
Jon Huntsman (I)- 11.8%

Missouri Presidential Election (13% Reporting)- TOO CLOSE TO CALL
Barack Obama (D)*- 40.8%
Donald Trump (R)- 40.8%
Jon Huntsman (I)- 17.2%

New Hampshire Presidential Election (37% Reporting)- DEMOCRATIC WIN
Barack Obama (D)*- 44.7% ✓
Donald Trump (R)- 29.3%
Jon Huntsman (I)- 24.9%

North Carolina Presidential Election (26% Reporting)- TOO CLOSE TO CALL
Barack Obama (D)*- 40.7%
Donald Trump (R)- 38.3%
Jon Huntsman (I)- 20.2%

North Dakota Presidential Election (10% Reporting)- REPUBLICAN WIN
Donald Trump (R)- 44.6% ✓
Jon Huntsman (I)- 37.5%
Barack Obama (D)*- 16.9%

Ohio Presidential Election (25% Reporting)- TOO CLOSE TO CALL
Barack Obama (D)*- 41.2%
Donald Trump (R)- 40.2%
Jon Huntsman (I)- 17.4%

Pennsylvania Presidential Election (14% Reporting)- TOO CLOSE TO CALL
Barack Obama (D)*- 45.3%
Donald Trump (R)- 35.3%
Jon Huntsman (I)- 18.5%

South Carolina Presidential Election (35% Reporting)- TOO CLOSE TO CALL
Barack Obama (D)*- 38.8%
Donald Trump (R)- 38.4%
Jon Huntsman (I)- 21.6%

South Dakota Presidential Election (11% Reporting)- TOO CLOSE TO CALL
Donald Trump (R)- 38.8%
Jon Huntsman (I)- 37.7%
Barack Obama (D)*- 22.3%

Tennnessee Presidential Election (15% Reporting)- REPUBLICAN WIN
Donald Trump (R)- 52.4% ✓
Barack Obama (D)*- 30.3%
Jon Huntsman (I)- 16.5%

Texas Presidential Election (13% Reporting)- TOO CLOSE TO CALL
Donald Trump (R)- 43.1%
Barack Obama (D)*- 43.1%
Jon Huntsman (I)- 12.6%

Virginia Presidential Election (37% Reporting)- DEMOCRATIC WIN
Barack Obama (D)*- 51.2% ✓
Donald Trump (R)- 29.4%
Jon Huntsman (I)- 18.6%

Cooper: Now, let's hear some voices from the camp that has to be pretty happy right now- we turn to Brianna Keilar at the Obama Campaign HQ in Chicago, Illinois. Brianna, what's the mood there?

Keilar: Thank you, Anderson. The mood here is very upbeat and enthusiastic- the people are confident, and every time you call a state for Obama we hear a loud chanting of "Four More Years" from the crowd. We have here with us Obama advisor and former Clinton Campaign Manager Robby Mook. Robby, how's the feel right now? Do you think you're heading to a victory?

Mook: Yes, Brianna, definitely. We're looking at probably the biggest landslide since Clinton's 1996 reelection. It's clear that America is rejecting Donald Trump's xenophobic message and that our 50-state strategt is working. We're going to win some state Democrats haven't won for a long time, and give the President mandate to bring about real change in the next four years.

Keilar: What about state like Michigan, Pennsylvania, Ohio? They seem surprisingly close, and were thought to be safely in Obama's column. Are you worried?

Mook: No, we aren't. We'll see how the night goes, of course, but we aren't very worried. In the current situation, Trump needs Florida if he wants to win, and you should ask John King up there in the CNN HQ if you want to know whether he has a chance. We don't think he does.

Keilar: Obama campaign advisor Robby Mook, thank you for your time. Back to you, Anderson.

Cooper: Thank you, Brianna. Clearly, the Obama camp is confident tonight looking at the results, and they have a good reason to be. John, how's the situation in Florida?

King: Well, depends on who you ask. For Trump- not good. He's getting high turnout and strong margins with the rural Republican areas up here, but his numbers are chipped considerably in the southern, urban and suburban areas by Huntsman and Obama. We're also seeing extremely strong Latino turnout for Obama, making his numbers in counties like Miami-Dade strong. He's holding a pretty strong lead here, and it's going to be tough for Trump to pass him.

Blitzer: Now, stand by, because we can call another race, this time in the downballot department. In addition to the Arkansas Senate race, which we called a while ago to Republican incumbent John Boozman against Democratic challenger Conner Elbridge, we can call one of the key races of the night- in New Hampshire, Democratic Governor Maggie Hassan will defeat Republican incumbent Senator Kelly Ayotte in the Senate race, a key pickup for Democrats. And another key pickup for them, in a Republican territory- former Senator Evan Bayh, who also served as Governor of the state, has defeated U.S. Rep. Todd Young in the Indiana Senate race, reclaiming a seat in the Senate.

Florida Senate Race (35% Reporting)- TOO CLOSE TO CALL
U.S. Rep. Gwen Graham (D)- 50.3%
Senator Marco Rubio (R)*- 49.0%

Georgia Senate Race (34% Reporting)- TOO CLOSE TO CALL
Fmr. State Sen. Jason Carter (D)- 49.8%
Senator Johnny Isakson (R)*- 49.5%

Indiana Senate Race (51% Reporting)- DEMOCRATIC GAIN
Fmr. Senator Evan Bayh (D)- 51.5% ✓
U.S. Rep. Todd Young (R)- 43.8%

Indiana Gubernatorial Race (51% Reporting)- TOO CLOSE TO CALL
Mayor Pete Buttigieg (D)- 50.1%
Governor Mike Pence (R)*- 48.9%

Missouri Senate Race (16% Reporting)- TOO CLOSE TO CALL
Secretary of State Jason Kander (D)- 50.9%
Senator Roy Blunt (R)*- 47.9%

Missouri Gubernatorial Race (16% Reporting)- TOO CLOSE TO CALL
Lieutenant Governor Peter Kinder (R)- 49.7%
Attorney General Chris Koster (D)- 49.5%

New Hampshire Senate Race (41% Reporting)- DEMOCRATIC GAIN
Governor Maggie Hassan (D)- 52.2% ✓
Senator Kelly Ayotte (R)*- 44.5%

New Hampshire Gubernatorial Race (41% Reporting)- TOO CLOSE TO CALL
Exec. Councilor Colin Van Ostern (D)- 49.8%
Exec. Councilor Chris Sununu (R)- 49.5%

North Carolina Senate Race (28% Reporting)- TOO CLOSE TO CALL
Fmr. Senator Kay Hagan (D)- 51.2%
Senator Richard Burr (R)*- 47.9%

North Carolina Gubernatorial Race (28% Reporting)- TOO CLOSE TO CALL
Attorney General Roy Cooper (D)- 54.1%
Governor Pat McRory (R)*- 44.7%

Ohio Senate Race (27% Reporting)- TOO CLOSE TO CALL
Senator Rob Portman (R)*- 50.1%
Fmr. U.S. Rep. Betty Sutton (D)- 48.6%

Pennsylvania Senate Race (16% Reporting)- TOO CLOSE TO CALL
Fmr. U.S. Joe Sestak (D)- 55.9%
Senator Pat Toomey (R)*- 43.2%

South Dakota Senate Race (12% Reporting)- TOO CLOSE TO CALL
Senator John Thune (R)*- 54.3%
Fmr. Senator Tom Daschle (D)- 43.1%
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« Reply #135 on: March 31, 2018, 07:38:43 am »

ELECTION NIGHT, Part VI


Blitzer: ...And now, as we reach the 9 P.M. hour, another crucial hour to night, we have poll closings in a large number of states, getting us closer to the identity of our next President. We can already call several states- we're calling New York State for President Obama, 29 electoral votes from New York, a big prize for the President, getting him above the 100 mark. We can also already call New Mexico for the President, an early call for a state that voted for Bush in 2004. We can call one state for Donald Trump- Louisiana will vote for Republican Donald Trump tonight. The third contressial district of Nebraska, we're calling for Trump too, one of the most conservative parts of the nation, so it's an unsurprising call. We cannot right now call the states of Wisconsin, Minnesota, the rest of Nebraska, Colorado, Arizona and Wyoming.

Bash: We're getting into very interesting territory here, friendly to Jon Huntsman, and we're already getting some curious numbers. Wyoming, usually a solidly Republican state, is now closely contested between Trump and Huntsman, who's getting very high turnout and support from Mormons here while conservative turnout is depressed according to our exit polls. Arizona, again, a Republican state, we're seeing actually Huntsman and Obama battling for first here right now, Trump close behind, a three-way race. Nebraska, with its congressial district splitting, some curious results- Huntsman is actually leading in the second district by a strong margin, enough for us to classify it as 'too early to call' right now, and is close behind Trump in the first district and statewide. It seems like Democrats and moderates broke strongly for Huntsman here tonight, perhaps feeling that he has a better chance than Obama.

King: Interesting. In the other swing states, we can't yet make any new calls, but as you can see here on the map Obama is opening a gap in Florida as more and more democratic areas are reporting. It's going to be hard for Trump to close this gap. Michigan, strong turnout in Wayne County, where African Americans are strongly supportive of the President, and Obama is opening a gap after an initial scare. Pennsylvania, we're actually seeing the large gap getting smaller as expected, rural, conservative parts reporting right now and increasing Trump's count. Let's look at these numbers.

United States 2016 Presidential Election Map


Arizona Presidential Election (3% Reporting)- TOO CLOSE TO CALL
Barack Obama (D)*- 35.2%
Jon Huntsman (I)- 32.9%
Donald Trump (R)- 30.8%

Colorado Presidential Election (2% Reporting)- TOO EARLY TO CALL
Barack Obama (D)*- 43.5%
Donald Trump (R)- 29.3%
Jon Huntsman (I)- 26.4%

Florida Presidential Election (45% Reporting)- TOO CLOSE TO CALL
Barack Obama (D)*- 42.9%
Donald Trump (R)- 38.8%
Jon Huntsman (I)- 17.1%

Georgia Presidential Election (44% Reporting)- TOO CLOSE TO CALL
Barack Obama (D)*- 41.3%
Donald Trump (R)- 38.4%
Jon Huntsman (I)- 19.4%

Indiana Presidential Election (60% Reporting)- TOO CLOSE TO CALL
Barack Obama (D)*- 41.6%
Donald Trump (R)- 41.3%
Jon Huntsman (I)- 16.3%

Kansas Presidential Election (27% Reporting)- TOO CLOSE TO CALL
Barack Obama (D)*- 33.7%
Donald Trump (R)- 33.4%
Jon Huntsman (I)- 31.5%

Louisiana Presidential Election (2% Reporting)- REPUBLICAN WIN
Donald Trump (R)- 52.4% ✓
Barack Obama (D)*- 40.6%
Jon Huntsman (I)- 6.3%

Maine 2nd Congressial District Presidential Election (25% Reporting)- TOO CLOSE TO CALL
Barack Obama (D)*- 43.1%
Donald Trump (R)- 41.5%
Jon Huntsman (I)- 14.4%

Michigan Presidential Election (25% Reporting)- TOO CLOSE TO CALL
Barack Obama (D)*- 42.8%
Donald Trump (R)- 39.3%
Jon Huntsman (I)- 17.1%

Minnesota Presidential Election (2% Reporting)- TOO CLOSE TO CALL
Barack Obama (D)*- 45.1%
Donald Trump (R)- 32.8%
Jon Huntsman (I)- 21.4%

Missisippi Presidential Election (26% Reporting)- TOO CLOSE TO CALL
Donald Trump (R)- 45.2%
Barack Obama (D)*- 43.1%
Jon Huntsman (I)- 10.6%

Missouri Presidential Election (25% Reporting)- TOO CLOSE TO CALL
Barack Obama (D)*- 40.2%
Donald Trump (R)- 39.7%
Jon Huntsman (I)- 18.9%

Nebraska Presidential Election (3% Reporting)- TOO CLOSE TO CALL
Donald Trump (R)- 37.6%
Jon Huntsman (I)- 36.9%
Barack Obama (D)*- 24.3%

Nebraska 2nd Congressial District Presidential Election (3% Reporting)- TOO EARLY TO CALL
Jon Huntsman (I)- 42.8%
Donald Trump (R)- 29.7%
Barack Obama (D)*- 26.5%

New Mexico Presidential Election (3% Reporting)- DEMOCRATIC WIN
Barack Obama (D)*- 45.2% ✓
Jon Huntsman (I)- 28.6%
Donald Trump (R)- 22.9%
Gary Johnson (L)- 5.2%

New York Presidential Election (2% Reporting)- DEMOCRATIC WIN
Barack Obama (D)*- 57.9% ✓
Donald Trump (R)- 24.5%
Jon Huntsman (I)- 16.2%

North Carolina Presidential Election (37% Reporting)- TOO CLOSE TO CALL
Barack Obama (D)*- 41.9%
Donald Trump (R)- 37.6%
Jon Huntsman (I)- 19.4%

Ohio Presidential Election (36% Reporting)- TOO CLOSE TO CALL
Barack Obama (D)*- 41.3%
Donald Trump (R)- 40.8%
Jon Huntsman (I)- 16.8%

Pennsylvania Presidential Election (25% Reporting)- TOO CLOSE TO CALL
Barack Obama (D)*- 43.6%
Donald Trump (R)- 38.1%
Jon Huntsman (I)- 17.3%

South Carolina Presidential Election (47% Reporting)- TOO CLOSE TO CALL
Donald Trump (R)- 39.0%
Barack Obama (D)*- 38.6%
Jon Huntsman (I)- 21.3%

South Dakota Presidential Election (24% Reporting)- TOO CLOSE TO CALL
Donald Trump (R)- 37.6%
Jon Huntsman (I)- 36.6%
Barack Obama (D)*- 24.5%

Texas Presidential Election (26% Reporting)- TOO CLOSE TO CALL
Barack Obama (D)*- 43.4%
Donald Trump (R)- 42.7%
Jon Huntsman (I)- 12.8%

Wisconsin Presidential Election (3% Reporting)- TOO CLOSE TO CALL
Donald Trump (R)- 42.8%
Barack Obama (D)*- 40.4%
Jon Huntsman (I)- 16.0%

Cooper: And, like always, let's give you an update on downballot races. In the House, Democrats are making substantial gains. According to our model right now, they're definitely favoured to take it back. And we can call one more race for the Democrats- Senator Michael Bennet from Colorado will hold onto his seat against Republican Darryl Glenn, a very early call for a potentially vulnerable incumbent. The Senate race in Arizona, meanwhile, between Senator John McCain and U.S. Rep. Ann Kirkpatrick, is too close to call. In the Louisiana jungle Senate race, we cannot call it for one particular person, but we do know for sure that Republican John Neely Kennedy will advance to the runoff occuring in two days against a Democrat, Public Service Commissioner Foster Campbell.

Blitzer: Indeed, looking like a very good night for the Democrats, President Obama might have a favourable congress if he's reelected, and... Hold on, there is yet another call we can make at this hour. In North Carolina, Democratic Attorney General Roy Cooper has unseated incumbent Republican Governor Pat McRory. The Governor has come under fire for enacting legislation seen as anti-transgender and prompting organizations like the N.C.A.A. to boycott the state, angering many North Carolina residents. But it's not all bad for Republicans- we're finally ready to project the Senate race in South Dakota, where John Thune will be able to retain his seat despite a surprisingly strong challenge from his predecessor in the seat, former Senate Democratic Leader Tom Daschle. Democrats never really had hopes of winning againt the popular Thune here, but what they hoped, and received, was forcing Republicans to waste time and money on a race they initially thought was safe. Let's take a look at the numbers again.

Arizona Senate Race (5% Reporting)- TOO CLOSE TO CALL
Senator John McCain (R)*- 51.8%
U.S. Rep. Ann Kirkpatrick (D)- 45.1%

Colorado Senate Race (4% Reporting)- DEMOCRATIC HOLD
Senator Michael Bennet (D)*- 54.8% ✓
County Comis. Darryl Glenn (R)- 40.5%

Florida Senate Race (47% Reporting)- TOO CLOSE TO CALL
U.S. Rep. Gwen Graham (D)- 50.9%
Senator Marco Rubio (R)*- 48.2%

Georgia Senate Race (46% Reporting)- TOO CLOSE TO CALL
Fmr. State Sen. Jason Carter (D)- 49.7%
Senator Johnny Isakson (R)*- 49.3%

Indiana Gubernatorial Race (62% Reporting)- TOO CLOSE TO CALL
Mayor Pete Buttigieg (D)- 50.6%
Governor Mike Pence (R)*- 48.6%

Louisiana Senate Race (4% Reporting)- R VS D RUNOFF
State Treasurer John Neely Kennedy (R)- 22.8% ✓
Public Service Comis. Foster Campbell (D)- 21.5% ✓

U.S. Rep. Charles Boustany (R)- 13.4%
Attorney Caroline Fayard (D)- 13.2%
U.S. Rep. John Fleming (R)- 7.9%
Fmr. State Rep. David Duke (R)- 4.2%
Mr. Gary Landrieu (D)- 3.8%
Fmr. U.S. Rep. Joseph Cao (R)- 3.5%
Ret. Colonel Rob Maness (R)- 2.7%
Activist Derrick Edwards (D)- 2.1%
Fmr. Alcohol and Tobacco Control Comis. Troy Hebert (I)- 1.6
Businessman Donald "Crawdaddy" Crawford (R)- 0.9%
Mr. Beryl Billiot (I)- 0.8%
Mr. Thomas Clements (L)- 0.7%
Others (Various)- 0.9%

Missouri Senate Race (27% Reporting)- TOO CLOSE TO CALL
Secretary of State Jason Kander (D)- 51.5%
Senator Roy Blunt (R)*- 47.2%

Missouri Gubernatorial Race (27% Reporting)- TOO CLOSE TO CALL
Attorney General Chris Koster (D)- 49.7%
Lieutenant Governor Peter Kinder (R)- 49.4%

New Hampshire Gubernatorial Race (52% Reporting)- TOO CLOSE TO CALL
Exec. Councilor Colin Van Ostern (D)- 50.4%
Exec. Councilor Chris Sununu (R)- 48.9%

North Carolina Senate Race (39% Reporting)- TOO CLOSE TO CALL
Fmr. Senator Kay Hagan (D)- 52.0%
Senator Richard Burr (R)*- 47.2%

North Carolina Gubernatorial Race (39% Reporting)- DEMOCRATIC GAIN
Attorney General Roy Cooper (D)- 56.7% ✓
Governor Pat McRory (R)*- 41.9%

Ohio Senate Race (38% Reporting)- TOO CLOSE TO CALL
Senator Rob Portman (R)*- 50.2%
Fmr. U.S. Rep. Betty Sutton (D)- 48.4%

Pennsylvania Senate Race (27% Reporting)- TOO CLOSE TO CALL
Fmr. U.S. Joe Sestak (D)- 52.7%
Senator Pat Toomey (R)*- 46.5%

South Dakota Senate Race (28% Reporting)- REPUBLICAN HOLD
Senator John Thune (R)*- 54.1% ✓
Fmr. Senator Tom Daschle (D)- 43.4%
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« Reply #136 on: April 02, 2018, 06:11:09 am »
« Edited: April 05, 2018, 03:00:09 am by Parrotguy »

ELECTION NIGHT, Part VII


Blitzer: Hello and welcome back to CNN's coverage of election night 2016. The night is getting late, and we've arrived at the 10 P.M. hour. Right now, we're closing the polls in a number of states out west... but we cannot project a winner in any of them at poll closing.

Cooper: Right. Idaho, Iowa and Montana are right now too close to call, while the state of Utah, home state of independent candidate Jon Huntsman, is too early to call, as is the usually swing state of Nevada. And this is... this is good for Huntsman, usually we call these states, Idaho and Montana and Utah, very easily for the Republicans. But right now, Huntsman is leading in all three, and he's clearly showing strength with mountain-west voters, especially Mormons. And Nevada is looking very strong for President Obama, it was a swing-state, even a Republican leaning state in the past, but right now, just like Colorado, it looks like it swung hard for the Democrats. Let's take a look at the numbers.

United States 2016 Presidential Election Map


Arizona Presidential Election (16% Reporting)- TOO CLOSE TO CALL
Barack Obama (D)*- 35.9%
Jon Huntsman (I)- 31.7%
Donald Trump (R)- 31.1%

Colorado Presidential Election (15% Reporting)- TOO EARLY TO CALL
Barack Obama (D)*- 44.9%
Donald Trump (R)- 28.7%
Jon Huntsman (I)- 25.2%

Florida Presidential Election (57% Reporting)- TOO CLOSE TO CALL
Barack Obama (D)*- 43.3%
Donald Trump (R)- 38.2%
Jon Huntsman (I)- 17.2%

Georgia Presidential Election (56% Reporting)- TOO CLOSE TO CALL
Barack Obama (D)*- 42.4%
Donald Trump (R)- 36.9%
Jon Huntsman (I)- 19.8%

Idaho Presidential Election (1% Reporting)- TOO CLOSE TO CALL
Jon Huntsman (I)- 40.1%
Donald Trump (R)- 36.4%
Barack Obama (D)*- 21.8%

Indiana Presidential Election (71% Reporting)- TOO CLOSE TO CALL
Barack Obama (D)*- 42.2%
Donald Trump (R)- 40.7%
Jon Huntsman (I)- 16.4%

Iowa Presidential Election (2% Reporting)- TOO CLOSE TO CALL
Barack Obama (D)*- 44.9%
Donald Trump (R)- 39.3%
Jon Huntsman (I)- 14.7%

Kansas Presidential Election (39% Reporting)- TOO CLOSE TO CALL
Barack Obama (D)*- 33.2%
Donald Trump (R)- 32.8%
Jon Huntsman (I)- 32.4%

Maine 2nd Congressial District Presidential Election (38% Reporting)- TOO CLOSE TO CALL
Barack Obama (D)*- 44.0%
Donald Trump (R)- 42.1%
Jon Huntsman (I)- 12.6%

Michigan Presidential Election (36% Reporting)- TOO CLOSE TO CALL
Barack Obama (D)*- 42.9%
Donald Trump (R)- 38.9%
Jon Huntsman (I)- 17.4%

Minnesota Presidential Election (15% Reporting)- TOO CLOSE TO CALL
Barack Obama (D)*- 43.8%
Donald Trump (R)- 33.9%
Jon Huntsman (I)- 21.6%

Missisippi Presidential Election (38% Reporting)- TOO CLOSE TO CALL
Donald Trump (R)- 44.9%
Barack Obama (D)*- 43.6%
Jon Huntsman (I)- 10.3%

Missouri Presidential Election (37% Reporting)- TOO CLOSE TO CALL
Barack Obama (D)*- 40.7%
Donald Trump (R)- 39.3%
Jon Huntsman (I)- 18.7%

Montana Presidential Election (2% Reporting)- TOO CLOSE TO CALL
Jon Huntsman (I)- 34.7%
Donald Trump (R)- 32.9%
Barack Obama (D)*- 31.3%

Nebraska Presidential Election (16% Reporting)- TOO CLOSE TO CALL
Donald Trump (R)- 37.7%
Jon Huntsman (I)- 37.4%
Barack Obama (D)*- 23.6%

Nebraska 2nd Congressial District Presidential Election (17% Reporting)- TOO EARLY TO CALL
Jon Huntsman (I)- 42.5%
Donald Trump (R)- 29.3%
Barack Obama (D)*- 27.1%

Nevada Presidential Election (2% Reporting)- TOO EARLY TO CALL
Barack Obama (D)*- 45.6%
Donald Trump (R)- 28.2%
Jon Huntsman (I)- 25.2%

North Carolina Presidential Election (49% Reporting)- TOO CLOSE TO CALL
Barack Obama (D)*- 41.6%
Donald Trump (R)- 37.2%
Jon Huntsman (I)- 20.1%

Ohio Presidential Election (48% Reporting)- TOO CLOSE TO CALL
Barack Obama (D)*- 41.5%
Donald Trump (R)- 40.6%
Jon Huntsman (I)- 16.7%

Pennsylvania Presidential Election (36% Reporting)- TOO CLOSE TO CALL
Barack Obama (D)*- 43.3%
Donald Trump (R)- 37.8%
Jon Huntsman (I)- 17.9%

South Carolina Presidential Election (59% Reporting)- TOO CLOSE TO CALL
Barack Obama (D)*- 39.6%
Donald Trump (R)- 38.7%
Jon Huntsman (I)- 20.5%

South Dakota Presidential Election (35% Reporting)- TOO CLOSE TO CALL
Donald Trump (R)- 38.4%
Jon Huntsman (I)- 37.1%
Barack Obama (D)*- 22.9%

Texas Presidential Election (39% Reporting)- TOO CLOSE TO CALL
Barack Obama (D)*- 43.8%
Donald Trump (R)- 42.3%
Jon Huntsman (I)- 13.0%

Utah Presidential Election (2% Reporting)- TOO EARLY TO CALL
Jon Huntsman (I)- 54.6%
Donald Trump (R)- 23.7%
Barack Obama (D)*- 19.6%

Wisconsin Presidential Election (15% Reporting)- TOO CLOSE TO CALL
Donald Trump (R)- 42.1%
Barack Obama (D)*- 40.7%
Jon Huntsman (I)- 16.3%

Wyoming Presidential Election (16% Reporting)- TOO EARLY TO CALL
Jon Huntsman (I)- 36.8%
Donald Trump (R)- 23.7%
Barack Obama (D)*- 15.9%

Tapper: So, we're currently standing at 129 electoral votes for President Obama, 58 for Mr. Trump, 0 for Governor Huntsman. With the pacific west still not having closed their polls, and leading in many key states, it looks like the President has many paths to victory tonight. So the more interesting question is, John, what are Donald Trump's paths?

King: Well, it's indeed an interesting question because Trump simply doesn't have many paths right now, considering the vote counts in several states. Let's, for the sake of the game, give him a few of the states a Republican should win in this map right here. So let's say, and it's a big if, but let's say Trump wins Indiana, Missouri, South Carolina, Missisippi, Kansas, South Dakota, Texas, Idaho, Montana, Wyoming, Alaska, and three more of Nebraska's electors. That leaves Trump with 157 electors, still far short of the required 270 to win the Presidency. Let's add some states, where Trump appears like he could plausibly win. So that's Ohio, Iowa, Wisconsin, North Carolina, Maine's 2nd district, Pennsylvania and Georgia. That's 243 electors, still short. Now, that leaves Trump with a few states were we believe he has only a slim chance of victory right now- Florida, Arizona, Michigan and Minnesota. To win the Presidency, Trump should pray that he somehow takes Florida. If he wins Florida's 29 electors in addition to all these other states, he's at 272 electoral votes, he wins the Presidency.

Tapper: And without Florida... does Trump have any path without Florida, John? Doesn't seem likely to me.

King: Yes and no, Jack, without Florida it's looking bleak for the Trump camp. Without Florida, he'd absolutely need to win Michigan's 16 votes, and add to that one of Minnesota or Arizona, to reach 270 or 271 votes respectively. Without Michigan, he does not have a path, save for if he wins one of the states we currently classify as too early because of a very strong lead for one of Trump's opponents, that is, Utah, Nevada or Colorado.

Cooper: Alright, thank you John, and right now we want to look again at the downballot races. From the polls we've closed just a while ago, we can already project several races. In Utah, Republican Governor and Huntsman supporter Gary Herbert has won reelection by a decisive margin, while for the Senate, we can project that two Republican incumbents, Mike Lee of Utah and Mike Crapo of Idaho, have also easily won reelection. We cannot, at the moment, project the Gubernatorial race in Montana, where incumbent Democrat Steve Bullock is running against Republican businessman Greg Gianforte. In Iowa, the Senate race between incumbent Republican Senator Chuck Grassley and Secretary of Agriculture, and former Governor, Democrat Tom Vilsack is too close to call, while in Nevada, the race between Democratic former State Attorney General Catherine Cortez Masto and Republican Congressman Joe Heck is too early to call, with the Democrat holding a strong lead. However, there is another Senate race we've been able to call in the last few minutes- former Senator Kay Hagan has won in North Carolina, unseating incumbent Republican Richard Burr, who also served as Chairman of the Senate Intelligence Committee.

Arizona Senate Race (19% Reporting)- TOO CLOSE TO CALL
Senator John McCain (R)*- 52.4%
U.S. Rep. Ann Kirkpatrick (D)- 43.9%

Florida Senate Race (60% Reporting)- TOO CLOSE TO CALL
U.S. Rep. Gwen Graham (D)- 51.1%
Senator Marco Rubio (R)*- 47.9%

Georgia Senate Race (59% Reporting)- TOO CLOSE TO CALL
Fmr. State Sen. Jason Carter (D)- 49.9%
Senator Johnny Isakson (R)*- 49.2%

Indiana Gubernatorial Race (73% Reporting)- TOO CLOSE TO CALL
Mayor Pete Buttigieg (D)- 51.4%
Governor Mike Pence (R)*- 48.0%

Iowa Senate Race (5% Reporting)- TOO CLOSE TO CALL
Sec. of Agriculture Tom Vilsack (D)- 51.1%
Senator Chuck Grassley (R)*- 47.8%

Missouri Senate Race (39% Reporting)- TOO CLOSE TO CALL
Secretary of State Jason Kander (D)- 51.7%
Senator Roy Blunt (R)*- 46.8%

Missouri Gubernatorial Race (39% Reporting)- TOO CLOSE TO CALL
Attorney General Chris Koster (D)- 50.4%
Lieutenant Governor Peter Kinder (R)- 48.8%

Montana Gubernatorial Race (5% Reporting)- TOO CLOSE TO CALL
Governor Steve Bullock (D)*- 54.8%
Businessman Greg Gianforte (R)- 42.7%

Nevada Senate Race (5% Reporting)- TOO EARLY TO CALL
Fmr. Attorney General Catherine Cortez Masto (D)- 53.9%
U.S. Rep. Joe Heck (R)- 45.1%

New Hampshire Gubernatorial Race (65% Reporting)- TOO CLOSE TO CALL
Exec. Councilor Colin Van Ostern (D)- 50.9%
Exec. Councilor Chris Sununu (R)- 48.5%

North Carolina Senate Race (53% Reporting)- DEMOCRATIC GAIN
Fmr. Senator Kay Hagan (D)- 54.3% ✓
Senator Richard Burr (R)*- 44.9%

Ohio Senate Race (52% Reporting)- TOO CLOSE TO CALL
Senator Rob Portman (R)*- 49.8%
Fmr. U.S. Rep. Betty Sutton (D)- 48.9%

Pennsylvania Senate Race (39% Reporting)- TOO CLOSE TO CALL
Fmr. U.S. Rep. Joe Sestak (D)- 52.6%
Senator Pat Toomey (R)*- 46.7%

Wisconsin Senate Race (18% Reporting)- TOO CLOSE TO CALL
Fmr. Senator Russ Feingold (D)- 55.6%
Senator Ron Johnson (R)*- 43.8%

Bash: So right now, Democrats have 45 Seats in the Senate guaranteed, with Republicans holding on to 40. Let's consider a few obvious races- California, Oregon, Washington, Hawaii for Democrats, Alaska, the runoff in Louisiana for Republicans, and we reach 49-42. Conaisering Nevada looks extremely likely to stay Democratic, it looks like Demcorats have 50 seats essentially guaranteed, which means, in combination with President Obama's strong lead in the Presidential race, that it looks like they're going to have a Senate majority. Add to that the Florida, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, Missouri and Iowa races where they're leading, and possibly the Ohio race where they're close, and you have yourself possibly a very strong majority of 57 seats for Obama to work with. Not filibuster-proof, but strong. And the President has already signaled that he's not going to let obstructionist Republicans stop him this time, which might mean nuking the filibuster. In the House, meanwhile, Democrats have already picked up 19, edging close to winning a majority there, too. It's looking like a strong night for them, up and down the ballot.
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« Reply #137 on: April 04, 2018, 04:33:32 pm »
« Edited: April 05, 2018, 03:00:34 am by Parrotguy »

ELECTION NIGHT, Part VIII


Cooper: Welcome back, folks, and we have some breaking news right now. Our election coverage is getting more and more intensive, as we advance through the night, we're going to be able to call more states. And a few minutes ago, we've been able to call a couple new states- the state of Colorado will go for President Obama tonight, and the state of Utah will vote for independent Jon Huntsman, its former Governor. We're also calling the 2nd congressial district in Nebraska for Huntsman, yet another win for him tonight. Lastly, we can call the 1st congressial district in that state for Trump, meaning that only the 2 electors from the entire state remain undecided.

King: These are good numbers for Huntsman, and show that he has a wider appeal than simply winning the Mormon vote. Nebraska is actually a fascinating state tonight- look at this, the Democrats are barely winning any counties, as many of their voters went to Huntsman. So you have the 2nd district, usually competitive, Huntsman getting support from both Democrats and Republicans there, winning by a wide margin. The 3rd district, we already called it for Trump a while ago, it's a very conservative district and goes for him by a large margin. The 1st- as you said, it's going to go for Trump, but the question remains by which margin. If Huntsman can run up the margin in the 2nd district and keep it narrow in the 1st, and not a complete disaster in the 3rd, he wins the state.

Blitzer: Hold your thoughts for a moment, because we can call another couple of states. Wyoming, the state of Wyoming, will vote for Republican Donald Trump. We usually call it much earlier, but tonight many of its voters chose to support Huntsman's independent bid. But not enough. And another state that usually takes its time to be called, Nevada, will now be called fairly early in the night, and vote for President Obama. The Democrats won yet another state. And just in time, we've reached the 11 P.M. hour, and we have some new poll closings, and new calls to make, all for the President. California, Hawaii, Oregon and Washington will all vote for the Democratic ticket tonight, increasing its share of the electoral college by a lot. Let's take a look at the numbers now.

United States 2016 Presidential Election Map


Arizona Presidential Election (37% Reporting)- TOO CLOSE TO CALL
Barack Obama (D)*- 37.8%
Jon Huntsman (I)- 31.3%
Donald Trump (R)- 29.6%

California Presidential Election (1% Reporting)- DEMOCRATIC WIN
Barack Obama (D)*- 62.4% ✓
Donald Trump (R)- 20.1%
Jon Huntsman (I)- 16.2%

Colorado Presidential Election (36% Reporting)- DEMOCRATIC WIN
Barack Obama (D)*- 44.1% ✓
Donald Trump (R)- 28.5%
Jon Huntsman (I)- 26.2%

Florida Presidential Election (78% Reporting)- TOO CLOSE TO CALL
Barack Obama (D)*- 43.9%
Donald Trump (R)- 36.7%
Jon Huntsman (I)- 18.5%

Georgia Presidential Election (77% Reporting)- TOO CLOSE TO CALL
Barack Obama (D)*- 41.9%
Donald Trump (R)- 37.7%
Jon Huntsman (I)- 19.4%

Hawaii Presidential Election (1% Reporting)- DEMOCRATIC WIN
Barack Obama (D)*- 71.8% ✓
Jon Huntsman (I)- 15.6%
Donald Trump (R)- 11.0%

Idaho Presidential Election (25% Reporting)- TOO CLOSE TO CALL
Jon Huntsman (I)- 39.5%
Donald Trump (R)- 37.9%
Barack Obama (D)*- 21.3%

Indiana Presidential Election (95% Reporting)- TOO CLOSE TO CALL
Barack Obama (D)*- 42.1%
Donald Trump (R)- 40.3%
Jon Huntsman (I)- 16.8%

Iowa Presidential Election (26% Reporting)- TOO CLOSE TO CALL
Barack Obama (D)*- 43.7%
Donald Trump (R)- 42.5%
Jon Huntsman (I)- 12.9%

Kansas Presidential Election (60% Reporting)- TOO CLOSE TO CALL
Barack Obama (D)*- 33.6%
Jon Huntsman (I)- 32.5%
Donald Trump (R)- 32.5%

Maine 2nd Congressial District Presidential Election (59% Reporting)- TOO CLOSE TO CALL
Barack Obama (D)*- 44.4%
Donald Trump (R)- 42.9%
Jon Huntsman (I)- 11.9%

Michigan Presidential Election (57% Reporting)- TOO CLOSE TO CALL
Barack Obama (D)*- 43.5%
Donald Trump (R)- 38.1%
Jon Huntsman (I)- 17.6%

Minnesota Presidential Election (36% Reporting)- TOO CLOSE TO CALL
Barack Obama (D)*- 42.4%
Donald Trump (R)- 34.2%
Jon Huntsman (I)- 22.4%

Missisippi Presidential Election (59% Reporting)- TOO CLOSE TO CALL
Donald Trump (R)- 44.7%
Barack Obama (D)*- 43.9%
Jon Huntsman (I)- 10.4%

Missouri Presidential Election (58% Reporting)- TOO CLOSE TO CALL
Barack Obama (D)*- 41.0%
Donald Trump (R)- 40.4%
Jon Huntsman (I)- 17.6%

Montana Presidential Election (26% Reporting)- TOO CLOSE TO CALL
Jon Huntsman (I)- 34.9%
Donald Trump (R)- 33.1%
Barack Obama (D)*- 30.6%

Nebraska Presidential Election (37% Reporting)- TOO CLOSE TO CALL
Donald Trump (R)- 36.9%
Jon Huntsman (I)- 37.8%
Barack Obama (D)*- 24.1%

Nebraska 2nd Congressial District Presidential Election (38% Reporting)- HUNTSMAN WIN
Jon Huntsman (I)- 44.3% ✓
Donald Trump (R)- 30.2%
Barack Obama (D)*- 24.6%

Nevada Presidential Election (27% Reporting)- DEMOCRATIC WIN
Barack Obama (D)*- 45.1% ✓
Donald Trump (R)- 28.7%
Jon Huntsman (I)- 24.9%

North Carolina Presidential Election (71% Reporting)- TOO CLOSE TO CALL
Barack Obama (D)*- 41.5%
Donald Trump (R)- 37.8%
Jon Huntsman (I)- 19.8%

Ohio Presidential Election (70% Reporting)- TOO CLOSE TO CALL
Barack Obama (D)*- 42.4%
Donald Trump (R)- 40.2%
Jon Huntsman (I)- 16.3%

Oregon Presidential Election (2% Reporting)- DEMOCRATIC WIN
Barack Obama (D)*- 48.9% ✓
Donald Trump (R)- 25.1%
Jon Huntsman (I)- 24.7%

Pennsylvania Presidential Election (59% Reporting)- TOO CLOSE TO CALL
Barack Obama (D)*- 42.6%
Donald Trump (R)- 39.0%
Jon Huntsman (I)- 17.5%

South Carolina Presidential Election (83% Reporting)- TOO CLOSE TO CALL
Barack Obama (D)*- 39.4%
Donald Trump (R)- 38.3%
Jon Huntsman (I)- 21.2%

South Dakota Presidential Election (56% Reporting)- TOO CLOSE TO CALL
Donald Trump (R)- 39.1%
Jon Huntsman (I)- 37.4%
Barack Obama (D)*- 21.7%

Texas Presidential Election (60% Reporting)- TOO CLOSE TO CALL
Barack Obama (D)*- 43.6%
Donald Trump (R)- 42.1%
Jon Huntsman (I)- 13.3%

Utah Presidential Election (26% Reporting)- HUNTSMAN WIN
Jon Huntsman (I)- 57.2% ✓
Donald Trump (R)- 24.5%
Barack Obama (D)*- 17.8%

Washington Presidential Election (2% Reporting)- DEMOCRATIC WIN
Barack Obama (D)*- 50.3% ✓
Donald Trump (R)- 26.5%
Jon Huntsman (I)- 21.9%

Wisconsin Presidential Election (37% Reporting)- TOO CLOSE TO CALL
Barack Obama (D)*- 43.6%
Donald Trump (R)- 41.9%
Jon Huntsman (I)- 13.8%

Wyoming Presidential Election (38% Reporting)- REPUBLICAN WIN
Donald Trump (R)- 47.2% ✓
Jon Huntsman (I)- 35.4%
Barack Obama (D)*- 15.7%

Tapper: This is definitely looking increasingly bleak for Republicans. We're right now standing at 222 electoral votes for President Obama- a big bump from the pacific west states- and we're only at 11 P.M. This might not be a very long night, unfourtunately for Republicans. Meanwhile, Trump seems no closet to approach the various paths we've discussed for him a hour ago. He's standing just at 62 electoral votes, while Huntsman is right now at 7, already the most successful third-party candidate since George Wallace, in terms of electoral votes. And in the popular vote, he seems to be hovering around 20%, so he's likely to surpass Ross Perot's 1992 showing. Truly a unique election, this year. I want to talk now to Jim Acosta, at the Trump HQ in New York City. Jim, you said in the evening's beginning that energies are running high there. Are they still?

Acosta: No, definitely not, Anderson. People here are somber, and the crowd, big at first, seems to be trickling outside. You can see many red Make America Great Again hats lowered as their owners look down each time we call a state for Obama. A bleak ending, it seems, for a movement that threatened to wash the entire nation with it. We want to...

Cooper: Wait up, Jim, we need to get back to reporting because I'm receiving some breaking news right now. Apparently... The Associated Press has just called Florida for the President, and... yes, we can confirm it right now, as CNN officially calls the state of Florida for President Obama. This is huge, one of the biggest swing states will now go to the President, bringing him much closer to the needed number of 270 electoral votes. So what happened here, John?

King: Well, what we can see, it's basically that Trump did well in these rural, Republican areas, but didn't have the turnout he needed, and many of his votes were cut by Huntsman. On the contrary, African Americans, Hispanics, Jews, voters down south here, they all turned out in droves for President Obama, very high turnout and margins for him in counties like Miami-Dade. It was enough for him to strongly outpace Trump's strength with white voters in the north of the state.

Cooper: A moment, John, and we're receiving some more news right now. The state of Indiana closed its polls a long time ago, but we can finally make a call, actually two calls there. A bad night for Republicans in the Hoosier State, as they can add a loss of a Senate seat to a loss in the Presidential race, we're calling this state for Barack Obama too, and a loss in the Gubernatorial race, as Pete Buttigieg defeats incumbent Mike Pence. This brings the President to 262 electoral votes, very close to the necessary number. He just needs to win one state now from the many states where he's leading. Let's take a look at the numbers from these two states.

Florida Presidential Election (81% Reporting)- DEMOCRATIC WIN
Barack Obama (D)*- 44.1% ✓
Donald Trump (R)- 36.5%
Jon Huntsman (I)- 18.6%

Indiana Presidential Election (99% Reporting)- DEMOCRATIC WIN
Barack Obama (D)*- 41.9% ✓
Donald Trump (R)- 40.7%
Jon Huntsman (I)- 16.3%

Bash: Actually, we should take a moment to talk about the Gubernatorial race in Indiana. I think we can say that this is one of the most shocking races tonight- Indiana, a conservative state, has just elected a young Democrat in his early thirties, a successful Mayor, and also its first openly gay Governor. And he defeated Mike Pence, renowned for anti-LGBTQ views and a weak response to an AIDs epidemic. Many call him a homophob. He was actually rumoured to be a top-contender for Trump's running mate spot before refusing, thinking that a reelection run had more of a chance, despite his low approval ratings, and I think... I think many members of the LGBTQ community will find tonight very satisfying, cathartic even.

Tapper: Right, and if we're talking about downballot races, I think it's time to sum up several calls we've made there recently- quite a lot of them, and all good for the Democrats, who seem to be having an exceedingly good night. I think I can hear the cheering from Chicago all the way up here. We're calling the Senate race in California, actually between two Democrats, for the state's Attorney General, Kamala Harris. In Hawaii, Oregon and Washington we can call all three races for the Democratic incumbents against fairly weak Republican challengers- Hawaii for Senator Brian Schatz, Oregon for Senator Ron Wyden and Washington for Senator Patty Murray. But for the more interesting races, as we mentioned, we've called the Indiana Gubernatorial race for Demcoratic Mayor Pete Buttigieg. We're also calling New Hampshire's Gubernatorial race, also for the Democrat, Colin Van Ostern, who will win by a narrow margin. And, we're calling Montana's Gubernatorial race, an early race, as Democrat Steve Bullock easily cruises to reelction. And in Florida, we can call the Senate race for Congresswoman Gwen Graham, daughter of a former Governor and Senator from the state, Bob Graham. She unseats Republican incumbent and former 2016 contender, considered a rising star in the party, Marco Rubio. And so the star has fallen. And Democrats are right now at 50 seats in the next Senate- meaning that, in the extremely likely possibility that President Obama wins the election, Democrats have won the Senate- we'll hold off on calling that until either fact is confirmed, though. And...

Blitzer: A moment. I'm receiving news that we can make a major projection in the state of Wisconsin- former Senator Russ Feingold, the Democratic nominee for Senate, has won his old seat back from the one who defeated him back in 2010, unseating Republican incumbent Ron Johnson. And with that, we can make a major call- Democrats have won the Senate. The President's party has an assured majority in the next Senate session, and we still have many other races uncalled.

Arizona Senate Race (41% Reporting)- TOO CLOSE TO CALL
Senator John McCain (R)*- 49.6%
U.S. Rep. Ann Kirkpatrick (D)- 46.2%

Florida Senate Race (83% Reporting)- DEMOCRATIC GAIN
U.S. Rep. Gwen Graham (D)- 53.7% ✓
Senator Marco Rubio (R)*- 45.4%

Georgia Senate Race (82% Reporting)- TOO CLOSE TO CALL
Fmr. State Sen. Jason Carter (D)- 50.7%
Senator Johnny Isakson (R)*- 48.4%

Indiana Gubernatorial Race (99% Reporting)- DEMOCRATIC GAIN
Mayor Pete Buttigieg (D)- 52.1% ✓
Governor Mike Pence (R)*- 47.2%

Iowa Senate Race (30% Reporting)- TOO CLOSE TO CALL
Sec. of Agriculture Tom Vilsack (D)- 50.8%
Senator Chuck Grassley (R)*- 48.2%

Missouri Senate Race (64% Reporting)- TOO CLOSE TO CALL
Secretary of State Jason Kander (D)- 52.5%
Senator Roy Blunt (R)*- 46.1%

Missouri Gubernatorial Race (64% Reporting)- TOO CLOSE TO CALL
Attorney General Chris Koster (D)- 51.2%
Lieutenant Governor Peter Kinder (R)- 47.9%

Montana Gubernatorial Race (31% Reporting)- DEMOCRATIC HOLD
Governor Steve Bullock (D)*- 56.3% ✓
Businessman Greg Gianforte (R)- 40.9%

Nevada Senate Race (32% Reporting)- TOO CLOSE TO CALL
Fmr. Attorney General Catherine Cortez Masto (D)- 52.4%
U.S. Rep. Joe Heck (R)- 46.8%

New Hampshire Gubernatorial Race (89% Reporting)- DEMOCRATIC HOLD
Exec. Councilor Colin Van Ostern (D)- 51.6% ✓
Exec. Councilor Chris Sununu (R)- 47.7%

Ohio Senate Race (74% Reporting)- TOO CLOSE TO CALL
Senator Rob Portman (R)*- 49.4%
Fmr. U.S. Rep. Betty Sutton (D)- 49.3%

Pennsylvania Senate Race (63% Reporting)- TOO CLOSE TO CALL
Fmr. U.S. Rep. Joe Sestak (D)- 52.1%
Senator Pat Toomey (R)*- 47.1%

Wisconsin Senate Race (40% Reporting)- DEMOCRATIC GAIN
Fmr. Senator Russ Feingold (D)- 57.4% ✓
Senator Ron Johnson (R)*- 42.3%
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« Reply #138 on: April 04, 2018, 04:48:37 pm »

Didn't know RoJo and Feingod were from Missouri!

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« Reply #139 on: April 04, 2018, 05:22:35 pm »


Nah I was just amused by using that meme, pay it no heed Tongue
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« Reply #140 on: April 04, 2018, 06:11:46 pm »

>Indiana called for Obama with most of the Great Lakes uncalled.

Erm... Prescint reporting matter? 99% of Indiana was counted.
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« Reply #141 on: April 05, 2018, 05:30:18 am »

ELECTION NIGHT, Part IX


Cooper: Welcome back to our coverage of election night 2016. Since we've called Florida and Indiana for the President, as well as calling the Senate for them, the confidence in the Democratic camp became complete. They're sure of their victory now, and we're receiving reports that RNC Chairman Reince Priebus has called Interim DNC Chairwoman Donna Brazile to congratulate her for her party's victory. And indeed, we can now make a major projection- Democrats have won the House of Representatives. Democrats will have control of the House, and Nancy Pelosi will most likely return to her role of Speaker for at least two years. Picking up at least 28 seats in what is now called a Democratic wave election, the first true wave for them since 2006, they will most likely have a trifecta in the next Congressial session... Though, we cannot yet call the Presidency for them, so it's still not official.

Tapper: Right, and about that, we're receiving reports that there's some drama going on in both camps. House Speaker Ryan has apparently called Donald Trump to make sure he's gonna concede the race tonight, and apparently... apparently Trump shut him down, claiming that it's not over yet. There's some fracture, apparently, as Governor Chris Christie, Trump's running mate, is adamant about calling the Democratic ticket after an official projection, contrary to Trump's view, he's apparently saying that he's refusing to do it for now, that this election is a fraud. Meanwhile, on the President's camp, we're receiving news that Barack Obama is already ready with a victory speech, and will give it immediately after we're able to make an official projection. Without waiting for a call from Trump.

Blitzer: Hold on, Jake. We have a major, major projection to make right now.

North Carolina Presidential Election (80% Reporting)- DEMOCRATIC WIN
Barack Obama (D)*- 42.3% ✓
Donald Trump (R)- 37.2%
Jon Huntsman (I)- 19.4%



Blitzer: We're projecting that President Barack Obama has won the state of North Carolina, and with it, we can finally make our long-awaited projection of the night: President Barack Obama has been re-elected. The Obama\Baldwin ticket won the 2016 Presidential Election.

Cooper: Wow. We're still not at midnight, and we've already projected this election. This is a historic night, folks, because President Obama, the first African American President of our nation, is now also the first Commander-in-Chief since Franklin Delano Roosevelt to win a third consecutive term. We're seeing history tonight. And we'll now go to the Obama Campaign HQ in Chicago, Illinois, where the election's victor and our nation's President is now ready to give a speech before a very big, enthusiastic crowd of supporters. Let's tune in.


Four More Years! Four More Years! Four More Years! Four More Years!
"Thank you! Thank you! Thank you so very much! Such a beautiful night in Chicago! Now, bear with me because there's going to be a long string of 'thank you's here. First and foremost, I want to thank the women of my life- my wonderful wife and my beautiful daughters, who I love more than anything in the world, for being with me throughout these last eight years and this campaign, and for allowing me to run again. So Michelle, Malia, Sacha- thank you. I know this campaign was hard for you, and your support isn't obvious. Now, I want to thank Tammy, Senator Tammy Baldwin, our new Vice President-elect! That's right, come here, Tammy! Let's give a big round of applause to our first female Vice President!"
Tammy! Tammy! Tammy! Tammy!
"Now, I want to say this- we can't underestimate just how historic this is. Tammy will not only be our first female Vice President, she'll also be our first openly-LGBTQ Vice President. This is- without a doubt, this is a huge step forward for a nation that legalized same-sex marriage less than four years ago. And I think this is amazing. Now, I also want to thank someone very dear to me, who's been my closest friend and advisor in these past eight years- our current Vice President, Joe Biden. We've entered the 2008 campaign and the White House as strangers, even former rivals in the primary. And yet, I've discovered so much more than just another politician- I've discovered a dear friend. So thank you, Joe, for all your support and for your great service to our nation... A service which we both know is not going to end this year. But let's tell the rest of 'em, no? I think it's the right time. So, friends, let's give another big round of applause to our next Secretary of State, Vice President Joe Biden! I know"
BIDEN! BIDEN! BIDEN! BIDEN! BIDEN! BIDEN!
"Thank you for agreeing to serve again, Joe, I know that you will be a wonderful Secretary of State. And I want to thank a few more individuals, if ya'll will excuse me. I want to thank Donna Brazile, who's been a wonderful interim Chairwoman for the DNC. I want to thank Senator Bernie Sanders and former Secretary Hillary Clinton, who've campaigned for me and gave me their full support despite a tough primary season. I want to thank my opponents, Mr. Trump and Ambassador Huntsman, for running a spirited campaign and respecting our democratic process. But most of all, I want to thank all of you, the thousands of supporters, surrogates and volunteers who worked so hard for our campaign in the past few months. We wouldn't have been here without you, no matter how fast I ran accross America. So thank you so much- this victory we've achieved to night isn't my victory, it isn't the Democratic Party's victory. It's your victory alone. You took a few words I've said years ago to heart, and implemented them truly and fully- Yes We Can!"
Yes We Can! Yes We Can! Yes We Can!
"Now, I want to speak to all of you there at home, the American people. I know some of you are disappointed tonight. Millions of you voted for my opponents. I want you all to know something else- I respect you. You've taken part in this amazing process we have here, the democratic process. If there's anything I hope to do in the next four years, it's to be your President- the President of everyone, Democrats and Republicans, men and women, black and white, straight people and the LGBTQ community, Christians, Jews, Muslims and everyone else. I want to work hard to improve life for all of you, from West Virginia to California, from Wyoming to Texas, from Maine to Arizona. There's nothing that will make me happer than improving the lives of every single one of you. The partisan polarization plaguing our nation for the past decades isn't healthy for our democracy, and I really hope to work to sooth the tensions in the next four years. So, with that said, let's get to work! For the American people!"
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« Reply #142 on: April 05, 2018, 06:23:46 am »

ELECTION NIGHT, Part X


Blitzer: There you have it, folks, President Obama, in his victory speech, seems energized by his strong win tonight. And with approval ratings at 55%, and rising, I think he can be happy. But the most interesting part of this speech we've just heard- the surprising early revelation of the identity of our next Secretary of State. Vice President Joe Biden, who has extensive foreign policy experience, is considered a strong ticket, but no one expected an announcement so soon.

Tapper: Yes, I actually think that such an announcement on the election night victory speech is unprecedented. Of course, Biden was always speculated to be a top contender for the job, but there were other names thrown around- Hillary Clinton, John Kerry staying in the post, even Jon Huntsman, who was Obama's Ambassador to China and would be a good, bipartisan pick. But Biden was evidently alreay chosen.

Cooper: And while the President was giving his victorious speech, we've been able to project several other states in the already-decided Presidential race. Still, the margin matters, so we're going to call  them right now- we can right now call Michigan for President Obama, Georgia for President Obama, Ohio for President Obama, Arizona for President Obama, and Minnesota for President Obama. Trump showed strength in the midwest and rustbelt, but this was clearly not enough to stand before Obama's wave of support. And... and, yes, we're receiving news that as the last prescints from South Carolina report, we can finally call this state for President Obama. A shocking victory there for Democrats tonight, a traditionally Republican state where, it seems, strong African American turnout combined with depressed Republican turnout and a good showing for Huntsman have sunk the Republican nominee. Lastly, right about now, as we arrive at midnight, the polls close in the last state- Alaska. We cannot call it right now. There actually has to be an interesting situation there, because the increasingly bleak image for Trump has, according to numerous reports, depressed turnout for his supporters. This could be good news for Jon Huntsman, whose supporters didn't vote for him out of a feeling he could win the election in the first place. Let's look at the numbers right now.

United States 2016 Presidential Election Map


Alaska Presidential Election (2% Reporting)- TOO CLOSE TO CALL
Jon Huntsman (I)- 37.4%
Barack Obama (D)*- 34.6%
Donald Trump (R)- 26.5%

Arizona Presidential Election (59% Reporting)- DEMOCRATIC WIN
Barack Obama (D)*- 39.1% ✓
Jon Huntsman (I)- 30.6%
Donald Trump (R)- 29.0%

Georgia Presidential Election (98% Reporting)- DEMOCRATIC WIN
Barack Obama (D)*- 42.0% ✓
Donald Trump (R)- 38.3%
Jon Huntsman (I)- 19.1%

Idaho Presidential Election (46% Reporting)- TOO CLOSE TO CALL
Jon Huntsman (I)- 39.4%
Donald Trump (R)- 38.6%
Barack Obama (D)*- 20.7%

Iowa Presidential Election (47% Reporting)- TOO CLOSE TO CALL
Barack Obama (D)*- 45.3%
Donald Trump (R)- 42.2%
Jon Huntsman (I)- 11.8%

Kansas Presidential Election (81% Reporting)- TOO CLOSE TO CALL
Barack Obama (D)*- 33.5%
Donald Trump (R)- 32.8%
Jon Huntsman (I)- 32.2%

Maine 2nd Congressial District Presidential Election (79% Reporting)- TOO CLOSE TO CALL
Barack Obama (D)*- 44.9%
Donald Trump (R)- 42.8%
Jon Huntsman (I)- 11.5%

Michigan Presidential Election (79% Reporting)- DEMOCRATIC WIN
Barack Obama (D)*- 46.7% ✓
Donald Trump (R)- 35.4%
Jon Huntsman (I)- 16.9%

Minnesota Presidential Election (58% Reporting)- DEMOCRATIC WIN
Barack Obama (D)*- 47.5% ✓
Donald Trump (R)- 30.3%
Jon Huntsman (I)- 21.2%

Missisippi Presidential Election (80% Reporting)- TOO CLOSE TO CALL
Donald Trump (R)- 44.6%
Barack Obama (D)*- 44.0%
Jon Huntsman (I)- 10.5%

Missouri Presidential Election (79% Reporting)- TOO CLOSE TO CALL
Barack Obama (D)*- 41.3%
Donald Trump (R)- 40.5%
Jon Huntsman (I)- 17.1%

Montana Presidential Election (48% Reporting)- TOO CLOSE TO CALL
Jon Huntsman (I)- 35.2%
Donald Trump (R)- 32.6%
Barack Obama (D)*- 30.7%

Nebraska Presidential Election (49% Reporting)- TOO CLOSE TO CALL
Jon Huntsman (I)- 37.6%
Donald Trump (R)- 37.0%
Barack Obama (D)*- 24.3%

Ohio Presidential Election (91% Reporting)- DEMOCRATIC WIN
Barack Obama (D)*- 42.7% ✓
Donald Trump (R)- 40.4%
Jon Huntsman (I)- 15.8%

Pennsylvania Presidential Election (78% Reporting)- TOO CLOSE TO CALL
Barack Obama (D)*- 42.3%
Donald Trump (R)- 40.5%
Jon Huntsman (I)- 16.4%

South Carolina Presidential Election (99% Reporting)- DEMOCRATIC WIN
Barack Obama (D)*- 38.8% ✓
Donald Trump (R)- 38.1%
Jon Huntsman (I)- 22.2%

South Dakota Presidential Election (77% Reporting)- TOO CLOSE TO CALL
Donald Trump (R)- 38.9%
Jon Huntsman (I)- 37.9%
Barack Obama (D)*- 21.5%

Texas Presidential Election (81% Reporting)- TOO CLOSE TO CALL
Barack Obama (D)*- 43.5%
Donald Trump (R)- 41.8%
Jon Huntsman (I)- 13.6%

Wisconsin Presidential Election (57% Reporting)- TOO CLOSE TO CALL
Barack Obama (D)*- 45.9%
Donald Trump (R)- 40.5%
Jon Huntsman (I)- 12.7%

Tapper: We're now standing at 357 electoral votes for President Obama, 62 for Mr. Trump and 7 for Ambassador Huntsman. It's looking like a landslide, for sure. I'll be shocked if the Democrats don't pass 400 electors tonight, at this pace. Now let's look at the downballot races, to see just how much of an actual mandate President Obama will have to govern. As it looks right now, quite a large one. Right now, we're able to call yet another race in the congressial battle- the Senate race in Missouri is called for Jason Kander, the Democratic candidate and the state's Secretary of State, who will unseat Republican incumbent Roy Blunt in yet another pickup for Democrats. Kander is considered a rising star in the Democratic party, a young combat veteran who's right now strongly outpacing President Obama in Missouri in what is already a wave election for the President.

Bash: And while we've discussed the Presidential election, we've made several more calls in other races, all in favour of the President's party. In the Georgia Senate race, Jason Carter, the grandson of former President Carter and another rising Democratic star, has shockingly unseated popular Republican Senator Johnny Isakson in Georgia. Isakson was thought to be safe, being very respected in the state, but Carter ran a strong campaign, trying Isakson to Trump and joining his grandfather on the trail. With the help of President Obama's victory in the state, Carter won a narrow upset. We can also call the Nevada Senate race for the seat of retiring Senate Democratic Leader Harry Reid for Catherine Cortez Masto, a Democratic hold, and in the Pennsylvania Senate race, we can project that Democrat Joe Sestak, in a rematch from 2010, will unseat Republican Senator Pat Toomey, attacking him as "a fake moderate" throughout the campaign and forcing him to toe tight line in a state where a Republican needs to win both suburbs unfriendly to the party's nominee and rural areas very friendly to him. But I'm receiving news that there is one more call we can make, in favour of the Republicans this time- they will pick up the Governor's Mansion in West Virginia, as nominee Bill Cole will narrowly defeat Democratic nominee Carte Goodwin, deemed by many as too liberal for the state. This is a bad sign for Joe Manchin, the state's Democratic Senator, who's up for reelection in 2018. However, it doesn't come off as a surprise, following a brutal primary between Goodwin and businessman Jim Justice, a former Republican who became a Democrat to run in the Gubernatorial race and later endorsed the Republican nominee for Governor, campaigning against Goodwin, who defeated him in the primary. With their victory in Vermont's Gubernatorial race, it's actually a second Gubernatorial pickup for Republican in an otherwise bad night for them.

Arizona Senate Race (61% Reporting)- TOO CLOSE TO CALL
Senator John McCain (R)*- 49.3%
U.S. Rep. Ann Kirkpatrick (D)- 46.6%

Georgia Senate Race (99% Reporting)- DEMOCRATIC GAIN
Fmr. State Sen. Jason Carter (D)- 50.2% ✓
Senator Johnny Isakson (R)*- 48.9%

Iowa Senate Race (50% Reporting)- TOO CLOSE TO CALL
Sec. of Agriculture Tom Vilsack (D)- 49.9%
Senator Chuck Grassley (R)*- 49.3%

Missouri Senate Race (81% Reporting)- DEMOCRATIC GAIN
Secretary of State Jason Kander (D)- 53.8% ✓
Senator Roy Blunt (R)*- 45.1%

Missouri Gubernatorial Race (81% Reporting)- TOO CLOSE TO CALL
Attorney General Chris Koster (D)- 50.4%
Lieutenant Governor Peter Kinder (R)- 49.2%

Nevada Senate Race (48% Reporting)- DEMOCRATIC HOLD
Fmr. Attorney General Catherine Cortez Masto (D)- 55.5% ✓
U.S. Rep. Joe Heck (R)- 43.4%

Ohio Senate Race (93% Reporting)- TOO CLOSE TO CALL
Fmr. U.S. Rep. Betty Sutton (D)- 49.5%
Senator Rob Portman (R)*- 49.1%

Pennsylvania Senate Race (80% Reporting)- DEMOCRATIC GAIN
Fmr. U.S. Rep. Joe Sestak (D)- 52.9% ✓
Senator Pat Toomey (R)*- 46.2%

West Virginia Gubernatorial Race (94% Reporting)- REPUBLICAN GAIN
State Senator Bill Cole (R)- 49.4% ✓
Fmr. Senator Carte Goodwin (D)- 48.5%
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« Reply #143 on: April 05, 2018, 11:45:53 am »

I am very happy with this result, Trump is dead!

I'd love for you to continue this to 2020 somehow, something tells me it'll be Biden running Wink
Hopefully with Huntsman getting the R nomination or something.

Thanks everyone! And I am planning to continue this at least until the end of Obama's third term, though I'm contemplating freezing it for now and starting a new timeline (anyone interested in an American Democrats and Republicans in the 60s or 70s uniting against an increasingly strong communist party? Tongue), to continue this later (in a new thread). I'm most likely not going to continue this beyond 2020, but I do already have an epilogue in mind, and I can assure you Huntsman's role still isn't done.
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« Reply #144 on: April 05, 2018, 12:09:08 pm »

Please finish election night in this timeline before starting a new one.

Of course I will, don't worry.
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« Reply #145 on: April 05, 2018, 02:52:37 pm »
« Edited: April 28, 2018, 03:03:58 pm by Parrotguy »

ELECTION NIGHT, Part XI


Blitzer: Welcome back, folks. The election might've already been decided, as were the fate of the House and Senate, but several races up and down the ballot are yet to be determined, and so, while most of you have probably gone to sleep, here we are, still reporting. And in the commercial break, we've been able to make two new projections for those of you who are still awake- Pennsylvania will vote for President Obama tonight, adding 20 more electoral votes to his tally, as will Wisconsin, the home state of his running mate, Senator Tammy Baldwin. She delivered him a large margin in this state tonight, despite initial worry about Trump's strength there.

Tapper: And right now, we're able to make yet another projection. South Dakota will vote for the Republican nominee, Donald Trump, by a small margin. Jon Huntsman gave him a real race in this state. And we can also call another elector for President Obama, from Maine's 2nd congressial district.

United States 2016 Presidential Election Map


Alaska Presidential Election (21% Reporting)- TOO CLOSE TO CALL
Jon Huntsman (I)- 40.0%
Barack Obama (D)*- 31.9%
Donald Trump (R)- 25.7%

Idaho Presidential Election (60% Reporting)- TOO CLOSE TO CALL
Jon Huntsman (I)- 39.6%
Donald Trump (R)- 38.2%
Barack Obama (D)*- 20.8%

Iowa Presidential Election (61% Reporting)- TOO CLOSE TO CALL
Barack Obama (D)*- 44.6%
Donald Trump (R)- 42.5%
Jon Huntsman (I)- 12.0%

Kansas Presidential Election (95% Reporting)- TOO CLOSE TO CALL
Barack Obama (D)*- 33.1%
Donald Trump (R)- 32.7%
Jon Huntsman (I)- 32.6%

Maine 2nd Congressial District Presidential Election (90% Reporting)- DEMOCRATIC WIN
Barack Obama (D)*- 44.6% ✓
Donald Trump (R)- 43.1%
Jon Huntsman (I)- 11.5%

Missisippi Presidential Election (94% Reporting)- TOO CLOSE TO CALL
Donald Trump (R)- 44.7%
Barack Obama (D)*- 44.1%
Jon Huntsman (I)- 10.5%

Missouri Presidential Election (91% Reporting)- TOO CLOSE TO CALL
Barack Obama (D)*- 41.1%
Donald Trump (R)- 40.6%
Jon Huntsman (I)- 17.3%

Montana Presidential Election (63% Reporting)- TOO CLOSE TO CALL
Jon Huntsman (I)- 35.1%
Donald Trump (R)- 32.3%
Barack Obama (D)*- 31.0%

Nebraska Presidential Election (64% Reporting)- TOO CLOSE TO CALL
Jon Huntsman (I)- 37.8%
Donald Trump (R)- 37.1%
Barack Obama (D)*- 23.9%

Pennsylvania Presidential Election (91% Reporting)- DEMOCRATIC WIN
Barack Obama (D)*- 42.5% ✓
Donald Trump (R)- 36.7%
Jon Huntsman (I)- 20.0%

South Dakota Presidential Election (90% Reporting)- REPUBLICAN WIN
Donald Trump (R)- 39.7% ✓
Jon Huntsman (I)- 37.9%
Barack Obama (D)*- 20.9%

Texas Presidential Election (94% Reporting)- TOO CLOSE TO CALL
Barack Obama (D)*- 42.4%
Donald Trump (R)- 41.4%
Jon Huntsman (I)- 15.3%

Wisconsin Presidential Election (71% Reporting)- DEMOCRATIC WIN
Barack Obama (D)*- 46.8% ✓
Donald Trump (R)- 40.2%
Jon Huntsman (I)- 12.1%

Cooper: This means that we are, right now, at 388 electoral votes for President Obama, 65 for Mr. Trump and 7 for Ambassador Huntsman. This is turning out to be a better-than-expected night, not just for Democrats but also for Huntsman, who's leading right now in Idaho, Montana, Alaska and Nebraska, and is within striking distance in Kansas. Certainly an interesting night.

Bash: And in the downballot races, we can call the Missouri Gubernatorial election for Democrat Chris Koster, who will defeat Lieutenant Governor Peter Kinder to succeed Democratic Governor Jay Nixon, a hold for Democrats. This is after Kinder had to face a nasty primary against strong candidates like businessman John Brunner, House Speaker Catherine Hanaway, State Senator Bob Dixon and former Navy SEAL Eric Greitens, who was a frontrunner for a while until a bruising affair scandal emerged, letting Kinder, the man with the most name recognition despite being considered by many a weak candidate, to emerge as victor. Nontheless, this is not the only race we've been able to call- we've also been able to project that John McCain will be reelected to his seat in Arizona, a big sigh of relief for Republicans who finally managed to hold onto a seat. But a few minutes after this call we've been able to make another projection, less gladdening for Republicans- with most Ohio prescints reporting, we've been able to project that former Congresswoman Betty Sutton will win the Ohio Senate race, unseating Senator Rob Portman. So right now, we only have...

Blitzer: Hold on, Dana, because I'm receiving news that... yes, we can finally make our two last calls in the major downballor races- Republican Lisa Murkowski will win reelection in Alaska, not a big surprise, and Obama's Agriculture Secretary, Tom Vilsack, will unseat longtime Republican Senator Chuck Grassley in the state where he served as popular Governor. This is a big and shocking blow to Republicans, who have been refusing to give Obama's Supreme Court nominee, Merick Garland, a hearing. Grassley, the Chairman of the Senate Judiciary Committee, has spearheaded this attempt, and now will have to leave the Senate. The next Senate will compromise of 57, or 58, Senators caucusing with the Democrats against 43 or 42 for Republicans, depending on the outcome of the Louisiana runoff election. This means that Obama will, most likely, be able to pass whichever judge he wishes, so it'll be interesting to see in the coming days if he keeps to his promise to appoint Garland.

Arizona Senate Race (71% Reporting)- REPUBLICAN HOLD
Senator John McCain (R)*- 49.2% ✓
U.S. Rep. Ann Kirkpatrick (D)- 46.8%

Iowa Senate Race (63% Reporting)- DEMOCRATIC GAIN
Sec. of Agriculture Tom Vilsack (D)- 51.1% ✓
Senator Chuck Grassley (R)*- 48.0%

Missouri Gubernatorial Race (92% Reporting)- DEMOCRATIC HOLD
Attorney General Chris Koster (D)- 50.9% ✓
Lieutenant Governor Peter Kinder (R)- 48.6%

Ohio Senate Race (100% Reporting)- DEMOCRATIC GAIN
Fmr. U.S. Rep. Betty Sutton (D)- 49.5% ✓
Senator Rob Portman (R)*- 49.2%
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« Reply #146 on: April 05, 2018, 04:44:48 pm »

Unless I lost track of a result in this timeline, I think you meant to say "57 or 58" instead of "56 or 57":



Yeah you're right, I probably forgot to flip one race on the map. Fixed.
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« Reply #147 on: April 05, 2018, 05:33:48 pm »

ELECTION NIGHT, Part XI


Cooper: ...Folks, this is huge. Not as huge a projection as the Presidency, but this will be very important for Democrats. With most prescints in, we can finally call the state of Texas- and we're projecting it to President Barack Obama. This means that Texas will vote for the Democratic nominee for the first time since 1976.

King: Yes. It's indicative of a larger trend, with Democrats increasingly doing better in this state, but also of Trump's weakness as a candidate and Huntsman's strong third party bid. We've also seen South Carolina and Indiana flipping tonight, something they wouldn't do under normal circumstances. And Missouri and Mississippi both might flip, too.

Blitzer: Speaking of which, as almost nothing remains to be counted in these two states, we can now make two consecutive projections- Donald Trump will narrowly hold onto Mississippi, while President Obama will win Missouri, by a very narrow margin. Republican states voting for the President one after the other.

United States 2016 Presidential Election Map


Alaska Presidential Election (32% Reporting)- TOO EARLY TO CALL
Jon Huntsman (I)- 40.8%
Barack Obama (D)*- 30.5%
Donald Trump (R)- 26.2%

Idaho Presidential Election (70% Reporting)- TOO CLOSE TO CALL
Jon Huntsman (I)- 39.4%
Donald Trump (R)- 38.1%
Barack Obama (D)*- 21.0%

Iowa Presidential Election (70% Reporting)- TOO CLOSE TO CALL
Barack Obama (D)*- 44.8%
Donald Trump (R)- 41.0%
Jon Huntsman (I)- 13.3%

Kansas Presidential Election (99% Reporting)- TOO CLOSE TO CALL
Barack Obama (D)*- 32.9%
Jon Huntsman (I)- 32.8%
Donald Trump (R)- 32.7%

Missisippi Presidential Election (99% Reporting)- REPUBLICAN WIN
Donald Trump (R)- 44.6% ✓
Barack Obama (D)*- 44.2%
Jon Huntsman (I)- 10.5%

Missouri Presidential Election (98% Reporting)- DEMOCRATIC WIN
Barack Obama (D)*- 41.5% ✓
Donald Trump (R)- 40.5%
Jon Huntsman (I)- 17.1%

Montana Presidential Election (71% Reporting)- TOO CLOSE TO CALL
Jon Huntsman (I)- 35.3%
Donald Trump (R)- 31.9%
Barack Obama (D)*- 31.1%

Nebraska Presidential Election (72% Reporting)- TOO CLOSE TO CALL
Jon Huntsman (I)- 37.9%
Donald Trump (R)- 37.1%
Barack Obama (D)*- 23.7%

Texas Presidential Election (99% Reporting)- DEMOCRATIC WIN
Barack Obama (D)*- 42.6% ✓
Donald Trump (R)- 41.2%
Jon Huntsman (I)- 15.4%

..........

Blitzer: ...So indeed, we can right now project Iowa for President Obama. Iowa will go to the President, a relief for Democrats who would definitely not want to lose a swing state in such a good night. Still, the relative closeness here is indicative that Trump has performed well with this white working class demographic, just that it was overshadowed elsewhere. Perhaps  if Mr. Trump ran a competent, scandal-free campaign, and if someone else, like scandal-plagued Hillary Clinton, was the Democratic nominee, we'd be having a very different night.

King: We can additionally project Alaska, which will comfortably go to Jon Huntsman tonight. You can attribute it to a combination of various factors- the state's fondness of independent candidates, the sheer amount of time Huntsman spent around the state with surrogates like Governor Bill Walker and Senator Lisa Murkowski, and the depressed pro-Trump turnout in this state as results from the rest of the nation got increasingly bleak for him.

Cooper: And another projection, this one will probably make Mr. Trump's supporters even less happy- we're calling Montana for independent candidate Jon Huntsman. Yet another traditionally Republican state voting for another candidate tonight, and this time Huntsman wins 3 more electoral votes, bolstering his status as a very successful third party candidate.

United States 2016 Presidential Election Map


Alaska Presidential Election (45% Reporting)- HUNTSMAN WIN
Jon Huntsman (I)- 40.5% ✓
Barack Obama (D)*- 30.7%
Donald Trump (R)- 26.2%

Idaho Presidential Election (81% Reporting)- TOO CLOSE TO CALL
Jon Huntsman (I)- 39.4%
Donald Trump (R)- 38.1%
Barack Obama (D)*- 21.0%

Iowa Presidential Election (80% Reporting)- DEMOCRATIC WIN
Barack Obama (D)*- 44.7% ✓
Donald Trump (R)- 40.9%
Jon Huntsman (I)- 13.5%

Kansas Presidential Election (>99% Reporting)- TOO CLOSE TO CALL
Barack Obama (D)*- 32.9%
Jon Huntsman (I)- 32.9%
Donald Trump (R)- 32.8%

Montana Presidential Election (82% Reporting)- HUNTSMAN WIN
Jon Huntsman (I)- 35.6% ✓
Donald Trump (R)- 31.7%
Barack Obama (D)*- 31.0%

Nebraska Presidential Election (81% Reporting)- TOO CLOSE TO CALL
Jon Huntsman (I)- 38.0%
Donald Trump (R)- 36.9%
Barack Obama (D)*- 23.8%

..........

Blitzer: And now, folks, it's very late into night, over 4 A.M., but we can call two of the last states- Idaho and Nebraska will both go to Jon Huntsman tonight. This is an impressive string of western victories for him, and goes to show just how strong his candidacy was.

Bash: For sure. With his popularity in his home state, I can definitely see a future for Huntsman- perhaps a Senate seat in 2018, when Senator Orrin Hatch might retire. Now, what's happening in Kansas? It's a very conservative state, but after Governor Sam Brownback's hardline conservative policies backfired, it seemed to be moving in a more moderate direction. Will it vote against Republicans tonight?

King: Most likely, yes. It's interesting because there are very few ballots left there, a thousand votes at best. The two major candidates exchanged leads throughout the night, and we almost called this state for Obama recently, as he had a narrow but comfortable lead, but then we've seen a surge for Huntsman, and now, for the first time tonight, he actually holds a lead- several hundreds of votes, close to a thousand, I'm told.

Cooper: Very interesting. Kansas has 6 electoral votes, more than any state Huntsman won tonight save for Utah. If he wins it, this will mean that...

Blitzer: Hold on, Anderson, because we have a projection to make, our last projection of the night. Jon Huntsman has narrowly won Kansas, by a little over a thousand votes.

United States 2016 Presidential Election Map


Idaho Presidential Election (98% Reporting)- HUNTSMAN WIN
Jon Huntsman (I)- 39.6% ✓
Donald Trump (R)- 37.9%
Barack Obama (D)*- 21.0%

Kansas Presidential Election (100% Reporting)- HUNTSMAN WIN
Jon Huntsman (I)- 32.98% ✓
Barack Obama (D)*- 32.90%
Donald Trump (R)- 32.87%

Nebraska Presidential Election (99% Reporting)- HUNTSMAN WIN
Jon Huntsman (I)- 38.1% ✓
Donald Trump (R)- 36.7%
Barack Obama (D)*- 24.0%

Cooper: And this is it for tonight, folks. For those of you still awake to hear the results from Kansas, you can go to sleep now, because our election night coverage is officially over. This fascinating election had an even more fascinating result- an overwhelming landslide victory for President Barack Obama and Senator Tammy Baldwin, making him the first President since FDR to win a third term in office, with 442 electoral votes, a big blow for Mr. Donald Trump and Governor Chris Christie with only 71 electoral votes, and a very impressive result for independent candidate Jon Huntsman and running mate James Stavridis, with 25 electoral votes. Thank you very much for tuning into CNN's election night coverage- I was Anderson Cooper, and these were Wolf Blitzer, Jake Tapper, Dana Bash and John King. Good night.
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« Reply #148 on: April 06, 2018, 09:36:28 am »
« Edited: April 06, 2018, 02:18:52 pm by Parrotguy »

Final Results of the 2016 Presidential Election


President Barack Obama (D-IL)\Senator Tammy Baldwin (D-WI)- 47.4%, 442 Electoral Votes ✓
Businessman Donald Trump (R-NY)\Governor Chris Christie (R-NJ)- 31.1%, 71 Electoral Votes
Fmr. Governor Jon Huntsman (R-UT)\Ret. Admiral James Stavridis (I-FL)- 20.3%, 25 Electoral Votes
Fmr. Governor Gary Johnson (L-NM)\Businessman Austin Petersen (L-MO)- 0.8%, 0 Electoral Votes
Dr. Jill Stein (G-MA)\Activist Ajamu Baraka (G-GA)- 0.3%, 0 Electoral Votes
Others- 0.1%, 0 Electoral Votes

Downballot Races

2016 Elections for the U.S. Senate


Composition of the U.S. Senate:

Democratic Majority- 57 Seats (Leader: Chuck Schumer)
Democrats: 55 Seats  (+11)
Independents (Caucusing with the Democrats): 2 Seats  (+-0)


Republican Minority- 43 Seats (Leader: Mitch McConnell)
Republicans: 43 Seats  (-11)

Freshman Senator Class, 2017: Maggie Hassan (D-NH), Chris Van Hollen (D-MD), Joe Sestak (D-PA), Kay Hagan (D-NC), Jason Carter (D-GA), Gwen Graham (D-FL), Betty Sutton (D-OH), Evan Bayh (D-IN), Tammy Duckworth (D-IL), Russ Feingold (D-WI), Tom Vilsack (D-IA), Jason Kander (D-MO), John Neely Kennedy (R-LA), Catherine Cortez Masto (D-NV), Kamala Harris (D-CA).

2016 Elections for the U.S. House of Representatives


Composition of the U.S. House of Representatives:
Democratic Party: 231  (+43)
Republcian Party: 204  (-43)

New House Leadership:
House Speaker: Nancy Pelosi (D-CA)
House Majority Leader: Steve Israel (D-NY)
House Majority Whip: Steny Hoyer (D-MD)

House Minority Leader: Paul Ryan (R-WI)
House Minority Whip: Steve Scalise (R-LA)

2016 Gubernatorial Elections


State of the U.S. Governorships:
Republican Party- 31  (+-0)
Democratic Party- 18  (+-0)
Independents- 1  (+-0)

2016 Presidential Election Final Results from: Wikipedia


End of Part 1
To Be Continued
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Parrotguy
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Israel


« Reply #149 on: April 06, 2018, 11:37:25 am »
« Edited: April 06, 2018, 11:42:38 am by Parrotguy »

Can we please have a map of the House results by District?

Sorry, this is not my area of expertise Tongue You can ask about specific races and I'll decide whether they're included in the flipped ones (though please don't ask about like 20 races, lol).

Huh, Dems might actuall have enough of a pad to hold the Senate in 2018 (WV+ND+MT+MO+IN+OH+FL is only a tie)

Remember that a special election is coming in Wisconsin, too Wink But yeah, Schumer and Obama must be very happy with the 2016 gains. A bit like the situation in 2010- though, I can't confirm that the midterms will be all that linear. There might be some races that surprise you, likely in both ways. What I have in mind is actually quite exciting imo, so I'm probably going to start the next part soon, without any freezing.
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